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Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna• First League, Bulgaria

#91.2:1.20-1FT10/10 · Hristo Botev Stadium, Vratsa0.4:1.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85DAFX3.60B36524.92PINMargin at best2.2%Books10Markets78Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:17 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.833.344.805.4%
BetVictor1.833.404.506.3%
Bet3651.833.504.336.3%
Dafabet1.853.404.207.3%
1xBet1.803.284.568.0%
Betano1.783.404.458.1%
Marathonbet1.783.284.558.6%
Betfair1.753.304.2011.3%
William Hill1.803.104.2011.6%
SBO1.842.993.7314.6%
Best of all books1.853.504.803.5%
Average1.813.304.358.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
Last 10#9Table position#70.82Points per game1.184Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 50.41.2Goals against · last 51.875Attack rating2560Defence rating4073Form rating2762H2H rating3842Goals model5862Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Botev Vratsa

3W 2D 5L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

18 OctAFratria2-1W
14 OctABotev Plovdiv0-2L
10 OctHSpartak Varna0-1L
3 OctASlavia Sofia1-2L
19 SepADunav Ruse2-2D
13 SepHLevski Sofia0-0D
4 SepASeptemvri Sofia3-2W
31 AugAArda Kardzhali0-2L
24 AugHBotev Plovdiv1-0W
16 AugACSKA Sofia0-5L

Spartak Varna

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

19 OctAEtar Veliko Tarnovo4-2W
10 OctABotev Vratsa1-0W
20 SepHLokomotiv Sofia0-1L
13 SepASlavia Sofia0-0D
5 SepHCSKA Sofia1-1D
30 AugHLudogorets1-1D
22 AugALevski Sofia0-6L
17 AugHSeptemvri Sofia0-1L
10 AugABotev Plovdiv2-3L
3 AugHLokomotiv Plovdiv1-0W

Head to head

4Botev Vratsa wins
3draws
2Spartak Varna wins

9 meetings · goals 12:7 · last 9: 4W 3D 2L for Botev Vratsa

2 May 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueBotev Vratsa2-1Spartak Varna
4 Dec 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueBotev Vratsa2-0Spartak Varna
1 Aug 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueSpartak Varna1-1Botev Vratsa
1 Apr 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueSpartak Varna1-0Botev Vratsa
13 Sep 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueBotev Vratsa1-1Spartak Varna
13 May 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueBotev Vratsa1-1Spartak Varna
25 Feb 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueSpartak Varna2-1Botev Vratsa
15 Aug 2022First LeagueFirst LeagueBotev Vratsa1-0Spartak Varna
22 Jun 2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBotev Vratsa3-0Spartak Varna

First League tableA PFGupdated 22 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the First League table, Botev Vratsa sit 9th with 9 points from 11 games, while Spartak Varna are 7th with 13 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Levski Sofia1091023:4+1928
2CSKA Sofia1183027:9+1827
3Ludogorets1082021:7+1426
4CSKA 19481171321:13+822
5Botev Plovdiv1161417:14+319
6Arda Kardzhali1152415:17-217
7Spartak Varna1134411:15-413
8Slavia Sofia112549:9011
9Botev Vratsa112369:20-119
10Dunav Ruse1122713:21-88
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv112276:14-88
12Lokomotiv Sofia1115512:19-78
13Septemvri Sofia1122710:21-118
14Cherno More Varna1113711:22-116

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.81X28%3.30221%4.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 06:301 1.80X 3.312 4.39
11.97 → 1.80 -8.6%X3.14 → 3.31 +5.4%23.84 → 4.39 +14.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.241.674.5%
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Betano2.181.656.5%
1xBet2.141.657.3%
Marathonbet2.141.657.3%
Betfair2.101.658.2%
BetVictor2.111.629.1%
Best of all books2.241.674.5%
Average2.151.657.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.951.806.8%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
BetVictor2.001.737.8%
1xBet1.971.757.9%
William Hill1.911.807.9%
Betano2.001.728.1%
Marathonbet1.971.738.6%
Best of all books2.001.805.6%
Average1.971.757.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Botev Vratsa 45%Draw 45%Spartak Varna 10%

The statistical model rated Botev Vratsa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Spartak Varna at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.30 | 4.35, which imply roughly 55.2% for a Botev Vratsa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Botev Vratsa are 9th (9 pts, 9-20 goals), Spartak Varna 7th (13 pts, 11-15).

Over their last five matches, Botev Vratsa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Spartak Varna averaged 0.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Botev Vratsa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Botev Vratsa

Coach: Todor Simov

Goalkeeper

  • 94M. Orlinov

Defence

  • 25A. Buchkov
  • 3S. Sanyang
  • 36M. Stoev

Midfield

  • 17J. Gallegos
  • –M. Smolenski
  • 21R. Tsonev
  • 12I. Yurukov

Attack

  • 44I. Goranov
  • 97V. Naydenov
  • 16M. Petkov

Spartak Varna

Coach: V. Petrov

Goalkeeper

  • 23P. Iliev

Defence

  • 76David Valverde
  • 29Z. Tindano
  • 5D. Krastev
  • 44A. Granchov

Midfield

  • 6José Ricardo Gomes Sousa
  • 19S. Major

Attack

  • 10J. Lopes
  • 77A. Ivanov
  • 11Boubacar Hanne
  • 90C. Okoh

Match Statistics

Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
0Free Kicks0
2Yellow Cards2
10Shots on Goal4
42%Ball Possession58%
12Shots off Goal7
0Red Cards0
8Corner Kicks7
0Blocked Shots0
22Total Shots11

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.813.304.35

Double chance

1XX212
1.181.921.27

Draw no bet

12
1.333.15

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.971.75

1st half

1X2
2.432.044.97

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.607.952.74

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.02
1.51.362.92
2.52.151.65
3.53.961.21
4.58.101.05
5.516.91.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.20
11.056.45
1.251.193.80
1.751.462.50
21.622.16
2.251.911.83
2.752.501.48
33.101.28
3.253.421.23
3.754.901.11
47.101.04
4.257.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.971.36
-12.561.48
-0.752.041.70
-0.51.811.97
-0.251.542.33
01.303.22
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.001.06
-2.256.701.07
-26.171.08
-1.754.151.18
-1.53.341.28
+0.251.223.81
+0.51.214.45
+0.751.096.00
+11.028.60
+1.251.027.80
+1.51.019.50

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.52.151.65

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.094.96
7.51.273.30
8.51.522.37
9.51.891.84
10.52.411.50
11.53.271.27
12.54.821.10
13.56.631.03
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.045.62
6.751.104.72
71.124.49
7.251.203.67
7.751.303.00
81.342.83
8.251.442.51
8.751.612.17
91.692.07
9.251.801.90
9.752.021.70
102.181.62
10.252.311.53
10.752.671.39
113.001.30
11.253.161.27
11.753.761.18
124.441.12
12.254.631.11
12.755.681.06
137.061.02
13.256.421.03
145.551.05

Next First League matches

23 OctCSKA 1948 – Botev Plovdiv
24 OctDunav Ruse – Spartak Varna
24 OctLokomotiv Sofia – Botev Vratsa
24 OctArda Kardzhali – Levski Sofia
24 OctCherno More Varna – Septemvri Sofia
24 OctLokomotiv Plovdiv – Slavia Sofia

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

12 OctLudogorets 5-0 Arda Kardzhali
11 OctCSKA 1948 2-3 CSKA Sofia
11 OctCherno More Varna 0-2 Levski Sofia
11 OctSeptemvri Sofia 2-3 Dunav Ruse
10 OctBotev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia
10 OctLokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv