De Graafschap vs 
Waalwijk• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:47 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.95 | 2.50 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 2.46 | 4.14 | 2.46 | 5.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.85 | 2.47 | 6.9% |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 4.00 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 2.47 | 3.84 | 2.38 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.47 | 3.84 | 2.38 | 8.5% |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.80 | 2.40 | 8.8% |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.80 | 2.40 | 8.8% |
| SBO | 2.36 | 3.48 | 2.28 | 15.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.50 | 4.14 | 2.50 | 4.2% |
| Average | 2.45 | 3.84 | 2.42 | 8.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC
De Graafschap
3W 1D 6L · goals 13:24 · per match 1.3 for, 2.4 against
| 19 Oct | A | Jong Ajax | 1-2 | L |
| 9 Oct | H | Jong Utrecht | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | FC Eindhoven | 2-2 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Den Bosch | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | NAC Breda | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Emmen | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Sep | A | Heracles | 0-5 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Almere City FC | 1-4 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | VVV Venlo | 1-2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Jong AZ | 2-5 | L |
Waalwijk
3W 5D 2L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against
| 18 Oct | H | FC Volendam | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Oct | A | Heracles | 0-3 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Emmen | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Roda | 0-2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | MVV | 6-1 | W |
| 11 Sep | A | Jong Ajax | 2-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | NAC Breda | 4-2 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | Jong PSV U21 | 2-2 | D |
| 21 Aug | A | Helmond Sport | 1-1 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | Dordrecht | 2-2 | D |
Head to head
8 meetings · goals 13:11 · last 8: 3W 1D 4L for De Graafschap
| 23 Jan 2026Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | De Graafschap2-4Waalwijk |
| 9 Nov 2025Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Waalwijk1-4De Graafschap |
| 30 Mar 2018Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | De Graafschap1-0Waalwijk |
| 2 Sep 2017Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Waalwijk0-0De Graafschap |
| 7 Apr 2017Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | De Graafschap4-0Waalwijk |
| 25 Nov 2016Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Waalwijk2-1De Graafschap |
| 17 Mar 2012Eredivisie | Eredivisie | Waalwijk1-0De Graafschap |
| 16 Dec 2011Eredivisie | Eredivisie | De Graafschap1-3Waalwijk |
Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC
In the Eerste Divisie table, De Graafschap sit 17th with 11 points from 11 games, while Waalwijk are 10th with 15 points from 11.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 36:13 | +23 | 28 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:9 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 30:18 | +12 | 22 |
| 4 | Emmen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:19 | +5 | 22 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Roda | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 | Vitesse | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23:18 | +5 | 16 |
| 9 | MVV | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:25 | -11 | 16 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 20:16 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 | Jong AZ | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26:22 | +4 | 14 |
| 12 | Den Bosch | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Jong PSV U21 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | FC OSS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 11 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 7 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 2.93 | 6.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 6.2% |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 2.88 | 6.2% |
| Betano | 1.40 | 2.82 | 6.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 2.90 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 2.74 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 2.74 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 2.93 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.38 | 2.84 | 7.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.36 | 3.10 | 5.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 6.9% |
| Betano | 1.36 | 2.90 | 8.0% |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 2.90 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 2.99 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 3.00 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.34 | 2.93 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.36 | 3.10 | 5.8% |
| Average | 1.35 | 2.97 | 7.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates De Graafschap at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Waalwijk at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.46 | 3.88 | 2.42, which imply roughly 40.7% for a De Graafschap win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: De Graafschap are 17th (11 pts, 14-25 goals), Waalwijk 10th (15 pts, 20-16).
Over their last five matches, De Graafschap averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Waalwijk averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : De Graafschap or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | 3.85 | 2.42 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.87 | 1.85 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.35 | 2.97 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.88 | 2.51 | 2.80 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.66 | 2.85 | 2.61 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.87 | 12.9 | 20.6 |
| HT X | 6.64 | 6.97 | 6.56 |
| HT 2 | 21.1 | 13.0 | 3.78 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 24.5 | 1.84 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 17.3 |
| 1.5 | 1.09 | 6.17 |
| 2.5 | 1.38 | 2.84 |
| 3.5 | 1.97 | 1.79 |
| 4.5 | 3.15 | 1.32 |
| 5.5 | 5.61 | 1.12 |
| 6.5 | 10.3 | 1.05 |
| 7.5 | 21.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 41.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 12.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.08 | 5.45 |
| 2 | 1.10 | 5.00 |
| 2.25 | 1.23 | 3.43 |
| 2.75 | 1.43 | 2.51 |
| 3 | 1.55 | 2.28 |
| 3.25 | 1.77 | 1.97 |
| 3.75 | 2.18 | 1.61 |
| 4 | 2.54 | 1.45 |
| 4.25 | 2.83 | 1.34 |
| 4.75 | 3.71 | 1.20 |
| 5 | 4.80 | 1.11 |
| 5.25 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| 6 | 9.30 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.42 | 1.53 |
| -0.25 | 2.16 | 1.63 |
| 0 | 1.89 | 1.86 |
| +0.25 | 1.66 | 2.12 |
| +0.5 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| +0.75 | 1.39 | 2.77 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
| -2.5 | 8.70 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -1.75 | 5.65 | 1.10 |
| -1.5 | 4.43 | 1.16 |
| -1.25 | 4.07 | 1.19 |
| -1 | 3.69 | 1.24 |
| -0.75 | 2.85 | 1.37 |
| +1 | 1.25 | 3.56 |
| +1.25 | 1.20 | 3.92 |
| +1.5 | 1.17 | 4.33 |
| +1.75 | 1.11 | 5.45 |
| +2 | 1.03 | 7.50 |
| +2.5 | 1.03 | 8.37 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| 8.5 | 1.27 | 3.28 |
| 9.5 | 1.50 | 2.39 |
| 10.5 | 1.84 | 1.87 |
| 11.5 | 2.30 | 1.54 |
| 12.5 | 2.94 | 1.33 |
| 13.5 | 3.60 | 1.21 |
7 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.75 | 1.52 | 2.30 |
| 10 | 1.70 | 2.08 |
| 10.25 | 1.69 | 2.02 |
| 10.75 | 1.88 | 1.78 |
| 11 | 2.16 | 1.65 |
| 11.25 | 2.12 | 1.59 |
| 11.75 | 2.42 | 1.44 |
Next Eerste Divisie matches
| 23 Oct | FC Volendam – Jong Utrecht |
| 23 Oct | FC OSS – Jong Ajax |
| 23 Oct | FC Eindhoven – Jong PSV U21 |
| 23 Oct | Vitesse – Emmen |
| 23 Oct | Almere City FC – Roda |
| 23 Oct | NAC Breda – Heracles |
Latest Eerste Divisie results
| 19 Oct | Jong PSV U21 0-1 Dordrecht |
| 19 Oct | Jong Ajax 2-1 De Graafschap |
| 19 Oct | Jong Utrecht 1-2 Roda |
| 18 Oct | MVV 1-5 Heracles |
| 18 Oct | Waalwijk 1-1 FC Volendam |
| 17 Oct | Emmen 2-1 Almere City FC |