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CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets• First League, Bulgaria

#22.2:1.015:00Tomorrow · National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia2.2:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.44PINX3.35DAF22.92PINMargin at best5.1%Books8Markets46Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 20:35 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.433.222.916.6%
Bet3652.383.302.906.8%
1xBet2.443.122.877.9%
Dafabet2.363.352.807.9%
Betano2.353.252.878.2%
Marathonbet2.423.122.848.6%
Betfair2.303.252.7011.3%
William Hill2.302.902.8812.7%
Best of all books2.443.352.915.2%
Average2.373.192.858.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CSKA SofiaLudogorets
Last 10#2Table position#32.45Points per game2.608Form pts · last 5152.2Goals for · last 52.21.0Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5044Defence rating5650Form rating5050H2H rating5058Goals model4248Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 19:50 UTC

CSKA Sofia

6W 3D 1L · goals 23:12 · per match 2.3 for, 1.2 against

22 OctAFC Nordsjaelland2-2D
18 OctANesebar2-0W
15 OctHMonaco1-2L
11 OctACSKA 19483-2W
20 SepALokomotiv Plovdiv1-1D
16 SepALokomotiv Sofia2-0W
12 SepHArda Kardzhali4-1W
9 SepALevski Sofia4-2W
5 SepASpartak Varna1-1D
30 AugHCherno More Varna3-1W

Ludogorets

8W 2D 0L · goals 27:6 · per match 2.7 for, 0.6 against

17 OctABeroe3-0W
12 OctHArda Kardzhali5-0W
4 OctHCherno More Varna5-0W
27 SepHCSM Ramnicu Valcea3-0W
14 SepHSeptemvri Sofia2-1W
6 SepALokomotiv Sofia2-1W
30 AugASpartak Varna1-1D
22 AugHSlavia Sofia1-1D
15 AugHBotev Plovdiv2-0W
9 AugACherno More Varna3-2W

Head to head

7CSKA Sofia wins
12draws
14Ludogorets wins

33 meetings · goals 24:42 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for CSKA Sofia

25 May 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets1-0CSKA Sofia
3 May 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueCSKA Sofia1-0Ludogorets
29 Apr 2026CupCupCSKA Sofia0-0Ludogorets
21 Apr 2026CupCupLudogorets1-2CSKA Sofia
14 Mar 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets3-0CSKA Sofia
5 Oct 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueCSKA Sofia0-0Ludogorets
22 May 2025CupCupLudogorets1-0CSKA Sofia
24 Nov 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueCSKA Sofia2-2Ludogorets
21 Jul 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets1-0CSKA Sofia
11 May 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets3-1CSKA Sofia

First League tableA PFGupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First League table, CSKA Sofia sit 2nd with 27 points from 11 games, while Ludogorets are 3rd with 26 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Levski Sofia1091023:4+1928
2CSKA Sofia1183027:9+1827
3Ludogorets1082021:7+1426
4CSKA 19481171321:13+822
5Botev Plovdiv1161417:14+319
6Arda Kardzhali1152415:17-217
7Spartak Varna1134411:15-413
8Slavia Sofia112549:9011
9Botev Vratsa112369:20-119
10Dunav Ruse1122713:21-88
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv112276:14-88
12Lokomotiv Sofia1115512:19-78
13Septemvri Sofia1122710:21-118
14Cherno More Varna1113711:22-116

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.37X29%3.19232%2.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0122 Oct 21:001 2.37X 3.192 2.85
12.29 → 2.37 +3.5%X3.17 → 3.19 +0.6%22.97 → 2.85 -4.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.931.865.6%
Betano1.981.806.1%
1xBet1.931.807.4%
Marathonbet1.931.807.4%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
Best of all books1.981.864.3%
Average1.941.826.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.702.057.6%
Betano1.751.987.6%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.702.047.8%
Marathonbet1.702.018.6%
Best of all books1.752.055.9%
Average1.722.027.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CSKA Sofia 10%Draw 45%Ludogorets 45%

The statistical model rates CSKA Sofia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ludogorets at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.37 | 3.19 | 2.85, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: CSKA Sofia are 2nd (27 pts, 27-9 goals), Ludogorets 3rd (26 pts, 21-7).

Over their last five matches, CSKA Sofia averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ludogorets averaged 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ludogorets.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.373.192.85

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.521.32

Draw no bet

12
1.682.07

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.722.02

1st half

1X2
2.982.103.46

2nd half

1X2
2.702.383.11

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.8314.333.5
HT X5.734.726.50
HT 230.314.54.74

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.889.502.09

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.078.88
1.51.283.35
2.51.941.82
3.53.271.29
4.56.371.08
5.513.21.03
6.523.51.01
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.40
11.037.70
1.251.144.41
1.751.332.89
21.462.54
2.251.682.06
2.752.171.62
32.621.43
3.252.901.33
3.754.021.17
45.551.08
4.255.951.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.841.37
-0.52.371.57
-0.252.031.71
01.722.06
+0.251.502.44
+0.51.422.81
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.401.02
-28.301.03
-1.756.271.07
-1.54.731.14
-1.254.331.17
-13.871.21
+0.751.253.52
+11.135.15
+1.251.105.59
+1.51.066.00
+1.751.028.10

Next First League matches

23 OctCSKA 1948 – Botev Plovdiv
24 OctDunav Ruse – Spartak Varna
24 OctLokomotiv Sofia – Botev Vratsa
24 OctArda Kardzhali – Levski Sofia
24 OctCherno More Varna – Septemvri Sofia
24 OctLokomotiv Plovdiv – Slavia Sofia

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

12 OctLudogorets 5-0 Arda Kardzhali
11 OctCSKA 1948 2-3 CSKA Sofia
11 OctCherno More Varna 0-2 Levski Sofia
11 OctSeptemvri Sofia 2-3 Dunav Ruse
10 OctBotev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia
10 OctLokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv