Emmen vs MVV• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#41.6:1.415:45Tomorrow · De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen1.0:2.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.56DAFX4.50BFR25.50B365Margin at best4.5%Books10Markets70Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 03:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.56	4.50	5.20	5.6%
Bet365	1.55	4.20	5.50	6.5%
Pinnacle	1.54	4.40	5.22	6.8%
Betano	1.55	4.30	5.20	7.0%
1xBet	1.51	4.45	5.21	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.50	4.45	5.15	8.6%
BetVictor	1.50	4.33	5.25	8.8%
Betfair	1.50	4.50	5.00	8.9%
William Hill	1.53	4.00	5.00	10.4%
SBO	1.47	3.98	4.69	14.5%
Best of all books	1.56	4.50	5.50	4.5%
Average	1.52	4.31	5.14	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EmmenMVV

Last 10#4Table position#101.92Points per game1.3112Form pts · last 511.6Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 52.862Attack rating3867Defence rating3391Form rating950H2H rating5062Goals model3863Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:02 UTC

Emmen

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

1 Nov	H	Den Bosch	0-5	L
29 Oct	A	Groningen	2-0	W
23 Oct	A	Vitesse	2-0	W
17 Oct	H	Almere City FC	2-1	W
9 Oct	A	Dordrecht	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Waalwijk	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	FC OSS	1-0	W
18 Sep	A	FC Eindhoven	1-3	L
11 Sep	H	De Graafschap	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	FC Volendam	5-3	W

MVV

1W 2D 7L · goals 9:28 · per match 0.9 for, 2.8 against

31 Oct	H	VVV Venlo	1-2	L
28 Oct	H	Excelsior	0-3	L
23 Oct	A	Den Bosch	2-2	D
18 Oct	H	Heracles	1-5	L
9 Oct	A	NAC Breda	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	FC OSS	1-4	L
26 Sep	H	Helmond Sport	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Waalwijk	1-6	L
11 Sep	H	Almere City FC	0-4	L
6 Sep	H	Roda	1-1	D

Head to head

6Emmen wins

4draws

2MVV wins

12 meetings · goals 20:12 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Emmen

6 Apr 2026Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Emmen2-1MVV
26 Sep 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	MVV1-0Emmen
28 Mar 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	MVV1-2Emmen
4 Oct 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Emmen1-1MVV
12 Apr 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Emmen1-3MVV
6 Nov 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	MVV1-1Emmen
17 Dec 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	MVV0-1Emmen
10 Sep 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Emmen7-1MVV
2 Apr 2018Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	MVV0-1Emmen
27 Nov 2017Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Emmen2-1MVV

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 6 Nov 23:10 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Emmen sit 4th with 25 points from 13 games, while MVV are 10th with 17 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	14	11	2	1	44:15	+29	35
2	VVV Venlo	14	9	2	3	37:22	+15	29
3	Almere City FC	14	9	1	4	30:14	+16	28
4	Emmen	13	8	1	4	26:24	+2	25
5	NAC Breda	14	7	4	3	25:20	+5	25
6	Roda	14	7	4	3	18:17	+1	25
7	FC Volendam	14	7	1	6	33:24	+9	22
8	Den Bosch	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18
9	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17:18	-1	18
10	MVV	13	5	2	6	17:29	-12	17
11	Waalwijk	14	3	8	3	23:20	+3	17
12	Jong AZ	14	5	2	7	33:31	+2	17
13	Jong PSV U21	14	4	5	5	18:22	-4	17
14	Jong Ajax	14	4	4	6	22:30	-8	16
15	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17:27	-10	15
16	FC OSS	14	4	2	8	20:23	-3	14
17	Helmond Sport	14	3	3	8	25:31	-6	12
18	Dordrecht	14	3	3	8	18:34	-16	12
19	FC Eindhoven	14	3	2	9	18:31	-13	11
20	Jong Utrecht	13	3	1	9	22:33	-11	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.52X21%4.32218%5.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.51 → 1.52 +0.7%X4.49 → 4.32 -3.8%25.26 → 5.14 -2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.55	2.40	6.2%
Betano	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Bet365	1.53	2.40	7.0%
BetVictor	1.50	2.36	9.0%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.55	2.63	2.5%
Average	1.48	2.47	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.57	2.27	7.7%
1xBet	1.54	2.32	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.28	8.8%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.57	2.29	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Emmen 45%Draw 45%MVV 10%

The statistical model rates Emmen at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and MVV at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 4.32 | 5.14, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Emmen win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Emmen are 4th (25 pts, 26-24 goals), MVV 10th (17 pts, 17-29).

Over their last five matches, Emmen averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; MVV averaged 1 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Emmen or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.52	4.31	5.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.41	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	4.04

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.29

1st half

1	X	2
1.96	2.53	4.97

2nd half

1	X	2
1.82	2.92	4.66

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.22	15.3	39.1
HT X	4.54	7.14	11.7
HT 2	18.1	15.7	8.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.46	19.5	2.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.8
1.5	1.13	5.27
2.5	1.48	2.47
3.5	2.21	1.61
4.5	3.78	1.23
5.5	7.18	1.07
6.5	14.1	1.02
7.5	29.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.75	1.11	4.80
2	1.14	4.33
2.25	1.29	3.06
2.75	1.59	2.19
3	1.75	1.97
3.25	1.99	1.75
3.75	2.47	1.46
4	2.99	1.30
4.25	3.29	1.25
4.75	4.51	1.13
5	6.10	1.06
5.25	6.45	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.76	1.38
-1.5	2.34	1.53
-1.25	2.09	1.65
-1	1.85	1.90
-0.75	1.63	2.14
-0.5	1.52	2.42

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.33	1.03
-3	7.70	1.03
-2.75	5.37	1.11
-2.5	4.16	1.18
-2.25	3.85	1.20
-2	3.54	1.25
-0.25	1.35	2.94
0	1.19	4.06
+0.25	1.15	4.52
+0.5	1.16	5.25
+0.75	1.07	6.70
+1	1.03	8.30
+1.5	1.02	9.55

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.32	2.88
9.5	1.61	2.15
10.5	2.01	1.72
11.5	2.56	1.41
12.5	3.42	1.23

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9	1.47	2.55
9.25	1.48	2.33
9.75	1.65	2.03
10	1.85	1.92
10.25	1.87	1.81
10.75	2.12	1.61
11	2.39	1.53
11.25	2.42	1.47

Next Eerste Divisie matches

7 Nov	Den Bosch – Jong Utrecht
8 Nov	Vitesse – De Graafschap

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

6 Nov	FC OSS 1-1 Waalwijk
6 Nov	Helmond Sport 2-3 FC Volendam
6 Nov	Heracles 5-1 Roda
6 Nov	FC Eindhoven 0-3 Jong Ajax
6 Nov	VVV Venlo 1-1 Jong PSV U21
6 Nov	Jong AZ 1-3 Almere City FC