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Vitesse vs NAC Breda• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#71.8:1.22-2FT03/10 · GelreDome, Arnhem2.4:2.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20B365X4.15PIN22.10B365Margin at best3.0%Books8Markets51Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 03:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.694.002.256.6%
Betano2.753.752.277.1%
Betfair2.703.902.257.1%
1xBet2.743.822.217.9%
Bet3652.803.602.257.9%
BetVictor2.753.752.208.5%
Marathonbet2.723.822.198.6%
William Hill2.703.752.209.2%
Best of all books2.804.002.274.8%
Average2.733.802.237.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VitesseNAC Breda
Last 10#7Table position#51.55Points per game1.827Form pts · last 5131.8Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 52.443Attack rating5767Defence rating3356Form rating4460H2H rating4043Goals model5756Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 00:01 UTC

Vitesse

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

16 OctAFC Eindhoven1-0W
9 OctAFC Volendam0-2L
3 OctHNAC Breda2-2D
26 SepAHeracles0-2L
19 SepHJong PSV U213-1W
12 SepARoda0-1L
4 SepHFC OSS2-1W
28 AugADen Bosch4-1W
21 AugHAlmere City FC0-3L
17 AugAJong Utrecht3-1W

NAC Breda

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:18 · per match 2.0 for, 1.8 against

16 OctAHelmond Sport2-0W
9 OctHMVV1-0W
3 OctAVitesse2-2D
26 SepHFC Eindhoven4-2W
20 SepADe Graafschap2-1W
11 SepHJong Utrecht2-3L
4 SepAWaalwijk2-4L
28 AugARoda2-2D
22 AugHJong Ajax3-2W
14 AugHVVV Venlo0-2L

Head to head

8Vitesse wins
3draws
3NAC Breda wins

14 meetings · goals 25:12 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Vitesse

2 Mar 2019EredivisieEredivisieVitesse4-1NAC Breda
9 Dec 2018EredivisieEredivisieNAC Breda2-1Vitesse
7 Apr 2018EredivisieEredivisieNAC Breda1-0Vitesse
12 Aug 2017EredivisieEredivisieVitesse4-1NAC Breda
7 Feb 2015EredivisieEredivisieNAC Breda0-1Vitesse
25 Oct 2014EredivisieEredivisieVitesse2-2NAC Breda
8 Mar 2014EredivisieEredivisieNAC Breda1-2Vitesse
15 Dec 2013EredivisieEredivisieVitesse3-2NAC Breda
6 Apr 2013EredivisieEredivisieVitesse3-0NAC Breda
20 Oct 2012EredivisieEredivisieNAC Breda0-3Vitesse

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 20 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Vitesse sit 7th with 17 points from 11 games, while NAC Breda are 5th with 20 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Heracles1191136:13+2328
2Almere City FC1171323:9+1422
3VVV Venlo1171330:18+1222
4Emmen1171324:19+522
5NAC Breda1162322:19+320
6Roda1154212:9+319
7Vitesse1152416:15+117
8FC Volendam1151523:18+516
9MVV1151514:25-1116
10Waalwijk1136220:16+415
11Jong AZ1142526:22+414
12Den Bosch1142516:19-314
13Jong PSV U211134415:18-313
14FC OSS1140716:17-112
15FC Eindhoven1132615:23-811
16Jong Ajax1132615:26-1111
17De Graafschap1132614:25-1111
18Dordrecht1132614:27-1311
19Helmond Sport1123616:21-59
20Jong Utrecht1121817:25-87

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%3.00X24%3.84245%2.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Sep 00:013 Oct 10:311 3.00X 3.822 2.06
12.73 → 3.00 +9.9%X3.80 → 3.82 +0.5%22.23 → 2.06 -7.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.482.606.0%
Pinnacle1.492.546.5%
Betano1.472.557.2%
BetVictor1.452.607.4%
1xBet1.422.4910.6%
Marathonbet1.422.4910.6%
Best of all books1.492.605.6%
Average1.462.558.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
William Hill1.442.627.6%
1xBet1.412.698.1%
Betano1.422.658.2%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
Marathonbet1.412.648.8%
Best of all books1.442.706.5%
Average1.422.658.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vitesse 45%Draw 45%NAC Breda 10%

The statistical model rated Vitesse at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and NAC Breda at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.00 | 3.84 | 2.08, which imply roughly 33.3% for a Vitesse win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Vitesse are 7th (17 pts, 16-15 goals), NAC Breda 5th (20 pts, 22-19).

