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Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse• First League, Bulgaria

#131.0:1.82-3FT11/10 · Dragalevtsi Stadium,, Sofia1.2:2.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22BTNX3.25B36523.54PINMargin at best4.1%Books10Markets77Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 09:08 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.213.183.544.9%
Bet3652.203.253.405.6%
BetVictor2.203.203.406.1%
Dafabet2.203.203.307.0%
1xBet2.173.063.428.0%
Betano2.223.053.308.1%
Marathonbet2.153.063.408.6%
Betfair2.153.103.1011.0%
William Hill2.152.903.3011.3%
SBO2.082.923.0415.2%
Best of all books2.223.253.544.1%
Average2.173.093.328.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Septemvri SofiaDunav Ruse
Last 10#13Table position#100.73Points per game0.730Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 52.045Attack rating5553Defence rating4767Form rating3350H2H rating5035Goals model6550Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Septemvri Sofia

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

17 OctALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1-2L
11 OctHDunav Ruse2-3L
19 SepHBotev Plovdiv0-3L
14 SepALudogorets1-2L
4 SepHBotev Vratsa2-3L
28 AugASlavia Sofia1-1D
23 AugHCSKA 19481-0W
17 AugASpartak Varna1-0W
9 AugHCSKA Sofia0-3L
1 AugALevski Sofia0-3L

Dunav Ruse

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

17 OctARilski Sportist3-2W
11 OctASeptemvri Sofia3-2W
3 OctALudogorets II1-1D
26 SepACherno More Varna0-1L
19 SepHBotev Vratsa2-2D
12 SepACSKA 19481-2L
7 SepHSlavia Sofia0-1L
31 AugHLokomotiv Sofia2-2D
21 AugACherno More Varna1-3L
16 AugALokomotiv Plovdiv2-1W

Head to head

1Septemvri Sofia wins
3draws
2Dunav Ruse wins

6 meetings · goals 7:9 · last 6: 1W 3D 2L for Septemvri Sofia

22 Apr 2024Second LeagueSecond LeagueSeptemvri Sofia1-2Dunav Ruse
2 Oct 2023Second LeagueSecond LeagueDunav Ruse1-1Septemvri Sofia
26 Apr 2019First LeagueFirst LeagueSeptemvri Sofia1-1Dunav Ruse
8 Apr 2019First LeagueFirst LeagueDunav Ruse2-2Septemvri Sofia
9 Dec 2018First LeagueFirst LeagueSeptemvri Sofia2-1Dunav Ruse
24 Aug 2018First LeagueFirst LeagueDunav Ruse2-0Septemvri Sofia

First League tableA PFGupdated 21 Oct 00:05 UTC

In the First League table, Septemvri Sofia sit 13th with 8 points from 11 games, while Dunav Ruse are 10th with 8 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Levski Sofia1091023:4+1928
2CSKA Sofia1183027:9+1827
3Ludogorets1082021:7+1426
4CSKA 19481171321:13+822
5Botev Plovdiv1161417:14+319
6Arda Kardzhali1152415:17-217
7Spartak Varna1134411:15-413
8Slavia Sofia112549:9011
9Botev Vratsa112369:20-119
10Dunav Ruse1122713:21-88
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv112276:14-88
12Lokomotiv Sofia1115512:19-78
13Septemvri Sofia1122710:21-118
14Cherno More Varna1113711:22-116

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.13X29%3.14227%3.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 09:401 2.17X 3.092 3.32
12.29 → 2.17 -5.2%X3.05 → 3.09 +1.3%23.12 → 3.32 +6.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.281.644.8%
Bet3652.251.626.2%
Betano2.251.626.2%
1xBet2.211.617.4%
Marathonbet2.211.617.4%
Betfair2.201.608.0%
BetVictor2.141.618.8%
Best of all books2.281.644.8%
Average2.221.626.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.901.808.2%
Betano1.901.808.2%
BetVictor1.901.788.8%
Marathonbet1.901.788.8%
Best of all books1.911.856.4%
Average1.901.808.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Septemvri Sofia 35%Draw 35%Dunav Ruse 30%

The statistical model rated Septemvri Sofia at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Dunav Ruse at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.13 | 3.14 | 3.35, which imply roughly 46.9% for a Septemvri Sofia win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the First League table: Septemvri Sofia are 13th (8 pts, 10-21 goals), Dunav Ruse 10th (8 pts, 13-21).

