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Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali• First League, Bulgaria

#31.6:0.85-0FT12/10 · Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad1.4:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.48B365X4.40BVC27.00B365Margin at best4.6%Books10Markets84Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 12:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.484.207.005.7%
Pinnacle1.484.206.995.7%
BetVictor1.454.407.006.0%
Dafabet1.484.206.407.0%
1xBet1.483.906.807.9%
Betano1.474.006.508.4%
Marathonbet1.473.906.708.6%
William Hill1.443.806.5011.1%
Betfair1.404.006.5011.8%
SBO1.413.625.5116.7%
Best of all books1.484.407.004.6%
Average1.464.026.598.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
Last 10#3Table position#62.60Points per game1.5515Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 51.653Attack rating4767Defence rating3361Form rating3938H2H rating6272Goals model2858Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Ludogorets

8W 2D 0L · goals 27:6 · per match 2.7 for, 0.6 against

17 OctABeroe3-0W
12 OctHArda Kardzhali5-0W
4 OctHCherno More Varna5-0W
27 SepHCSM Ramnicu Valcea3-0W
14 SepHSeptemvri Sofia2-1W
6 SepALokomotiv Sofia2-1W
30 AugASpartak Varna1-1D
22 AugHSlavia Sofia1-1D
15 AugHBotev Plovdiv2-0W
9 AugACherno More Varna3-2W

Arda Kardzhali

5W 1D 4L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

18 OctASpartak Plovdiv2-1W
12 OctALudogorets0-5L
2 OctALokomotiv Plovdiv0-2L
19 SepHCherno More Varna1-1D
12 SepACSKA Sofia1-4L
4 SepHBotev Plovdiv2-3L
31 AugHBotev Vratsa2-0W
24 AugALokomotiv Plovdiv1-0W
17 AugHLokomotiv Sofia3-1W
8 AugADunav Ruse2-0W

Head to head

9Ludogorets wins
6draws
2Arda Kardzhali wins

17 meetings · goals 37:15 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Ludogorets

15 Apr 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueArda Kardzhali1-0Ludogorets
9 Nov 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets2-3Arda Kardzhali
26 May 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets2-2Arda Kardzhali
9 May 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueArda Kardzhali1-1Ludogorets
4 Dec 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueArda Kardzhali0-4Ludogorets
3 Aug 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets5-1Arda Kardzhali
15 Apr 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets2-0Arda Kardzhali
22 Oct 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueArda Kardzhali0-0Ludogorets
14 Apr 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueArda Kardzhali1-2Ludogorets
18 Sep 2022First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets1-1Arda Kardzhali

First League tableA PFGupdated 22 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the First League table, Ludogorets sit 3rd with 26 points from 10 games, while Arda Kardzhali are 6th with 17 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Levski Sofia1091023:4+1928
2CSKA Sofia1183027:9+1827
3Ludogorets1082021:7+1426
4CSKA 19481171321:13+822
5Botev Plovdiv1161417:14+319
6Arda Kardzhali1152415:17-217
7Spartak Varna1134411:15-413
8Slavia Sofia112549:9011
9Botev Vratsa112369:20-119
10Dunav Ruse1122713:21-88
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv112276:14-88
12Lokomotiv Sofia1115512:19-78
13Septemvri Sofia1122710:21-118
14Cherno More Varna1113711:22-116

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.44X23%4.06214%6.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 00:0112 Oct 13:301 1.46X 4.022 6.59
11.60 → 1.46 -8.8%X3.67 → 4.02 +9.5%25.35 → 6.59 +23.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.871.974.2%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betano1.881.886.4%
1xBet1.851.887.2%
Marathonbet1.851.887.2%
SBO1.881.847.5%
Betfair1.751.958.4%
BetVictor1.811.869.0%
Best of all books1.881.974.0%
Average1.841.906.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.877.0%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
1xBet1.951.768.1%
Betano2.001.728.1%
BetVictor1.951.758.4%
William Hill1.851.838.7%
Marathonbet1.951.748.8%
Best of all books2.001.873.5%
Average1.941.778.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ludogorets 45%Draw 45%Arda Kardzhali 10%

The statistical model rated Ludogorets at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arda Kardzhali at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 4.06 | 6.80, which imply roughly 69.4% for a Ludogorets win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Ludogorets are 3rd (26 pts, 21-7 goals), Arda Kardzhali 6th (17 pts, 15-17).

Over their last five matches, Ludogorets averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Arda Kardzhali averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ludogorets or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Ludogorets

Coach: I. Jovičević

Goalkeeper

  • 39H. Bonmann

Defence

  • 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
  • 2J. Andersson
  • 15E. Kurtulus
  • 42S. Shishkov

Midfield

  • 6I. Zhelizko
  • 23Deroy Duarte
  • 14P. Stanić

Attack

  • 11Caio Vidal
  • 12Rwan Cruz
  • 37B. Tekpetey
Substitutes (11)
  • 20A. Camara
  • 18I. Chochev
  • 77Erick Marcus
  • 13I. Grbić
  • 8A. Hadžiahmetović
  • 26F. Kaloč
  • 16Nathan Fernandes
  • 3A. Nedyalkov
  • 22M. Polendakov
  • 44O. Rekik
  • 5G. Terziev

Arda Kardzhali

Coach: A. Tunchev

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Gospodinov

Defence

  • 5V. Lyubenov
  • 24M. Paskalev
  • 6V. Popov
  • 21V. Velev
  • 35D. Velkovski

Midfield

  • 80L. Kotev
  • 39A. Vutov

Attack

  • 91S. Ivanov
  • 10S. Kovachev
  • 9G. Nikolov
Substitutes (9)
  • 18S. Vasilev
  • 44Adama Ardile Traoré
  • 70Nabil Makni
  • 99B. Karagaren
  • 11A. Kabov
  • 22Y. Georgiev
  • 2Derick Fernando da Silva
  • 16P. Bachev
  • 26B. Akandzha

Match Statistics

LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
2Yellow Cards2
6Shots on Goal3
0Red Cards1
8Shots off Goal1
0Free Kicks0
70%Ball Possession30%
7Corner Kicks2
0Blocked Shots0
14Total Shots4

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.464.026.59

Double chance

1XX212
1.092.531.19

Draw no bet

12
1.154.97

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.941.77

1st half

1X2
1.992.256.32

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4210.03.34

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.82
1.51.253.63
2.51.841.90
3.53.121.33
4.55.991.10
5.511.51.04
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.38
11.027.80
1.251.134.60
1.751.293.04
21.402.72
2.251.622.18
2.752.041.69
32.441.49
3.252.691.36
3.753.581.21
44.901.11
4.255.251.09
4.756.751.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.741.40
-1.52.321.55
-1.252.061.70
-11.781.97
-0.751.582.25
-0.51.462.62
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.501.01
-37.801.02
-2.755.571.10
-2.54.301.17
-2.253.991.21
-23.571.25
-0.251.303.24
01.145.07
+0.251.125.37
+0.51.126.40
+0.751.057.80
+11.029.10
+1.51.0110.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.881.85

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.055.85
6.51.213.55
7.51.442.61
8.51.761.98
9.52.241.58
10.53.081.31
11.54.371.17
12.57.311.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.065.58
61.075.30
6.251.144.16
6.751.243.32
71.283.12
7.251.382.70
7.751.542.29
81.612.20
8.251.731.98
8.751.951.76
92.031.75
9.252.241.56
9.752.591.41
102.921.32
10.253.081.29
10.753.701.19
114.381.13
11.254.581.11
11.755.671.06
127.121.01
12.257.071.01

Next First League matches

23 OctCSKA 1948 – Botev Plovdiv
24 OctDunav Ruse – Spartak Varna
24 OctLokomotiv Sofia – Botev Vratsa
24 OctArda Kardzhali – Levski Sofia
24 OctCherno More Varna – Septemvri Sofia
24 OctCSKA Sofia – Ludogorets

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

11 OctCSKA 1948 2-3 CSKA Sofia
11 OctCherno More Varna 0-2 Levski Sofia
11 OctSeptemvri Sofia 2-3 Dunav Ruse
10 OctBotev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia
10 OctLokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
10 OctBotev Vratsa 0-1 Spartak Varna