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Montpellier vs Metz• Ligue 2, France

#22.2:0.419:00Today · Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier1.8:2.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.87PINX3.80BTN24.20MARMargin at best3.6%Books10Markets73Rating79 · 22Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:41 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.873.774.203.8%
Betano1.873.803.955.1%
Dafabet1.853.754.105.1%
1xBet1.823.584.186.8%
Marathonbet1.803.584.207.3%
Betfair1.853.504.007.6%
William Hill1.853.403.909.1%
BetVictor1.803.703.709.6%
Bet3651.753.503.9011.4%
SBO1.853.333.4712.9%
Best of all books1.873.804.203.6%
Average1.833.593.967.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MontpellierMetz
Last 10#2Table position#102.18Points per game1.2713Form pts · last 552.2Goals for · last 51.80.4Goals against · last 52.455Attack rating4586Defence rating1472Form rating2893H2H rating784Goals model1679Overall rating22

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:01 UTC

Montpellier

7W 2D 1L · goals 15:5 · per match 1.5 for, 0.5 against

31 OctAAnnecy3-0W
26 OctHRED Star FC 932-1W
19 OctARodez3-0W
9 OctHGrenoble2-0W
18 SepAReims1-1D
11 SepHPAU1-0W
5 SepASaint Etienne1-3L
28 AugHBoulogne0-0D
21 AugADunkerque1-0W
14 AugANancy1-0W

Metz

2W 5D 3L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

30 OctHPAU1-3L
23 OctADunkerque1-1D
17 OctHSochaux3-2W
12 OctADijon2-4L
19 SepHSaint Etienne2-2D
14 SepARED Star FC 930-1L
5 SepHRodez4-1W
29 AugAAnnecy1-1D
22 AugHLaval1-1D
14 AugAGrenoble0-0D

Head to head

7Montpellier wins
5draws
5Metz wins

17 meetings · goals 25:19 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Montpellier

11 Jan 2026Coupe de FranceCoupe de FranceMetz0-4Montpellier
18 Feb 2024Ligue 1Ligue 1Montpellier3-0Metz
17 Dec 2023Ligue 1Ligue 1Metz0-1Montpellier
1 May 2022Ligue 1Ligue 1Montpellier2-2Metz
1 Dec 2021Ligue 1Ligue 1Metz1-3Montpellier
31 Jul 2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsMetz1-0Montpellier
3 Feb 2021Ligue 1Ligue 1Metz1-1Montpellier
16 Dec 2020Ligue 1Ligue 1Montpellier0-2Metz
22 Aug 2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsMetz1-1Montpellier
5 Feb 2020Ligue 1Ligue 1Montpellier1-1Metz

Ligue 2 tableLigue 2updated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Ligue 2 table, Montpellier sit 2nd with 24 points from 11 games, while Metz are 10th with 14 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Saint Etienne1181223:11+1225
2Montpellier1173116:6+1024
3Nancy1171316:9+722
4Reims1156022:12+1021
5PAU1162316:11+520
6RED Star FC 931152414:16-217
7Annecy1151514:15-116
8Dijon1143420:19+115
9Guingamp1142516:15+114
10Metz1135317:17014
11Rodez1141617:22-513
12Dunkerque1133514:17-312
13Sochaux112548:14-611
14Boulogne111737:8-110
15Nantes1123612:18-69
16Laval1123614:21-79
17Clermont Foot1108310:15-58
18Grenoble1122710:20-108

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.83X26%3.59223%3.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Nov 00:006 Nov 12:501 1.83X 3.592 3.96
11.97 → 1.83 -7.1%X3.38 → 3.59 +6.2%23.72 → 3.96 +6.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.662.293.9%
Betano1.672.273.9%
SBO1.712.145.2%
Bet3651.652.206.1%
Betfair1.652.206.1%
1xBet1.602.256.9%
Marathonbet1.602.256.9%
BetVictor1.612.139.1%
Best of all books1.712.292.1%
Average1.642.226.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.385.7%
Betano1.572.307.2%
William Hill1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.542.328.0%
Marathonbet1.542.288.8%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
Best of all books1.622.383.7%
Average1.572.297.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Montpellier 45%Draw 45%Metz 10%

The statistical model rates Montpellier at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Metz at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.59 | 3.96, which imply roughly 54.6% for a Montpellier win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 2 table: Montpellier are 2nd (24 pts, 16-6 goals), Metz 10th (14 pts, 17-17).

Over their last five matches, Montpellier averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Metz averaged 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Montpellier or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.833.593.96

Double chance

1XX212
1.231.901.25

Draw no bet

12
1.382.88

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.29

1st half

1X2
2.352.294.20

2nd half

1X2
2.102.683.92

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.8513.632.8
HT X4.895.838.74
HT 220.814.26.61

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5814.32.49

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.0
1.51.184.45
2.51.642.22
3.52.541.48
4.54.571.17
5.58.551.05
6.517.71.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.50
1.251.075.90
1.751.183.93
21.273.42
2.251.442.63
2.751.781.99
32.011.75
3.252.221.60
3.752.721.37
43.421.23
4.253.771.19
4.755.051.10
56.751.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.741.40
-12.441.51
-0.752.031.73
-0.51.841.98
-0.251.582.28
01.363.01
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.02
-2.55.951.09
-2.255.371.11
-25.001.13
-1.753.601.23
-1.53.131.33
+0.251.273.48
+0.51.254.02
+0.751.125.12
+11.067.20
+1.251.057.67
+1.51.028.43
+2.51.0113.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0310.5
5.51.077.50
6.51.125.03
7.51.263.36
8.51.502.42
9.51.861.88
10.52.371.52
11.53.151.30
12.54.421.16
13.56.001.09
14.57.981.04
15.510.31.03
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.251.382.62
8.751.542.24
91.632.23
9.251.741.98
9.751.941.74
102.091.71
10.252.221.54
10.752.571.40
11.253.041.29

Next Ligue 2 matches

6 NovDijon – RED Star FC 93
6 NovDunkerque – Guingamp
6 NovGrenoble – Reims
6 NovNancy – Sochaux
6 NovBoulogne – Annecy
7 NovClermont Foot – Rodez

All Ligue 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 2 results

2 NovReims 2-0 Sochaux
2 NovRED Star FC 93 1-4 Nancy
31 OctGuingamp 3-0 Saint Etienne
31 OctAnnecy 0-3 Montpellier
30 OctGrenoble 1-3 Dijon
30 OctNantes 1-1 Clermont Foot