OddsFilter

Vitesse vs NAC Breda• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#101.8:1.22-2FT03/10 · GelreDome, Arnhem2.4:2.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20B365X4.15PIN22.10B365Margin at best3.0%Books8Markets51Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 03:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.694.002.256.6%
Betano2.753.752.277.1%
Betfair2.703.902.257.1%
1xBet2.743.822.217.9%
Bet3652.803.602.257.9%
BetVictor2.753.752.208.5%
Marathonbet2.723.822.198.6%
William Hill2.703.752.209.2%
Best of all books2.804.002.274.8%
Average2.733.802.237.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VitesseNAC Breda
Last 10#10Table position#51.40Points per game1.704Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 52.443Attack rating5767Defence rating3356Form rating4460H2H rating4043Goals model5756Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 13:20 UTC

Vitesse

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

9 OctAFC Volendam0-2L
3 OctHNAC Breda2-2D
26 SepAHeracles0-2L
19 SepHJong PSV U213-1W
12 SepARoda0-1L
4 SepHFC OSS2-1W
28 AugADen Bosch4-1W
21 AugHAlmere City FC0-3L
17 AugAJong Utrecht3-1W
7 AugHWaalwijk1-1D

NAC Breda

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:19 · per match 2.0 for, 1.9 against

9 OctHMVV1-0W
3 OctAVitesse2-2D
26 SepHFC Eindhoven4-2W
20 SepADe Graafschap2-1W
11 SepHJong Utrecht2-3L
4 SepAWaalwijk2-4L
28 AugARoda2-2D
22 AugHJong Ajax3-2W
14 AugHVVV Venlo0-2L
7 AugAFC OSS2-1W

Head to head

8Vitesse wins
3draws
3NAC Breda wins

14 meetings · goals 25:12 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Vitesse

2 Mar 2019EredivisieEredivisieVitesse4-1NAC Breda
9 Dec 2018EredivisieEredivisieNAC Breda2-1Vitesse
7 Apr 2018EredivisieEredivisieNAC Breda1-0Vitesse
12 Aug 2017EredivisieEredivisieVitesse4-1NAC Breda
7 Feb 2015EredivisieEredivisieNAC Breda0-1Vitesse
25 Oct 2014EredivisieEredivisieVitesse2-2NAC Breda
8 Mar 2014EredivisieEredivisieNAC Breda1-2Vitesse
15 Dec 2013EredivisieEredivisieVitesse3-2NAC Breda
6 Apr 2013EredivisieEredivisieVitesse3-0NAC Breda
20 Oct 2012EredivisieEredivisieNAC Breda0-3Vitesse

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 15 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Vitesse sit 10th with 14 points from 10 games, while NAC Breda are 5th with 17 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Heracles1081131:12+1925
2Almere City FC1071222:7+1522
3VVV Venlo1070326:14+1221
4Emmen1061322:18+419
5NAC Breda1052320:19+117
6Roda1044210:8+216
7MVV1051413:20-716
8FC Volendam1050522:17+515
9Waalwijk1035219:15+414
10Vitesse1042415:15014
11Jong AZ1041522:18+413
12Jong PSV U211034315:17-213
13FC OSS1040615:15012
14Den Bosch1032514:18-411
15FC Eindhoven1032515:22-711
16De Graafschap1032513:23-1011
17Helmond Sport1023516:19-39
18Jong Ajax1022613:25-128
19Dordrecht1022613:27-148
20Jong Utrecht1021716:23-77

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%3.00X24%3.84245%2.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Sep 00:013 Oct 10:311 3.00X 3.822 2.06
12.73 → 3.00 +9.9%X3.80 → 3.82 +0.5%22.23 → 2.06 -7.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.482.606.0%
Pinnacle1.492.546.5%
Betano1.472.557.2%
BetVictor1.452.607.4%
1xBet1.422.4910.6%
Marathonbet1.422.4910.6%
Best of all books1.492.605.6%
Average1.462.558.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
William Hill1.442.627.6%
1xBet1.412.698.1%
Betano1.422.658.2%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
Marathonbet1.412.648.8%
Best of all books1.442.706.5%
Average1.422.658.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vitesse 45%Draw 45%NAC Breda 10%

The statistical model rated Vitesse at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and NAC Breda at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.00 | 3.84 | 2.08, which imply roughly 33.3% for a Vitesse win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Vitesse are 10th (14 pts, 15-15 goals), NAC Breda 5th (17 pts, 20-19).

Over their last five matches, Vitesse averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; NAC Breda averaged 2.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Vitesse or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Vitesse

4-4-2

Coach: R. Rehm

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. van den Berg

Defence

  • 24N. Markelo
  • 55M. Steffen
  • 17V. Zumberi
  • 22Xiamaro Thenu

Midfield

  • 20F. de Carvalho
  • 6M. Schikora
  • 33M. Marschalk
  • 21A. Sellouf

Attack

  • 19J. Hilterman
  • 9N. Bannis
Substitutes (10)
  • 16P. Dahbo
  • 28A. Büttner
  • 31M. Brull
  • 14O. Achouitar
  • 34Y. Ouallil
  • 2S. Bonnah
  • 13J. Pinto
  • 11Yuval Ranon
  • 7Nino Zonneveld
  • 38Koen te Veluwe

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Kruijs

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Verrips

Defence

  • 2B. Lucassen
  • 4L. Greiml
  • 22R. Hillen
  • 12J. Van den Bergh

Midfield

  • 78J. Van Hecke
  • 6M. Balard
  • 14K. Sowah
  • 10M. Nassoh
  • 28C. Brym

Attack

  • 9M. Soumano
Substitutes (10)
  • 17M. Bouchouari
  • 35M. Brouwers
  • 5J. Candelaria
  • 55B. Ghalidi
  • 8F. Oldrup Jensen
  • 23R. Kortsmit
  • 31K. Lamprou
  • 11G. Misehouy
  • 34I. Nazih
  • 33E. Ikpia

Match Statistics

VitesseNAC Breda
252Passes accurate420
7Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox4
1Blocked Shots6
10Free Kicks15
4Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
4Shots off Goal6
4Offsides0
329Total passes505
9Total Shots15
4Yellow Cards1
8Corner Kicks2
16Fouls11
0Red Cards0
41%Ball Possession59%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.733.802.23

Double chance

1XX212
1.601.421.24

Draw no bet

12
2.041.71

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.422.65

1st half

1X2
3.142.442.71

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0020.51.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.1
1.51.135.22
2.51.462.55
3.52.161.64
4.53.621.24
5.56.641.07
6.513.11.03
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0311.5
1.751.124.75
21.154.30
2.251.283.05
2.751.562.26
31.722.00
3.251.941.78
3.752.451.48
42.941.31
4.253.201.26
4.754.331.14
55.801.07
5.256.151.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.671.45
-0.252.361.53
02.071.69
+0.251.781.94
+0.51.622.22
+0.751.452.55
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.651.02
-28.301.03
-1.756.661.07
-1.55.181.12
-1.254.761.14
-14.331.16
-0.753.241.29
+11.293.23
+1.251.243.56
+1.51.203.93
+1.751.135.01
+21.076.75
+2.251.106.80
+2.51.037.87
+3.51.0113.0