Over their last five matches, Septemvri Sofia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Dunav Ruse averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Septemvri Sofia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Septemvri Sofia

Coach: Simão Freitas

Goalkeeper

  • 12V. Ivanov

Defence

  • 26V. Ozornwafor
  • 4M. Hristov
  • 15P. Gospodinov

Midfield

  • 8B. Penchev
  • 33G. Ivanov
  • 6Pedro Ferreira
  • 5Y. Baurenski

Attack

  • 19Pedro Igor
  • 27André Filipe Rio Liberal
  • 29F. Herard

Dunav Ruse

Coach: G. Chilikov

Goalkeeper

  • 33G. Kitanov

Defence

  • 88D. Todorov
  • 4J. Cabarcas
  • 51I. Budinov
  • 5K. Antoniou
  • 39Andre Alves

Midfield

  • 23Jordan Layn Saint-Louis
  • 10K. Boychev
  • 14R. Apostolov

Attack

  • 9Álex Valiño

Squad

  • 17W. Foneku

Match Statistics

Septemvri SofiaDunav Ruse
64%Ball Possession36%
4Shots off Goal2
7Corner Kicks4
0Free Kicks0
2Yellow Cards2
8Shots on Goal3
0Red Cards0
0Blocked Shots0
12Total Shots5

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.173.093.32

Double chance

1XX212
1.291.621.32

Draw no bet

12
1.552.34

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.901.80

1st half

1X2
2.841.994.05

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.827.302.36

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.60
1.51.382.82
2.52.221.62
3.54.031.20
4.58.121.05
5.516.91.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.056.55
11.075.90
1.251.213.58
1.751.482.46
21.652.11
2.251.941.79
2.752.541.45
33.161.27
3.253.501.22
3.754.951.11
47.101.04
4.257.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.521.46
-0.52.171.66
-0.251.841.90
01.532.40
+0.251.372.84
+0.51.323.41
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.257.851.02
-28.301.01
-1.755.551.10
-1.54.221.18
-1.253.821.22
-13.381.28
+0.751.184.31
+11.076.57
+1.251.067.06
+1.51.057.40

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.52.051.72

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.055.87
6.51.253.39
7.51.512.39
8.51.921.81
9.52.481.48
10.53.471.24
11.54.781.10
12.57.311.01
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.035.90
5.751.065.59
61.075.31
6.251.144.18
6.751.243.32
71.283.12
7.251.382.70
7.751.542.29
81.692.10
8.251.731.99
8.751.951.76
92.111.67
9.252.231.57
9.752.591.41
102.911.32
10.253.071.29
10.753.681.19
114.381.13
11.254.581.11
11.755.661.06
127.101.01
12.257.071.01
135.921.03

Next First League matches

23 OctCSKA 1948 – Botev Plovdiv
24 OctDunav Ruse – Spartak Varna
24 OctLokomotiv Sofia – Botev Vratsa
24 OctArda Kardzhali – Levski Sofia
24 OctCherno More Varna – Septemvri Sofia
24 OctLokomotiv Plovdiv – Slavia Sofia

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

12 OctLudogorets 5-0 Arda Kardzhali
11 OctCSKA 1948 2-3 CSKA Sofia
11 OctCherno More Varna 0-2 Levski Sofia
10 OctBotev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia
10 OctLokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
10 OctBotev Vratsa 0-1 Spartak Varna