Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa• First League, Bulgaria

#121.0:1.413:30Tomorrow · Lokomotiv Stadium, Sofia1.0:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.88BTNX3.66PIN24.20B365Margin at best4.3%Books9Markets49Rating51 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:43 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.87	3.55	3.95	7.0%
Pinnacle	1.84	3.66	3.94	7.1%
Bet365	1.85	3.40	4.20	7.3%
1xBet	1.87	3.52	3.84	7.9%
Betano	1.88	3.35	4.00	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	3.52	3.82	8.6%
BetVictor	1.80	3.50	4.00	9.1%
Betfair	1.80	3.50	3.90	9.8%
William Hill	1.83	3.30	3.80	11.3%
Best of all books	1.88	3.66	4.20	4.3%
Average	1.84	3.48	3.94	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa

Last 10#12Table position#90.73Points per game0.8210Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5050Defence rating5050Form rating5050H2H rating5041Goals model5951Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Lokomotiv Sofia

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Vihren	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Radnicki NIS	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Spartak Varna	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	CSKA Sofia	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	Cherno More Varna	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Ludogorets	1-2	L
31 Aug	A	Dunav Ruse	2-2	D
17 Aug	A	Arda Kardzhali	1-3	L
8 Aug	H	CSKA 1948	1-3	L

Botev Vratsa

3W 2D 5L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

18 Oct	A	Fratria	2-1	W
14 Oct	A	Botev Plovdiv	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Spartak Varna	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Slavia Sofia	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Dunav Ruse	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Levski Sofia	0-0	D
4 Sep	A	Septemvri Sofia	3-2	W
31 Aug	A	Arda Kardzhali	0-2	L
24 Aug	H	Botev Plovdiv	1-0	W
16 Aug	A	CSKA Sofia	0-5	L

Head to head

9Lokomotiv Sofia wins

7draws

5Botev Vratsa wins

21 meetings · goals 26:16 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Lokomotiv Sofia

5 May 2026First League	First League	Lokomotiv Sofia2-2Botev Vratsa
14 Apr 2026First League	First League	Botev Vratsa3-2Lokomotiv Sofia
8 Nov 2025First League	First League	Lokomotiv Sofia0-1Botev Vratsa
7 May 2025First League	First League	Lokomotiv Sofia3-0Botev Vratsa
14 Feb 2025First League	First League	Botev Vratsa0-3Lokomotiv Sofia
23 Aug 2024First League	First League	Lokomotiv Sofia0-1Botev Vratsa
6 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Lokomotiv Sofia0-0Botev Vratsa
17 May 2024First League	First League	Lokomotiv Sofia1-1Botev Vratsa
6 Nov 2023First League	First League	Botev Vratsa0-2Lokomotiv Sofia
17 Jul 2023First League	First League	Lokomotiv Sofia1-0Botev Vratsa

First League tableA PFGupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First League table, Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th with 8 points from 11 games, while Botev Vratsa are 9th with 9 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	10	9	1	0	23:4	+19	28
2	CSKA Sofia	11	8	3	0	27:9	+18	27
3	Ludogorets	10	8	2	0	21:7	+14	26
4	CSKA 1948	11	7	1	3	21:13	+8	22
5	Botev Plovdiv	11	6	1	4	17:14	+3	19
6	Arda Kardzhali	11	5	2	4	15:17	-2	17
7	Spartak Varna	11	3	4	4	11:15	-4	13
8	Slavia Sofia	11	2	5	4	9:9	0	11
9	Botev Vratsa	11	2	3	6	9:20	-11	9
10	Dunav Ruse	11	2	2	7	13:21	-8	8
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	11	2	2	7	6:14	-8	8
12	Lokomotiv Sofia	11	1	5	5	12:19	-7	8
13	Septemvri Sofia	11	2	2	7	10:21	-11	8
14	Cherno More Varna	11	1	3	7	11:22	-11	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.85X27%3.47224%3.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.93 → 1.85 -4.1%X3.38 → 3.47 +2.7%23.63 → 3.91 +7.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betfair	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betano	1.95	1.83	5.9%
1xBet	1.89	1.83	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.83	7.6%
BetVictor	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.90	3.9%
Average	1.90	1.86	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.77	1.94	8.0%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.92	8.6%
Best of all books	1.78	2.10	3.8%
Average	1.75	1.97	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lokomotiv Sofia 35%Draw 35%Botev Vratsa 30%

The statistical model rates Lokomotiv Sofia at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Botev Vratsa at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.47 | 3.91, which imply roughly 54.1% for a Lokomotiv Sofia win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the First League table: Lokomotiv Sofia are 12th (8 pts, 12-19 goals), Botev Vratsa 9th (9 pts, 9-20).

Over their last five matches, Lokomotiv Sofia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Botev Vratsa averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lokomotiv Sofia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.84	3.48	3.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.87	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
2.44	2.18	4.42

2nd half

1	X	2
2.24	2.46	3.97

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.90	14.1	37.2
HT X	4.74	5.30	8.58
HT 2	23.8	14.6	6.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.63	9.35	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.48
1.5	1.27	3.45
2.5	1.90	1.86
3.5	3.20	1.31
4.5	6.21	1.09
5.5	12.1	1.03
6.5	21.5	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.20
1	1.03	7.70
1.25	1.14	4.41
1.75	1.33	2.89
2	1.44	2.57
2.25	1.66	2.09
2.75	2.12	1.65
3	2.54	1.45
3.25	2.85	1.34
3.75	3.85	1.19
4	5.15	1.10
4.25	5.50	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.95	1.35
-1	2.58	1.45
-0.75	2.07	1.67
-0.5	1.84	1.93
-0.25	1.60	2.23
0	1.37	2.92

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.70	1.07
-2.25	6.30	1.08
-2	5.87	1.09
-1.75	4.12	1.18
-1.5	3.28	1.29
+0.25	1.29	3.32
+0.5	1.24	3.97
+0.75	1.14	4.91
+1	1.04	7.10
+1.25	1.03	7.50
+1.5	1.02	7.90

Next First League matches

23 Oct	CSKA 1948 – Botev Plovdiv
24 Oct	Dunav Ruse – Spartak Varna
24 Oct	Arda Kardzhali – Levski Sofia
24 Oct	Cherno More Varna – Septemvri Sofia
24 Oct	CSKA Sofia – Ludogorets
24 Oct	Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Slavia Sofia

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

12 Oct	Ludogorets 5-0 Arda Kardzhali
11 Oct	CSKA 1948 2-3 CSKA Sofia
11 Oct	Cherno More Varna 0-2 Levski Sofia
11 Oct	Septemvri Sofia 2-3 Dunav Ruse
10 Oct	Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia
10 Oct	Lokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv