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Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia• First League, Bulgaria

#141.4:1.60-2FT11/10 · Ticha Stadium, Varna2.4:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.00B365X3.75BVC21.64PINMargin at best4.3%Books10Markets84Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle5.803.641.655.3%
BetVictor5.753.751.625.8%
Bet3656.003.601.626.2%
Dafabet5.603.651.627.0%
1xBet5.853.621.588.0%
Betano5.703.451.628.3%
Marathonbet5.903.621.568.7%
Betfair5.503.401.5711.3%
William Hill5.003.301.6012.8%
SBO4.943.281.5614.8%
Best of all books6.003.751.653.9%
Average5.603.531.608.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
Last 10#14Table position#10.55Points per game2.806Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 52.41.6Goals against · last 50.437Attack rating6320Defence rating8028Form rating7229H2H rating7121Goals model7928Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 18:40 UTC

Cherno More Varna

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

21 OctHLokomotiv Plovdiv0-1L
17 OctAMarek3-0W
11 OctHLevski Sofia0-2L
4 OctALudogorets0-5L
26 SepHDunav Ruse1-0W
19 SepAArda Kardzhali1-1D
11 SepHLokomotiv Sofia2-2D
6 SepALokomotiv Plovdiv0-1L
30 AugACSKA Sofia1-3L
21 AugHDunav Ruse3-1W

Levski Sofia

6W 2D 2L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

22 OctAPlzen2-1W
18 OctASpartak Pleven2-0W
15 OctANEC Nijmegen1-1D
11 OctACherno More Varna2-0W
17 SepHRed Bull Salzburg0-1L
13 SepABotev Vratsa0-0D
9 SepHCSKA Sofia2-4L
5 SepHCSKA 19481-0W
2 SepASlavia Sofia2-1W
30 AugABotev Plovdiv3-1W

Head to head

8Cherno More Varna wins
8draws
13Levski Sofia wins

29 meetings · goals 27:39 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Cherno More Varna

21 Mar 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueLevski Sofia2-1Cherno More Varna
19 Oct 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna1-3Levski Sofia
26 May 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna0-0Levski Sofia
10 May 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueLevski Sofia2-0Cherno More Varna
13 Apr 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueLevski Sofia1-2Cherno More Varna
26 Feb 2025CupCupCherno More Varna1-0Levski Sofia
3 Nov 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna2-1Levski Sofia
3 Jul 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsCherno More Varna0-0Levski Sofia
12 May 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueLevski Sofia0-0Cherno More Varna
13 Apr 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna3-1Levski Sofia

First League tableA PFGupdated 22 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the First League table, Cherno More Varna sit 14th with 6 points from 11 games, while Levski Sofia are 1st with 28 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Levski Sofia1091023:4+1928
2CSKA Sofia1183027:9+1827
3Ludogorets1082021:7+1426
4CSKA 19481171321:13+822
5Botev Plovdiv1161417:14+319
6Arda Kardzhali1152415:17-217
7Spartak Varna1134411:15-413
8Slavia Sofia112549:9011
9Botev Vratsa112369:20-119
10Dunav Ruse1122713:21-88
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv112276:14-88
12Lokomotiv Sofia1115512:19-78
13Septemvri Sofia1122710:21-118
14Cherno More Varna1113711:22-116

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.62X26%3.54258%1.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 09:401 5.60X 3.542 1.60
15.16 → 5.60 +8.5%X3.52 → 3.54 +0.6%21.64 → 1.60 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.281.654.5%
Bet3652.251.626.2%
Betano2.251.626.2%
1xBet2.171.637.4%
Marathonbet2.171.637.4%
Betfair2.251.578.1%
BetVictor2.131.619.1%
Best of all books2.281.654.5%
Average2.211.626.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.201.627.2%
1xBet2.151.637.9%
Betfair2.101.658.2%
Betano2.151.628.2%
BetVictor2.151.628.2%
William Hill2.151.628.2%
Marathonbet2.151.618.6%
Best of all books2.201.656.1%
Average2.151.628.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cherno More Varna 0%Draw 50%Levski Sofia 50%

The statistical model rated Cherno More Varna at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Levski Sofia at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.62 | 3.54 | 1.60, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the First League table: Cherno More Varna are 14th (6 pts, 11-22 goals), Levski Sofia 1st (28 pts, 23-4).

Over their last five matches, Cherno More Varna averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Levski Sofia averaged 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Levski Sofia.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Cherno More Varna

Coach: Ilian Iliev

Goalkeeper

  • 31D. Hristov

Defence

  • 93G. Ventsislavov
  • 50E. Tombak
  • 5L. Squadrone
  • 37V. Kerchev

Midfield

  • 24David Teles
  • 71V. Panayotov
  • 99I. Bounaas
  • 11M. Achi

Attack

  • 10Celso Sidney
  • 8A. Donchev
Substitutes (11)
  • 6M. Banev
  • 7M. Barandas
  • 29B. Beyhan
  • 26João Bandaró
  • 22N. Kostadinov
  • 44O. Lumbou
  • 34K. Mihaylov
  • 9J. Padilla
  • 17I. Tasev
  • 14A. Todorov
  • 81K. Tomov

Levski Sofia

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Goalkeeper

  • 1O. Vladimirov

Defence

  • 71O. Kamdem
  • 4C. Makoun

Midfield

  • 8M. Grujić
  • 19E. El Moubarik
  • 35Serginho
  • 18G. Trdin

Attack

  • 17Everton Bala
  • 3Maicon
  • 7Reinaldo
  • 12M. Sangaré
Substitutes (11)
  • 92S. Vutsov
  • 28S. Stoyanchov
  • 77A. Raychev
  • 9J. Perea
  • 11A. Oko-Flex
  • 21Aldair
  • 27David Kusso
  • 55P. Hristov
  • 2Hevertton Santos
  • 50K. Dimitrov
  • 20Álex Centelles

Match Statistics

Cherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
2Corner Kicks4
3Shots off Goal9
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
34%Ball Possession66%
4Shots on Goal3
0Free Kicks0
0Blocked Shots0
7Total Shots12

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.603.531.60

Double chance

1XX212
2.201.111.25

Draw no bet

12
4.151.20

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.151.62

1st half

1X2
5.962.072.21

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.207.801.49

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.88
1.51.372.83
2.52.211.62
3.54.021.21
4.58.221.05
5.516.91.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.40
11.056.55
1.251.193.78
1.751.472.46
21.652.12
2.251.911.81
2.752.521.45
33.161.27
3.253.501.22
3.755.001.10
47.301.03
4.257.681.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.781.39
+0.52.241.62
+0.751.961.78
+11.672.13
+1.251.482.46
+1.51.392.80
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-19.601.01
-0.757.601.05
-0.55.501.15
-0.254.901.15
04.261.19
+1.751.263.47
+21.134.88
+2.251.115.35
+2.51.095.85
+2.751.067.38
+31.0110.0
+3.51.0110.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.652.15
4.51.781.98

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.056.00
6.51.233.53
7.51.482.44
8.51.861.88
9.52.391.51
10.53.291.27
11.54.661.11
12.54.921.07
22 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.035.87
5.751.065.72
61.075.44
6.251.144.26
6.751.233.38
71.273.18
7.251.362.75
7.751.522.32
81.632.16
8.251.712.01
8.751.931.78
92.111.67
9.252.201.58
9.752.541.43
102.861.34
10.253.021.30
10.753.611.20
114.271.14
11.254.471.12
11.755.511.06
126.891.02
135.951.03

Next First League matches

23 OctCSKA 1948 – Botev Plovdiv
24 OctDunav Ruse – Spartak Varna
24 OctLokomotiv Sofia – Botev Vratsa
24 OctArda Kardzhali – Levski Sofia
24 OctCherno More Varna – Septemvri Sofia
24 OctCSKA Sofia – Ludogorets

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

12 OctLudogorets 5-0 Arda Kardzhali
11 OctCSKA 1948 2-3 CSKA Sofia
11 OctSeptemvri Sofia 2-3 Dunav Ruse
10 OctBotev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia
10 OctLokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
10 OctBotev Vratsa 0-1 Spartak Varna