Vitesse vs De Graafschap• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#90.8:1.411:15Tomorrow · GelreDome, Arnhem1.6:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.96DAFX4.00B36523.64PINMargin at best3.5%Books10Markets71Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 09:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.96	4.00	3.45	5.0%
Bet365	1.91	4.00	3.50	5.9%
Betfair	1.95	3.90	3.40	6.3%
Pinnacle	1.89	3.84	3.64	6.4%
Betano	1.91	3.85	3.50	6.9%
1xBet	1.91	3.78	3.44	7.9%
BetVictor	1.90	3.90	3.30	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.78	3.42	8.6%
William Hill	1.95	3.60	3.30	9.4%
SBO	1.92	3.44	2.96	14.9%
Best of all books	1.96	4.00	3.64	3.5%
Average	1.92	3.81	3.39	7.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VitesseDe Graafschap

Last 10#9Table position#151.38Points per game1.157Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6750Defence rating5038Form rating6260H2H rating4051Goals model4949Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:02 UTC

Vitesse

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

2 Nov	A	Jong Ajax	1-1	D
28 Oct	A	VVV Venlo	2-0	W
23 Oct	H	Emmen	0-2	L
16 Oct	A	FC Eindhoven	1-0	W
9 Oct	A	FC Volendam	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	NAC Breda	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Heracles	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Jong PSV U21	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Roda	0-1	L
4 Sep	H	FC OSS	2-1	W

De Graafschap

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

30 Oct	A	FC Volendam	2-1	W
27 Oct	A	Roda	0-1	L
23 Oct	H	Waalwijk	1-1	D
19 Oct	A	Jong Ajax	1-2	L
9 Oct	H	Jong Utrecht	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	FC Eindhoven	2-2	D
27 Sep	H	Den Bosch	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	NAC Breda	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Emmen	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Heracles	0-5	L

Head to head

8Vitesse wins

3draws

2De Graafschap wins

13 meetings · goals 29:12 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Vitesse

8 Mar 2026Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap1-4Vitesse
4 Dec 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Vitesse1-2De Graafschap
16 Feb 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Vitesse2-0De Graafschap
29 Sep 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap3-1Vitesse
29 Oct 2019KNVB Beker	KNVB Beker	Vitesse2-0De Graafschap
12 May 2019Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Vitesse6-1De Graafschap
23 Dec 2018Eredivisie	Eredivisie	De Graafschap2-2Vitesse
21 Feb 2016Eredivisie	Eredivisie	De Graafschap2-2Vitesse
20 Sep 2015Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Vitesse3-0De Graafschap
4 Mar 2012Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Vitesse2-0De Graafschap

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 6 Nov 23:10 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Vitesse sit 9th with 18 points from 13 games, while De Graafschap are 15th with 15 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	14	11	2	1	44:15	+29	35
2	VVV Venlo	14	9	2	3	37:22	+15	29
3	Almere City FC	14	9	1	4	30:14	+16	28
4	Emmen	13	8	1	4	26:24	+2	25
5	NAC Breda	14	7	4	3	25:20	+5	25
6	Roda	14	7	4	3	18:17	+1	25
7	FC Volendam	14	7	1	6	33:24	+9	22
8	Den Bosch	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18
9	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17:18	-1	18
10	MVV	13	5	2	6	17:29	-12	17
11	Waalwijk	14	3	8	3	23:20	+3	17
12	Jong AZ	14	5	2	7	33:31	+2	17
13	Jong PSV U21	14	4	5	5	18:22	-4	17
14	Jong Ajax	14	4	4	6	22:30	-8	16
15	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17:27	-10	15
16	FC OSS	14	4	2	8	20:23	-3	14
17	Helmond Sport	14	3	3	8	25:31	-6	12
18	Dordrecht	14	3	3	8	18:34	-16	12
19	FC Eindhoven	14	3	2	9	18:31	-13	11
20	Jong Utrecht	13	3	1	9	22:33	-11	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.92X24%3.83227%3.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Pinnacle	1.43	2.73	6.6%
Betano	1.42	2.70	7.5%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.37	2.66	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.37	2.66	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.40	2.73	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
William Hill	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.39	2.77	8.0%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.72	8.7%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.40	2.77	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vitesse 35%Draw 35%De Graafschap 30%

The statistical model rates Vitesse at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and De Graafschap at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.83 | 3.43, which imply roughly 52.1% for a Vitesse win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Vitesse are 9th (18 pts, 17-18 goals), De Graafschap 15th (15 pts, 17-27).

Over their last five matches, Vitesse averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; De Graafschap averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Vitesse or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.92	3.81	3.39

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.83	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.56

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.32	2.49	3.68

2nd half

1	X	2
2.18	2.86	3.40

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.91	12.8	24.4
HT X	5.43	6.79	8.21
HT 2	18.7	13.5	5.59

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	21.5	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.8
1.5	1.11	5.78
2.5	1.40	2.73
3.5	2.03	1.74
4.5	3.27	1.30
5.5	5.94	1.10
6.5	11.3	1.04
7.5	23.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.5
1.75	1.10	5.05
2	1.12	4.65
2.25	1.25	3.29
2.75	1.48	2.43
3	1.61	2.17
3.25	1.82	1.90
3.75	2.24	1.58
4	2.57	1.40
4.25	2.85	1.34
4.75	3.73	1.20
5	4.80	1.12
5.25	5.05	1.10
6	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.79	1.38
-1	2.50	1.47
-0.75	2.10	1.66
-0.5	1.89	1.88
-0.25	1.66	2.12
0	1.45	2.63

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.45	1.04
-3	10.5	1.06
-2.5	5.75	1.10
-2.25	5.75	1.14
-2	5.07	1.12
-1.75	3.65	1.22
-1.5	3.10	1.31
+0.25	1.34	3.01
+0.5	1.29	3.53
+0.75	1.19	4.05
+1	1.09	5.67
+1.25	1.08	6.10
+1.5	1.08	6.48
+1.75	1.02	7.90
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.23	3.45
9.5	1.43	2.51
10.5	1.74	1.98
11.5	2.14	1.61
12.5	2.69	1.37
13.5	3.40	1.23
14.5	4.60	1.13

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9.75	1.47	2.42
10	1.56	2.32
10.25	1.64	2.12
10.75	1.81	1.85
11	1.96	1.80
11.25	2.02	1.65
11.75	2.30	1.49
12	2.53	1.47

Next Eerste Divisie matches

7 Nov	Den Bosch – Jong Utrecht
8 Nov	Emmen – MVV

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

6 Nov	VVV Venlo 1-1 Jong PSV U21
6 Nov	Heracles 5-1 Roda
6 Nov	FC Eindhoven 0-3 Jong Ajax
6 Nov	FC OSS 1-1 Waalwijk
6 Nov	Jong AZ 1-3 Almere City FC
6 Nov	Helmond Sport 2-3 FC Volendam