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Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#112.2:2.018:00Today · AFAS Trainingscomplex, Alkmaar0.8:2.2#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.92DAFX4.20B36523.65PINMargin at best3.3%Books10Markets72Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:47 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.924.103.554.6%
Pinnacle1.864.063.655.8%
Bet3651.854.203.506.4%
Betano1.913.903.457.0%
Betfair1.854.103.507.0%
1xBet1.823.903.658.0%
BetVictor1.854.003.408.5%
Marathonbet1.803.903.648.7%
William Hill1.853.753.4010.1%
SBO1.893.453.0215.0%
Best of all books1.924.203.653.3%
Average1.863.943.487.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jong AZHelmond Sport
Last 10#11Table position#191.27Points per game0.825Form pts · last 512.2Goals for · last 50.82.0Goals against · last 52.273Attack rating2752Defence rating4883Form rating1720H2H rating8069Goals model3156Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Jong AZ

4W 2D 4L · goals 26:21 · per match 2.6 for, 2.1 against

16 OctAVVV Venlo4-4D
9 OctHDen Bosch0-1L
18 SepHFC Volendam4-1W
14 SepAJong PSV U211-1D
11 SepAHeracles2-3L
5 SepADordrecht6-3W
31 AugHJong Utrecht2-1W
28 AugHMVV1-2L
21 AugAEmmen1-3L
17 AugADe Graafschap5-2W

Helmond Sport

2W 2D 6L · goals 15:20 · per match 1.5 for, 2.0 against

16 OctHNAC Breda0-2L
9 OctAFC OSS1-3L
2 OctHHeracles2-2D
26 SepAMVV0-2L
18 SepADen Bosch1-2L
11 SepHJong PSV U213-1W
4 SepHVVV Venlo4-2W
28 AugAJong Ajax2-3L
21 AugHWaalwijk1-1D
14 AugARoda1-2L

Head to head

6Jong AZ wins
3draws
8Helmond Sport wins

17 meetings · goals 28:31 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Jong AZ

3 Apr 2026Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong AZ2-0Helmond Sport
17 Oct 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieHelmond Sport4-2Jong AZ
26 Jan 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieHelmond Sport2-1Jong AZ
18 Oct 2024Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong AZ2-3Helmond Sport
11 Mar 2024Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieHelmond Sport3-1Jong AZ
10 Nov 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong AZ2-1Helmond Sport
23 Jan 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong AZ1-1Helmond Sport
12 Aug 2022Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieHelmond Sport1-3Jong AZ
29 Apr 2022Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong AZ0-1Helmond Sport
13 Aug 2021Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieHelmond Sport1-2Jong AZ

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Jong AZ sit 11th with 14 points from 11 games, while Helmond Sport are 19th with 9 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Heracles1191136:13+2328
2Almere City FC1171323:9+1422
3VVV Venlo1171330:18+1222
4Emmen1171324:19+522
5NAC Breda1162322:19+320
6Roda1154212:9+319
7Vitesse1152416:15+117
8FC Volendam1151523:18+516
9MVV1151514:25-1116
10Waalwijk1136220:16+415
11Jong AZ1142526:22+414
12Den Bosch1142516:19-314
13Jong PSV U211134415:18-313
14FC OSS1140716:17-112
15FC Eindhoven1132615:23-811
16Jong Ajax1132615:26-1111
17De Graafschap1132614:25-1111
18Dordrecht1132614:27-1311
19Helmond Sport1123616:21-59
20Jong Utrecht1121817:25-87

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.86X24%3.94227%3.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Oct 00:0022 Oct 21:001 1.86X 3.942 3.48
11.63 → 1.86 +14.1%X4.38 → 3.94 -10.0%24.28 → 3.48 -18.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.402.886.2%
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Pinnacle1.392.926.2%
Betano1.442.676.9%
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
1xBet1.352.7410.6%
Marathonbet1.352.7410.6%
Best of all books1.442.923.7%
Average1.382.827.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Betano1.422.677.9%
1xBet1.382.818.1%
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
Marathonbet1.382.768.7%
William Hill1.362.809.2%
Best of all books1.442.884.2%
Average1.392.777.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jong AZ 45%Draw 45%Helmond Sport 10%

The statistical model rates Jong AZ at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Helmond Sport at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.94 | 3.48, which imply roughly 53.8% for a Jong AZ win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Jong AZ are 11th (14 pts, 26-22 goals), Helmond Sport 19th (9 pts, 16-21).

Over their last five matches, Jong AZ averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Helmond Sport averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Jong AZ or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.863.943.48

Double chance

1XX212
1.271.891.22

Draw no bet

12
1.432.65

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.392.77

1st half

1X2
2.272.523.80

2nd half

1X2
2.112.893.49

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7813.025.9
HT X5.416.898.53
HT 218.813.95.69

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6122.02.24

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.6
1.51.106.13
2.51.382.82
3.52.001.76
4.53.221.30
5.55.811.11
6.510.41.05
7.518.31.01
8.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.5
1.751.095.40
21.114.95
2.251.233.43
2.751.452.53
31.582.24
3.251.791.95
3.752.191.60
42.501.46
4.252.801.35
4.753.591.21
54.701.12
5.255.001.10
69.00–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.641.42
-12.431.52
-0.752.041.70
-0.51.861.92
-0.251.612.17
01.402.71
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.601.02
-38.751.02
-2.756.101.09
-2.55.601.11
-2.255.101.12
-24.781.14
-1.753.481.25
-1.52.911.37
+0.251.323.08
+0.51.303.54
+0.751.174.27
+11.086.07
+1.251.076.53
+1.51.076.83
+2.51.0212.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.154.30
8.51.303.04
9.51.532.29
10.51.881.82
11.52.371.49
12.53.021.29
13.53.901.18
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
9.251.432.46
9.751.572.16
101.702.07
10.251.771.89
10.752.021.71
112.181.64
11.252.281.53

Next Eerste Divisie matches

23 OctDe Graafschap – Waalwijk
23 OctFC Volendam – Jong Utrecht
23 OctFC OSS – Jong Ajax
23 OctFC Eindhoven – Jong PSV U21
23 OctVitesse – Emmen
23 OctAlmere City FC – Roda

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

19 OctJong PSV U21 0-1 Dordrecht
19 OctJong Ajax 2-1 De Graafschap
19 OctJong Utrecht 1-2 Roda
18 OctMVV 1-5 Heracles
18 OctWaalwijk 1-1 FC Volendam
17 OctEmmen 2-1 Almere City FC