Over their last five matches, Vitesse averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; NAC Breda averaged 2.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Vitesse or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Vitesse

4-4-2

Coach: R. Rehm

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. van den Berg

Defence

  • 24N. Markelo
  • 55M. Steffen
  • 17V. Zumberi
  • 22Xiamaro Thenu

Midfield

  • 20F. de Carvalho
  • 6M. Schikora
  • 33M. Marschalk
  • 21A. Sellouf

Attack

  • 19J. Hilterman
  • 9N. Bannis
Substitutes (10)
  • 16P. Dahbo
  • 28A. Büttner
  • 31M. Brull
  • 14O. Achouitar
  • 34Y. Ouallil
  • 2S. Bonnah
  • 13J. Pinto
  • 11Yuval Ranon
  • 7Nino Zonneveld
  • 38Koen te Veluwe

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Kruijs

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Verrips

Defence

  • 2B. Lucassen
  • 4L. Greiml
  • 22R. Hillen
  • 12J. Van den Bergh

Midfield

  • 78J. Van Hecke
  • 6M. Balard
  • 14K. Sowah
  • 10M. Nassoh
  • 28C. Brym

Attack

  • 9M. Soumano
Substitutes (10)
  • 17M. Bouchouari
  • 35M. Brouwers
  • 5J. Candelaria
  • 55B. Ghalidi
  • 8F. Oldrup Jensen
  • 23R. Kortsmit
  • 31K. Lamprou
  • 11G. Misehouy
  • 34I. Nazih
  • 33E. Ikpia

Match Statistics

VitesseNAC Breda
252Passes accurate420
7Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox4
1Blocked Shots6
10Free Kicks15
4Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
4Shots off Goal6
4Offsides0
329Total passes505
9Total Shots15
4Yellow Cards1
8Corner Kicks2
16Fouls11
0Red Cards0
41%Ball Possession59%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.733.802.23

Double chance

1XX212
1.601.421.24

Draw no bet

12
2.041.71

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.422.65

1st half

1X2
3.142.442.71

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0020.51.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.1
1.51.135.22
2.51.462.55
3.52.161.64
4.53.621.24
5.56.641.07
6.513.11.03
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0311.5
1.751.124.75
21.154.30
2.251.283.05
2.751.562.26
31.722.00
3.251.941.78
3.752.451.48
42.941.31
4.253.201.26
4.754.331.14
55.801.07
5.256.151.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.671.45
-0.252.361.53
02.071.69
+0.251.781.94
+0.51.622.22
+0.751.452.55
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.651.02
-28.301.03
-1.756.661.07
-1.55.181.12
-1.254.761.14
-14.331.16
-0.753.241.29
+11.293.23
+1.251.243.56
+1.51.203.93
+1.751.135.01
+21.076.75
+2.251.106.80
+2.51.037.87
+3.51.0113.0

Next Eerste Divisie matches

23 OctDen Bosch – MVV
23 OctFC Eindhoven – Jong PSV U21
23 OctJong AZ – Helmond Sport
23 OctNAC Breda – Heracles
23 OctVitesse – Emmen
23 OctAlmere City FC – Roda

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

19 OctJong PSV U21 0-1 Dordrecht
19 OctJong Ajax 2-1 De Graafschap
19 OctJong Utrecht 1-2 Roda
18 OctMVV 1-5 Heracles
18 OctWaalwijk 1-1 FC Volendam
17 OctEmmen 2-1 Almere City FC