Almere City FC vs Roda• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#21.6:1.018:00Today · Yanmar Stadion, Almere1.0:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91DAFX3.90BFR23.90B365Margin at best3.6%Books10Markets67Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.91	3.85	3.75	5.0%
Pinnacle	1.86	3.75	3.94	5.8%
Betfair	1.80	3.90	3.90	6.8%
Bet365	1.85	3.75	3.80	7.0%
Betano	1.87	3.80	3.65	7.2%
1xBet	1.82	3.78	3.78	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.80	3.78	3.78	8.5%
William Hill	1.91	3.50	3.60	8.7%
BetVictor	1.85	3.70	3.60	8.9%
SBO	1.89	3.26	3.20	14.8%
Best of all books	1.91	3.90	3.94	3.4%
Average	1.86	3.71	3.70	7.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Almere City FCRoda

Last 10#2Table position#62.00Points per game1.739Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.862Attack rating3844Defence rating5653Form rating4740H2H rating6080Goals model2053Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Almere City FC

7W 0D 3L · goals 22:8 · per match 2.2 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	A	Emmen	1-2	L
9 Oct	H	FC Eindhoven	3-0	W
3 Oct	H	FC Volendam	1-0	W
25 Sep	A	Dordrecht	2-3	L
18 Sep	H	Heracles	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	MVV	4-0	W
4 Sep	H	Jong Ajax	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	De Graafschap	4-1	W
21 Aug	A	Vitesse	3-0	W
14 Aug	H	Jong PSV U21	3-1	W

Roda

5W 4D 1L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

19 Oct	A	Jong Utrecht	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Jong PSV U21	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	VVV Venlo	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Waalwijk	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Jong Ajax	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Vitesse	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	MVV	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	NAC Breda	2-2	D
21 Aug	A	Dordrecht	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Helmond Sport	2-1	W

Head to head

6Almere City FC wins

2draws

4Roda wins

12 meetings · goals 17:17 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Almere City FC

30 Jan 2026Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC1-2Roda
20 Oct 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda2-0Almere City FC
24 Feb 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda0-2Almere City FC
30 Sep 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC2-1Roda
14 Jan 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC0-4Roda
27 Aug 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda3-4Almere City FC
9 Apr 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda0-0Almere City FC
10 Oct 2020Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC2-1Roda
20 Dec 2019Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC2-0Roda
9 Aug 2019Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda1-1Almere City FC

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Almere City FC sit 2nd with 22 points from 11 games, while Roda are 6th with 19 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	11	9	1	1	36:13	+23	28
2	Almere City FC	11	7	1	3	23:9	+14	22
3	VVV Venlo	11	7	1	3	30:18	+12	22
4	Emmen	11	7	1	3	24:19	+5	22
5	NAC Breda	11	6	2	3	22:19	+3	20
6	Roda	11	5	4	2	12:9	+3	19
7	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	16:15	+1	17
8	FC Volendam	11	5	1	5	23:18	+5	16
9	MVV	11	5	1	5	14:25	-11	16
10	Waalwijk	11	3	6	2	20:16	+4	15
11	Jong AZ	11	4	2	5	26:22	+4	14
12	Den Bosch	11	4	2	5	16:19	-3	14
13	Jong PSV U21	11	3	4	4	15:18	-3	13
14	FC OSS	11	4	0	7	16:17	-1	12
15	FC Eindhoven	11	3	2	6	15:23	-8	11
16	Jong Ajax	11	3	2	6	15:26	-11	11
17	De Graafschap	11	3	2	6	14:25	-11	11
18	Dordrecht	11	3	2	6	14:27	-13	11
19	Helmond Sport	11	2	3	6	16:21	-5	9
20	Jong Utrecht	11	2	1	8	17:25	-8	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.85X25%3.71225%3.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.85 → 1.85 0.0%X3.81 → 3.71 -2.6%23.66 → 3.72 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.64	2.26	5.2%
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betano	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.59	2.25	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.25	7.3%
BetVictor	1.59	2.16	9.2%
Best of all books	1.65	2.38	2.6%
Average	1.60	2.26	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Betano	1.55	2.30	8.0%
1xBet	1.54	2.32	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.28	8.8%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Average	1.55	2.30	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Almere City FC 35%Draw 35%Roda 30%

The statistical model rates Almere City FC at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Roda at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.71 | 3.72, which imply roughly 54.1% for a Almere City FC win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Almere City FC are 2nd (22 pts, 23-9 goals), Roda 6th (19 pts, 12-9).

Over their last five matches, Almere City FC averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Roda averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Almere City FC or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.86	3.71	3.70

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.89	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.77

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.30

1st half

1	X	2
2.33	2.34	4.06

2nd half

1	X	2
2.14	2.66	3.70

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.81	13.6	31.3
HT X	4.99	6.25	8.65
HT 2	20.5	14.3	6.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	15.6	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.2
1.5	1.17	4.54
2.5	1.60	2.26
3.5	2.45	1.49
4.5	4.40	1.18
5.5	8.35	1.05
6.5	16.3	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.70
1.25	1.06	6.05
1.75	1.17	3.95
2	1.22	3.52
2.25	1.43	2.61
2.75	1.75	2.00
3	1.97	1.76
3.25	2.21	1.59
3.75	2.83	1.34
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.91	1.18
4.75	5.25	1.09
5	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.79	1.38
-1	2.49	1.50
-0.75	2.07	1.69
-0.5	1.87	1.92
-0.25	1.59	2.21
0	1.38	2.81

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.03
-2.5	6.05	1.09
-2.25	5.67	1.09
-2	5.35	1.11
-1.75	3.79	1.21
-1.5	3.08	1.32
+0.25	1.29	3.26
+0.5	1.26	3.80
+0.75	1.15	4.58
+1	1.06	6.87
+1.25	1.03	7.30
+1.5	1.03	7.70
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.18	3.90
8.5	1.34	2.82
9.5	1.60	2.15
10.5	1.96	1.75
11.5	2.49	1.44
12.5	3.31	1.25
13.5	4.30	1.15

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9	1.45	2.59
9.25	1.48	2.33
9.75	1.65	2.03
10	1.81	1.95
10.25	1.85	1.81
10.75	2.14	1.63
11	2.32	1.56
11.25	2.42	1.47

Next Eerste Divisie matches

23 Oct	De Graafschap – Waalwijk
23 Oct	FC Volendam – Jong Utrecht
23 Oct	FC OSS – Jong Ajax
23 Oct	FC Eindhoven – Jong PSV U21
23 Oct	Vitesse – Emmen
23 Oct	NAC Breda – Heracles

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

19 Oct	Jong PSV U21 0-1 Dordrecht
19 Oct	Jong Ajax 2-1 De Graafschap
19 Oct	Jong Utrecht 1-2 Roda
18 Oct	MVV 1-5 Heracles
18 Oct	Waalwijk 1-1 FC Volendam
17 Oct	Emmen 2-1 Almere City FC