Metz vs
PAU• Ligue 2, France
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 08:41 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.65 | 3.44 | 3.6% |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.35 | 4.9% |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.55 | 3.35 | 5.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.48 | 3.28 | 7.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 3.48 | 3.28 | 7.5% |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 7.7% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 9.7% |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 9.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.25 | 12.0% |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.07 | 2.89 | 15.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 3.65 | 3.44 | 3.0% |
| Average | 2.07 | 3.41 | 3.27 | 8.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC
Metz
3W 5D 2L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against
| 23 Oct | A | Dunkerque | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Sochaux | 3-2 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Dijon | 2-4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Saint Etienne | 2-2 | D |
| 14 Sep | A | RED Star FC 93 | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Rodez | 4-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Annecy | 1-1 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Laval | 1-1 | D |
| 14 Aug | A | Grenoble | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Guingamp | 2-1 | W |
PAU
6W 2D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against
| 23 Oct | H | Grenoble | 2-1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Guingamp | 2-1 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Laval | 3-2 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Toulouse | 3-2 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Dunkerque | 2-0 | W |
| 11 Sep | A | Montpellier | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Sochaux | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Rodez | 2-2 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | Nancy | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Dijon | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Metz
| 26 Apr 2025Ligue 2 | Ligue 2 | PAU2-1Metz |
| 4 Jan 2025Ligue 2 | Ligue 2 | Metz0-0PAU |
| 8 Apr 2023Ligue 2 | Ligue 2 | PAU1-1Metz |
| 1 Oct 2022Ligue 2 | Ligue 2 | Metz1-0PAU |
Ligue 2 tableLigue 2updated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC
In the Ligue 2 table, Metz sit 8th with 14 points from 10 games, while PAU are 5th with 17 points from 10.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23:8 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 | Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 20:12 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 17 |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 1.93 | 3.4% |
| Betano | 1.87 | 1.98 | 4.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| SBO | 1.74 | 2.08 | 5.5% |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 1.90 | 6.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 1.91 | 7.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 1.91 | 7.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.82 | 1.85 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.94 | 2.08 | -0.4% |
| Average | 1.84 | 1.94 | 5.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 7.2% |
| Betano | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 2.05 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 2.08 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 2.05 | 8.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 2.05 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.20 | 4.3% |
| Average | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Metz at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and PAU at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.07 | 3.46 | 3.24, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ligue 2 table: Metz are 8th (14 pts, 16-14 goals), PAU 5th (17 pts, 13-10).
Over their last five matches, Metz averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; PAU averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or PAU.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | 3.41 | 3.27 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | 1.70 | 1.29 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.52 | 2.40 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.67 | 2.10 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.61 | 2.20 | 3.81 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.42 | 2.50 | 3.38 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.28 | 13.5 | 30.7 |
| HT X | 5.37 | 5.52 | 7.41 |
| HT 2 | 24.4 | 14.3 | 5.34 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | 12.3 | 2.23 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 10.3 |
| 1.5 | 1.25 | 3.64 |
| 2.5 | 1.84 | 1.94 |
| 3.5 | 3.11 | 1.34 |
| 4.5 | 6.06 | 1.10 |
| 5.5 | 11.5 | 1.03 |
| 6.5 | 22.3 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 50.5 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.12 | 4.80 |
| 1.75 | 1.29 | 3.09 |
| 2 | 1.41 | 2.76 |
| 2.25 | 1.63 | 2.17 |
| 2.75 | 2.05 | 1.72 |
| 3 | 2.46 | 1.50 |
| 3.25 | 2.63 | 1.43 |
| 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.21 |
| 4 | 4.90 | 1.11 |
| 4.25 | 5.31 | 1.10 |
| 4.75 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
| 5 | 9.25 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.03 | 1.36 |
| -0.75 | 2.37 | 1.52 |
| -0.5 | 2.09 | 1.74 |
| -0.25 | 1.79 | 1.97 |
| 0 | 1.53 | 2.44 |
| +0.25 | 1.39 | 2.83 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
| -2.5 | 7.70 | 1.06 |
| -2.25 | 6.83 | 1.06 |
| -2 | 6.90 | 1.07 |
| -1.75 | 4.98 | 1.13 |
| -1.5 | 3.77 | 1.23 |
| -1.25 | 3.43 | 1.27 |
| +0.5 | 1.34 | 3.32 |
| +0.75 | 1.21 | 4.10 |
| +1 | 1.10 | 5.93 |
| +1.25 | 1.08 | 6.44 |
| +1.5 | 1.07 | 6.77 |
| +1.75 | 1.01 | 8.80 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 12.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.04 | 9.50 |
| 5.5 | 1.07 | 6.32 |
| 6.5 | 1.19 | 4.04 |
| 7.5 | 1.38 | 2.75 |
| 8.5 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 9.5 | 2.11 | 1.66 |
| 10.5 | 2.79 | 1.39 |
| 11.5 | 3.93 | 1.19 |
| 12.5 | 5.35 | 1.12 |
| 13.5 | 7.30 | 1.06 |
| 14.5 | 9.75 | 1.03 |
| 15.5 | 11.8 | 1.02 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.25 | 1.28 | 3.05 |
| 7.75 | 1.41 | 2.55 |
| 8 | 1.46 | 2.63 |
| 8.25 | 1.58 | 2.17 |
| 8.75 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| 9 | 1.87 | 1.90 |
| 9.25 | 2.03 | 1.66 |
| 9.75 | 2.34 | 1.49 |
| 10 | 2.33 | 1.58 |
| 10.25 | 2.74 | 1.35 |
Next Ligue 2 matches
| 30 Oct | Grenoble – Dijon |
| 30 Oct | Nantes – Clermont Foot |
| 30 Oct | Laval – Boulogne |
| 30 Oct | Rodez – Dunkerque |
| 31 Oct | Annecy – Montpellier |
| 31 Oct | Guingamp – Saint Etienne |
Latest Ligue 2 results
| 26 Oct | Montpellier 2-1 RED Star FC 93 |
| 26 Oct | Boulogne 1-1 Reims |
| 24 Oct | Saint Etienne 1-0 Nantes |
| 24 Oct | Dijon 1-2 Rodez |
| 23 Oct | Dunkerque 1-1 Metz |
| 23 Oct | PAU 2-1 Grenoble |