NAC Breda vs Heracles• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#52.2:1.018:00Today · Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda2.4:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.39PINX4.00B36522.70BFRMargin at best3.9%Books10Markets67Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.36	3.85	2.70	5.4%
Pinnacle	2.41	3.74	2.68	5.5%
Bet365	2.30	4.00	2.62	6.6%
Betano	2.35	3.70	2.65	7.3%
Betfair	2.30	3.90	2.55	8.3%
1xBet	2.32	3.64	2.63	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.32	3.64	2.63	8.6%
BetVictor	2.30	3.75	2.60	8.6%
William Hill	2.38	3.40	2.62	9.6%
SBO	2.22	3.39	2.48	14.9%
Best of all books	2.41	4.00	2.70	3.5%
Average	2.33	3.70	2.62	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NAC BredaHeracles

Last 10#5Table position#11.82Points per game2.5513Form pts · last 5102.2Goals for · last 52.41.0Goals against · last 50.848Attack rating5244Defence rating5657Form rating4350H2H rating5028Goals model7244Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

NAC Breda

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:18 · per match 2.0 for, 1.8 against

16 Oct	A	Helmond Sport	2-0	W
9 Oct	H	MVV	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Vitesse	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	FC Eindhoven	4-2	W
20 Sep	A	De Graafschap	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Jong Utrecht	2-3	L
4 Sep	A	Waalwijk	2-4	L
28 Aug	A	Roda	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Jong Ajax	3-2	W
14 Aug	H	VVV Venlo	0-2	L

Heracles

8W 1D 1L · goals 32:10 · per match 3.2 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	MVV	5-1	W
9 Oct	H	Waalwijk	3-0	W
2 Oct	A	Helmond Sport	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	Vitesse	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Almere City FC	0-1	L
11 Sep	H	Jong AZ	3-2	W
4 Sep	H	De Graafschap	5-0	W
30 Aug	A	FC Eindhoven	3-1	W
24 Aug	A	Jong Utrecht	6-1	W
14 Aug	H	Den Bosch	3-2	W

Head to head

6NAC Breda wins

2draws

13Heracles wins

21 meetings · goals 27:45 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for NAC Breda

14 Feb 2026Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Heracles0-1NAC Breda
29 Oct 2025KNVB Beker	KNVB Beker	NAC Breda1-4Heracles
20 Sep 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NAC Breda2-1Heracles
31 Jan 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NAC Breda1-1Heracles
2 Nov 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Heracles2-0NAC Breda
12 May 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	NAC Breda0-3Heracles
11 Nov 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Heracles5-1NAC Breda
6 Apr 2019Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Heracles1-0NAC Breda
3 Nov 2018Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NAC Breda2-1Heracles
7 Feb 2018Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NAC Breda6-1Heracles

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, NAC Breda sit 5th with 20 points from 11 games, while Heracles are 1st with 28 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	11	9	1	1	36:13	+23	28
2	Almere City FC	11	7	1	3	23:9	+14	22
3	VVV Venlo	11	7	1	3	30:18	+12	22
4	Emmen	11	7	1	3	24:19	+5	22
5	NAC Breda	11	6	2	3	22:19	+3	20
6	Roda	11	5	4	2	12:9	+3	19
7	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	16:15	+1	17
8	FC Volendam	11	5	1	5	23:18	+5	16
9	MVV	11	5	1	5	14:25	-11	16
10	Waalwijk	11	3	6	2	20:16	+4	15
11	Jong AZ	11	4	2	5	26:22	+4	14
12	Den Bosch	11	4	2	5	16:19	-3	14
13	Jong PSV U21	11	3	4	4	15:18	-3	13
14	FC OSS	11	4	0	7	16:17	-1	12
15	FC Eindhoven	11	3	2	6	15:23	-8	11
16	Jong Ajax	11	3	2	6	15:26	-11	11
17	De Graafschap	11	3	2	6	14:25	-11	11
18	Dordrecht	11	3	2	6	14:27	-13	11
19	Helmond Sport	11	2	3	6	16:21	-5	9
20	Jong Utrecht	11	2	1	8	17:25	-8	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.31X25%3.71235%2.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.24 → 2.31 +3.1%X3.72 → 3.71 -0.3%22.77 → 2.63 -5.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.44	2.72	6.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Betano	1.45	2.62	7.1%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.45	2.88	3.7%
Average	1.42	2.68	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
William Hill	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.38	2.81	8.1%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.76	8.7%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.39	2.79	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NAC Breda 10%Draw 45%Heracles 45%

The statistical model rates NAC Breda at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Heracles at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.31 | 3.71 | 2.63, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: NAC Breda are 5th (20 pts, 22-19 goals), Heracles 1st (28 pts, 36-13).

Over their last five matches, NAC Breda averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Heracles averaged 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Heracles and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.33	3.70	2.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.55	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.77	1.98

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.73	2.43	3.06

2nd half

1	X	2
2.53	2.75	2.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.64	12.8	21.6
HT X	6.23	6.63	6.76
HT 2	20.9	13.0	4.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	20.8	1.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.6
1.5	1.11	5.69
2.5	1.42	2.68
3.5	2.07	1.71
4.5	3.38	1.28
5.5	6.09	1.10
6.5	11.7	1.04
7.5	26.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.5
1.75	1.11	4.90
2	1.14	4.45
2.25	1.27	3.15
2.75	1.51	2.37
3	1.66	2.11
3.25	1.88	1.86
3.75	2.30	1.55
4	2.68	1.37
4.25	2.94	1.32
4.75	3.87	1.19
5	5.00	1.10
5.25	5.30	1.09
6	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.66	1.42
-0.5	2.32	1.58
-0.25	2.04	1.72
0	1.77	1.99
+0.25	1.57	2.28
+0.5	1.48	2.60

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	7.83	1.04
-2	6.85	1.04
-1.75	5.05	1.13
-1.5	4.00	1.19
-1.25	3.65	1.24
-1	3.41	1.27
+0.75	1.33	3.07
+1	1.20	4.02
+1.25	1.17	4.34
+1.5	1.14	4.78
+1.75	1.09	5.98
+2	1.02	8.30
+2.5	1.02	9.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.16	4.10
8.5	1.33	2.92
9.5	1.59	2.20
10.5	1.98	1.75
11.5	2.51	1.46
12.5	3.33	1.27
13.5	4.10	1.16

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9	1.45	2.59
9.25	1.47	2.35
9.75	1.63	2.06
10	1.82	1.97
10.25	1.84	1.82
10.75	2.11	1.65
11	2.31	1.56
11.25	2.40	1.48

Next Eerste Divisie matches

23 Oct	De Graafschap – Waalwijk
23 Oct	FC Volendam – Jong Utrecht
23 Oct	FC OSS – Jong Ajax
23 Oct	FC Eindhoven – Jong PSV U21
23 Oct	Vitesse – Emmen
23 Oct	Almere City FC – Roda

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

19 Oct	Jong PSV U21 0-1 Dordrecht
19 Oct	Jong Utrecht 1-2 Roda
19 Oct	Jong Ajax 2-1 De Graafschap
18 Oct	MVV 1-5 Heracles
18 Oct	Waalwijk 1-1 FC Volendam
17 Oct	Emmen 2-1 Almere City FC