PAU vs Nantes• Ligue 2, France

#52.4:1.019:00Tomorrow · Nouste Camp, Pau1.0:1.2#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.16PINX3.30PIN22.31PINMargin at best5.2%Books6Markets62Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.16	3.30	2.31	5.2%
1xBet	3.09	3.28	2.27	6.9%
Marathonbet	3.08	3.28	2.25	7.4%
William Hill	3.00	3.10	2.30	9.1%
BetVictor	2.90	3.20	2.25	10.2%
Bet365	2.90	3.00	2.20	13.3%
Best of all books	3.16	3.30	2.31	5.2%
Average	3.02	3.19	2.26	8.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PAUNantes

Last 10#5Table position#151.82Points per game0.8215Form pts · last 552.4Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.271Attack rating2955Defence rating4575Form rating250H2H rating10064Goals model3657Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:01 UTC

PAU

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

30 Oct	A	Metz	3-1	W
23 Oct	H	Grenoble	2-1	W
16 Oct	A	Guingamp	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Laval	3-2	W
3 Oct	A	Toulouse	3-2	W
18 Sep	H	Dunkerque	2-0	W
11 Sep	A	Montpellier	0-1	L
4 Sep	H	Sochaux	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Rodez	2-2	D
21 Aug	H	Nancy	0-1	L

Nantes

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

30 Oct	H	Clermont Foot	1-1	D
24 Oct	A	Saint Etienne	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Dunkerque	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Reims	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Boulogne	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Sochaux	0-1	L
7 Sep	H	Nancy	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Guingamp	3-3	D
22 Aug	H	Rodez	2-5	L
14 Aug	A	Laval	1-2	L

Head to head

0PAU wins

0draws

1Nantes wins

1 meeting · goals 1:4 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for PAU

5 Jan 2024Coupe de France

Coupe de France

PAU1-4Nantes

Ligue 2 tableLigue 2updated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Ligue 2 table, PAU sit 5th with 20 points from 11 games, while Nantes are 15th with 9 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	11	8	1	2	23:11	+12	25
2	Montpellier	11	7	3	1	16:6	+10	24
3	Nancy	11	7	1	3	16:9	+7	22
4	Reims	11	5	6	0	22:12	+10	21
5	PAU	11	6	2	3	16:11	+5	20
6	RED Star FC 93	11	5	2	4	14:16	-2	17
7	Annecy	11	5	1	5	14:15	-1	16
8	Dijon	11	4	3	4	20:19	+1	15
9	Guingamp	11	4	2	5	16:15	+1	14
10	Metz	11	3	5	3	17:17	0	14
11	Rodez	11	4	1	6	17:22	-5	13
12	Dunkerque	11	3	3	5	14:17	-3	12
13	Sochaux	11	2	5	4	8:14	-6	11
14	Boulogne	11	1	7	3	7:8	-1	10
15	Nantes	11	2	3	6	12:18	-6	9
16	Laval	11	2	3	6	14:21	-7	9
17	Clermont Foot	11	0	8	3	10:15	-5	8
18	Grenoble	11	2	2	7	10:20	-10	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.02X29%3.19241%2.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.97 → 3.02 +1.7%X3.28 → 3.19 -2.7%22.29 → 2.26 -1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.04	1.81	4.3%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
1xBet	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.83	7.0%
BetVictor	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Best of all books	2.04	1.83	3.7%
Average	1.96	1.81	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
Best of all books	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Average	1.71	2.02	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

PAU 45%Draw 45%Nantes 10%

The statistical model rates PAU at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nantes at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.02 | 3.19 | 2.26, which imply roughly 33.1% for a PAU win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 2 table: PAU are 5th (20 pts, 16-11 goals), Nantes 15th (9 pts, 12-18).

Over their last five matches, PAU averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Nantes averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : PAU or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.02	3.19	2.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.57	1.35	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
2.13	1.66

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
3.65	2.12	2.90

2nd half

1	X	2
3.24	2.42	2.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.15	14.5	28.0
HT X	7.10	4.85	5.45
HT 2	32.0	14.2	3.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.24	8.30	1.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.03
1.5	1.29	3.30
2.5	1.96	1.81
3.5	3.33	1.28
4.5	6.54	1.08
5.5	14.3	1.02
6.5	29.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.03	7.20
1.25	1.15	4.31
1.75	1.33	2.90
2	1.46	2.51
2.25	1.70	2.04
2.75	2.19	1.62
3	2.61	1.43
3.25	2.81	1.35
3.75	3.79	1.19
4	5.10	1.10
4.25	5.45	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.12	1.36
-0.25	2.59	1.45
0	2.22	1.63
+0.25	1.81	1.93
+0.5	1.61	2.25
+0.75	1.43	2.64

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.90	1.02
-1.5	6.32	1.09
-1.25	5.86	1.09
-1	5.50	1.12
-0.75	3.76	1.23
+1	1.27	3.49
+1.25	1.22	3.89
+1.5	1.18	4.25
+1.75	1.10	5.47
+2	1.02	7.70
+2.5	1.01	8.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.13	4.60
7.5	1.28	3.05
8.5	1.57	2.22
9.5	1.98	1.75
10.5	2.55	1.44
11.5	3.50	1.22
12.5	5.00	1.10

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.32	2.88
8.25	1.45	2.41
8.75	1.62	2.08
9	1.77	2.03
9.25	1.83	1.83
9.75	2.11	1.63
10	2.28	1.60
10.25	2.41	1.46
10.75	2.81	1.33

Next Ligue 2 matches

6 Nov	Dijon – RED Star FC 93
6 Nov	Boulogne – Annecy
6 Nov	Dunkerque – Guingamp
6 Nov	Grenoble – Reims
6 Nov	Montpellier – Metz
6 Nov	Nancy – Sochaux

All Ligue 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 2 results

2 Nov	Reims 2-0 Sochaux
2 Nov	RED Star FC 93 1-4 Nancy
31 Oct	Guingamp 3-0 Saint Etienne
31 Oct	Annecy 0-3 Montpellier
30 Oct	Metz 1-3 PAU
30 Oct	Laval 1-0 Boulogne