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Metz vs PAU• Ligue 2, France

#81.6:2.019:00Today · Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz1.8:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.13DAFX3.76PIN23.35DAFMargin at best3.4%Books10Markets74Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 08:41 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.123.653.443.6%
Betano2.153.503.354.9%
Dafabet2.133.553.355.0%
1xBet2.093.483.287.1%
Marathonbet2.073.483.287.5%
Betfair2.053.503.307.7%
BetVictor2.003.403.309.7%
William Hill2.053.303.259.9%
Bet3652.003.203.2512.0%
SBO2.083.072.8915.3%
Best of all books2.153.653.443.0%
Average2.073.413.278.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MetzPAU
Last 10#8Table position#51.40Points per game1.705Form pts · last 5151.6Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 51.047Attack rating5333Defence rating6729Form rating7150H2H rating5057Goals model4344Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Metz

3W 5D 2L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

23 OctADunkerque1-1D
17 OctHSochaux3-2W
12 OctADijon2-4L
19 SepHSaint Etienne2-2D
14 SepARED Star FC 930-1L
5 SepHRodez4-1W
29 AugAAnnecy1-1D
22 AugHLaval1-1D
14 AugAGrenoble0-0D
8 AugHGuingamp2-1W

PAU

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

23 OctHGrenoble2-1W
16 OctAGuingamp2-1W
9 OctHLaval3-2W
3 OctAToulouse3-2W
18 SepHDunkerque2-0W
11 SepAMontpellier0-1L
4 SepHSochaux1-1D
28 AugARodez2-2D
21 AugHNancy0-1L
14 AugADijon1-0W

Head to head

1Metz wins
2draws
1PAU wins

4 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Metz

26 Apr 2025Ligue 2Ligue 2PAU2-1Metz
4 Jan 2025Ligue 2Ligue 2Metz0-0PAU
8 Apr 2023Ligue 2Ligue 2PAU1-1Metz
1 Oct 2022Ligue 2Ligue 2Metz1-0PAU

Ligue 2 tableLigue 2updated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Ligue 2 table, Metz sit 8th with 14 points from 10 games, while PAU are 5th with 17 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Saint Etienne1081123:8+1525
2Montpellier1063113:6+721
3Nancy1061312:8+419
4Reims1046020:12+818
5PAU1052313:10+317
6RED Star FC 931052313:12+117
7Annecy1051414:12+216
8Metz1035216:14+214
9Dijon1033417:18-112
10Dunkerque1033414:16-212
11Guingamp1032513:15-211
12Sochaux102538:12-411
13Boulogne101727:7010
14Rodez1031616:22-610
15Nantes1022611:17-68
16Grenoble102269:17-88
17Clermont Foot100739:14-57
18Laval1013613:21-86

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.07X27%3.46229%3.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Oct 00:0029 Oct 21:001 2.07X 3.462 3.24
12.06 → 2.07 +0.5%X3.56 → 3.46 -2.8%23.25 → 3.24 -0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.941.933.4%
Betano1.871.984.0%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
SBO1.742.085.5%
Betfair1.871.906.1%
1xBet1.831.917.0%
Marathonbet1.831.917.0%
BetVictor1.821.859.0%
Best of all books1.942.08-0.4%
Average1.841.945.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
Betano1.672.107.5%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
1xBet1.672.088.0%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.672.058.7%
Best of all books1.702.204.3%
Average1.672.107.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Metz 10%Draw 45%PAU 45%

The statistical model rates Metz at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and PAU at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.07 | 3.46 | 3.24, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 2 table: Metz are 8th (14 pts, 16-14 goals), PAU 5th (17 pts, 13-10).

Over their last five matches, Metz averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; PAU averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or PAU.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.073.413.27

Double chance

1XX212
1.301.701.29

Draw no bet

12
1.522.40

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.10

1st half

1X2
2.612.203.81

2nd half

1X2
2.422.503.38

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.2813.530.7
HT X5.375.527.41
HT 224.414.35.34

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7312.32.23

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.3
1.51.253.64
2.51.841.94
3.53.111.34
4.56.061.10
5.511.51.03
6.522.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.70
1.251.124.80
1.751.293.09
21.412.76
2.251.632.17
2.752.051.72
32.461.50
3.252.631.43
3.753.601.21
44.901.11
4.255.311.10
4.757.201.03
59.251.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.031.36
-0.752.371.52
-0.52.091.74
-0.251.791.97
01.532.44
+0.251.392.83
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.57.701.06
-2.256.831.06
-26.901.07
-1.754.981.13
-1.53.771.23
-1.253.431.27
+0.51.343.32
+0.751.214.10
+11.105.93
+1.251.086.44
+1.51.076.77
+1.751.018.80
+2.51.0212.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.049.50
5.51.076.32
6.51.194.04
7.51.382.75
8.51.672.10
9.52.111.66
10.52.791.39
11.53.931.19
12.55.351.12
13.57.301.06
14.59.751.03
15.511.81.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.251.283.05
7.751.412.55
81.462.63
8.251.582.17
8.751.801.90
91.871.90
9.252.031.66
9.752.341.49
102.331.58
10.252.741.35

Next Ligue 2 matches

30 OctGrenoble – Dijon
30 OctNantes – Clermont Foot
30 OctLaval – Boulogne
30 OctRodez – Dunkerque
31 OctAnnecy – Montpellier
31 OctGuingamp – Saint Etienne

All Ligue 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 2 results

26 OctMontpellier 2-1 RED Star FC 93
26 OctBoulogne 1-1 Reims
24 OctSaint Etienne 1-0 Nantes
24 OctDijon 1-2 Rodez
23 OctDunkerque 1-1 Metz
23 OctPAU 2-1 Grenoble