Arda Kardzhali vs
Levski Sofia• First League, Bulgaria
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 16:22 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 6.6% |
| Pinnacle | 5.28 | 3.41 | 1.70 | 7.1% |
| Betano | 5.00 | 3.35 | 1.72 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 4.70 | 3.34 | 1.76 | 8.0% |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 3.45 | 1.72 | 8.4% |
| Marathonbet | 4.70 | 3.34 | 1.74 | 8.7% |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 3.20 | 1.75 | 10.6% |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.30 | 1.70 | 10.9% |
| Best of all books | 5.28 | 3.45 | 1.76 | 4.7% |
| Average | 4.81 | 3.35 | 1.73 | 8.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC
Arda Kardzhali
5W 1D 4L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against
| 18 Oct | A | Spartak Plovdiv | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Ludogorets | 0-5 | L |
| 2 Oct | A | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0-2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Cherno More Varna | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | CSKA Sofia | 1-4 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Botev Plovdiv | 2-3 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Botev Vratsa | 2-0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1-0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Lokomotiv Sofia | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Dunav Ruse | 2-0 | W |
Levski Sofia
6W 2D 2L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against
| 22 Oct | A | Plzen | 2-1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Spartak Pleven | 2-0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | NEC Nijmegen | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Cherno More Varna | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Red Bull Salzburg | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Botev Vratsa | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep | H | CSKA Sofia | 2-4 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | CSKA 1948 | 1-0 | W |
| 2 Sep | A | Slavia Sofia | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Botev Plovdiv | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
18 meetings · goals 10:29 · last 10: 0W 4D 6L for Arda Kardzhali
| 9 Apr 2026First League | First League | Levski Sofia1-0Arda Kardzhali |
| 2 Nov 2025First League | First League | Arda Kardzhali0-3Levski Sofia |
| 14 May 2025First League | First League | Arda Kardzhali0-3Levski Sofia |
| 26 Apr 2025First League | First League | Levski Sofia1-1Arda Kardzhali |
| 16 Mar 2025First League | First League | Arda Kardzhali1-1Levski Sofia |
| 29 Sep 2024First League | First League | Levski Sofia2-1Arda Kardzhali |
| 6 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | Levski Sofia0-0Arda Kardzhali |
| 24 Feb 2024First League | First League | Levski Sofia4-0Arda Kardzhali |
| 1 Nov 2023First League | First League | Arda Kardzhali0-0Levski Sofia |
| 11 Jun 2023First League | First League | Levski Sofia2-0Arda Kardzhali |
First League tableA PFGupdated 22 Oct 00:10 UTC
In the First League table, Arda Kardzhali sit 6th with 17 points from 11 games, while Levski Sofia are 1st with 28 points from 10.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:4 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27:9 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21:7 | +14 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | +3 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.22 | 1.64 | 6.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 6.2% |
| Betano | 2.25 | 1.62 | 6.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 1.60 | 7.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 1.60 | 7.3% |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 1.60 | 8.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.25 | 1.64 | 5.4% |
| Average | 2.23 | 1.61 | 6.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 7.5% |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 1.69 | 8.0% |
| Betano | 2.07 | 1.67 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 1.67 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 1.73 | 5.4% |
| Average | 2.05 | 1.69 | 8.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Arda Kardzhali at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Levski Sofia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.82 | 3.31 | 1.73, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the First League table: Arda Kardzhali are 6th (17 pts, 15-17 goals), Levski Sofia 1st (28 pts, 23-4).
Over their last five matches, Arda Kardzhali averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Levski Sofia averaged 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Levski Sofia.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.81 | 3.35 | 1.73 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 1.16 | 1.29 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.52 | 1.27 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.05 | 1.69 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.33 | 2.06 | 2.34 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 2.34 | 2.12 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 8.70 | 16.7 | 28.0 |
| HT X | 9.89 | 4.69 | 4.30 |
| HT 2 | 50.5 | 16.1 | 2.70 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 7.20 | 1.60 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.06 | 6.95 |
| 1.5 | 1.38 | 2.79 |
| 2.5 | 2.23 | 1.61 |
| 3.5 | 3.96 | 1.21 |
| 4.5 | 7.83 | 1.05 |
| 5.5 | 16.3 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 41.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.06 | 6.35 |
| 1 | 1.07 | 5.75 |
| 1.25 | 1.23 | 3.51 |
| 1.75 | 1.48 | 2.43 |
| 2 | 1.66 | 2.10 |
| 2.25 | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| 2.75 | 2.56 | 1.44 |
| 3 | 3.22 | 1.26 |
| 3.25 | 3.51 | 1.23 |
| 3.75 | 4.91 | 1.11 |
| 4 | 6.90 | 1.04 |
| 4.25 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.48 | 1.48 |
| +0.5 | 2.11 | 1.71 |
| +0.75 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
| +1 | 1.54 | 2.39 |
| +1.25 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
| +1.5 | 1.31 | 3.14 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 10.0 | 1.01 |
| -0.75 | 6.17 | 1.08 |
| -0.5 | 5.25 | 1.16 |
| -0.25 | 4.14 | 1.19 |
| 0 | 3.55 | 1.25 |
| +1.75 | 1.20 | 3.93 |
| +2 | 1.10 | 5.58 |
| +2.25 | 1.09 | 5.93 |
| +2.5 | 1.08 | 6.40 |
| +2.75 | 1.02 | 8.10 |