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Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia• First League, Bulgaria

#140.8:1.815:0024/10 · Ticha, Varna1.2:2.4#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67WHX3.78PIN25.25B365Margin at best5.4%Books8Markets50Rating66 · 35Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 16:22 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.673.605.256.7%
Pinnacle1.653.784.917.4%
1xBet1.673.654.847.9%
Dafabet1.643.705.008.0%
Betano1.653.505.208.4%
Marathonbet1.653.654.858.6%
William Hill1.673.404.6011.0%
Betfair1.603.505.0011.1%
Best of all books1.673.785.255.4%
Average1.653.604.968.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Last 10#14Table position#130.55Points per game0.736Form pts · last 500.8Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 52.440Attack rating6057Defence rating4367Form rating3393H2H rating751Goals model4966Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 18:40 UTC

Cherno More Varna

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

21 OctHLokomotiv Plovdiv0-1L
17 OctAMarek3-0W
11 OctHLevski Sofia0-2L
4 OctALudogorets0-5L
26 SepHDunav Ruse1-0W
19 SepAArda Kardzhali1-1D
11 SepHLokomotiv Sofia2-2D
6 SepALokomotiv Plovdiv0-1L
30 AugACSKA Sofia1-3L
21 AugHDunav Ruse3-1W

Septemvri Sofia

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

17 OctALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1-2L
11 OctHDunav Ruse2-3L
19 SepHBotev Plovdiv0-3L
14 SepALudogorets1-2L
4 SepHBotev Vratsa2-3L
28 AugASlavia Sofia1-1D
23 AugHCSKA 19481-0W
17 AugASpartak Varna1-0W
9 AugHCSKA Sofia0-3L
1 AugALevski Sofia0-3L

Head to head

4Cherno More Varna wins
2draws
2Septemvri Sofia wins

8 meetings · goals 13:9 · last 8: 4W 2D 2L for Cherno More Varna

7 Mar 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueSeptemvri Sofia0-3Cherno More Varna
27 Sep 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna1-1Septemvri Sofia
29 Nov 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueSeptemvri Sofia1-2Cherno More Varna
29 Jul 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna2-0Septemvri Sofia
17 Mar 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna3-0Septemvri Sofia
5 Sep 2022First LeagueFirst LeagueSeptemvri Sofia0-0Cherno More Varna
24 Nov 2018First LeagueFirst LeagueSeptemvri Sofia2-1Cherno More Varna
4 Aug 2018First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna1-5Septemvri Sofia

First League tableA PFGupdated 22 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the First League table, Cherno More Varna sit 14th with 6 points from 11 games, while Septemvri Sofia are 13th with 8 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Levski Sofia1091023:4+1928
2CSKA Sofia1183027:9+1827
3Ludogorets1082021:7+1426
4CSKA 19481171321:13+822
5Botev Plovdiv1161417:14+319
6Arda Kardzhali1152415:17-217
7Spartak Varna1134411:15-413
8Slavia Sofia112549:9011
9Botev Vratsa112369:20-119
10Dunav Ruse1122713:21-88
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv112276:14-88
12Lokomotiv Sofia1115512:19-78
13Septemvri Sofia1122710:21-118
14Cherno More Varna1113711:22-116

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.65X26%3.60219%4.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0122 Oct 21:001 1.65X 3.602 4.96
11.64 → 1.65 +0.6%X3.63 → 3.60 -0.8%25.01 → 4.96 -1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.181.666.1%
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Betano2.151.676.4%
1xBet2.121.667.4%
Marathonbet2.121.667.4%
Betfair2.101.658.2%
Best of all books2.181.675.8%
Average2.141.667.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
William Hill2.051.707.6%
1xBet2.021.718.0%
Betano2.071.678.2%
Marathonbet2.021.698.7%
Best of all books2.101.716.1%
Average2.051.698.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cherno More Varna 45%Draw 45%Septemvri Sofia 10%

The statistical model rates Cherno More Varna at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Septemvri Sofia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.96, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Cherno More Varna win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Cherno More Varna are 14th (6 pts, 11-22 goals), Septemvri Sofia 13th (8 pts, 10-21).

Over their last five matches, Cherno More Varna averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Septemvri Sofia averaged 1.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cherno More Varna or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.653.604.96

Double chance

1XX212
1.152.121.26

Draw no bet

12
1.243.73

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.051.69

1st half

1X2
2.242.115.54

2nd half

1X2
2.062.385.01

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.5116.551.8
HT X4.265.0510.5
HT 226.817.28.89

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.528.252.95

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.98
1.51.362.88
2.52.141.66
3.53.861.22
4.57.681.06
5.516.81.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.70
11.046.95
1.251.193.87
1.751.442.55
21.612.19
2.251.871.85
2.752.471.48
33.041.29
3.253.441.23
3.754.811.12
46.801.04
4.257.201.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.931.35
-1.252.561.45
-12.231.62
-0.751.841.88
-0.51.652.20
-0.251.442.59
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.758.101.02
-2.56.181.08
-2.255.721.10
-25.251.11
-1.753.631.23
01.233.67
+0.251.194.20
+0.51.165.25
+0.751.076.43
+11.029.10
+1.51.0110.5

Next First League matches

23 OctCSKA 1948 – Botev Plovdiv
24 OctDunav Ruse – Spartak Varna
24 OctLokomotiv Sofia – Botev Vratsa
24 OctArda Kardzhali – Levski Sofia
24 OctCSKA Sofia – Ludogorets
24 OctLokomotiv Plovdiv – Slavia Sofia

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

12 OctLudogorets 5-0 Arda Kardzhali
11 OctCSKA 1948 2-3 CSKA Sofia
11 OctCherno More Varna 0-2 Levski Sofia
11 OctSeptemvri Sofia 2-3 Dunav Ruse
10 OctBotev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia
10 OctLokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv