Toluca vs Club Tijuana• Liga MX, Mexico

#21.8:2.001:0022/10 · Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca1.0:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42B365X5.09PIN26.62PINMargin at best5.2%Books6Markets59Rating70 · 31Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 20:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.41	5.09	6.62	5.7%
1xBet	1.39	4.80	6.57	8.0%
Bet365	1.42	4.75	6.00	8.1%
BetVictor	1.40	4.60	6.50	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	4.80	6.50	8.7%
William Hill	1.40	4.40	5.80	11.4%
Best of all books	1.42	5.09	6.62	5.2%
Average	1.40	4.74	6.33	8.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TolucaClub Tijuana

Last 10#2Table position#91.75Points per game1.452Form pts · last 531.8Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.464Attack rating3641Defence rating5963Form rating3893H2H rating771Goals model2970Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 00:00 UTC

Toluca

5W 2D 3L · goals 23:14 · per match 2.3 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Atletico San Luis	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Tigres UANL	2-3	L
3 Oct	A	Monterrey	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Cruz Azul	3-3	D
21 Sep	H	Santos Laguna	2-3	L
16 Sep	A	Puebla	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Atlas	5-2	W
7 Sep	H	Monterrey	2-0	W
3 Sep	H	Leon	2-0	W
31 Aug	H	FC Juarez	4-0	W

Club Tijuana

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	H	Puebla	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	FC Juarez	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Atlas	2-3	L
21 Sep	A	CF Pachuca	2-2	D
12 Sep	H	Club Queretaro	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Guadalajara Chivas	2-5	L
17 Aug	H	Cruz Azul	2-1	W
14 Aug	A	Portland Timbers	1-3	L
10 Aug	A	San Diego	0-1	L

Head to head

11Toluca wins

3draws

10Club Tijuana wins

24 meetings · goals 42:31 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Toluca

14 Feb 2026Liga MX	Liga MX	Toluca1-0Club Tijuana
23 Oct 2025Liga MX	Liga MX	Club Tijuana0-0Toluca
11 Jan 2025Liga MX	Liga MX	Club Tijuana2-4Toluca
14 Sep 2024Liga MX	Liga MX	Toluca4-0Club Tijuana
25 Feb 2024Liga MX	Liga MX	Toluca2-0Club Tijuana
16 Sep 2023Liga MX	Liga MX	Club Tijuana2-1Toluca
18 Mar 2023Liga MX	Liga MX	Club Tijuana3-3Toluca
7 Aug 2022Liga MX	Liga MX	Toluca3-1Club Tijuana
2 Mar 2022Liga MX	Liga MX	Toluca1-2Club Tijuana
7 Aug 2021Liga MX	Liga MX	Club Tijuana0-2Toluca

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 19 Oct 05:20 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Toluca sit 2nd with 21 points from 12 games, while Club Tijuana are 9th with 16 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Club America	11	7	3	1	27:14	+13	24
2	Toluca	12	6	3	3	26:16	+10	21
3	Atlas	12	6	3	3	19:18	+1	21
4	Guadalajara Chivas	12	5	5	2	19:12	+7	20
5	Cruz Azul	12	6	2	4	27:21	+6	20
6	Club Queretaro	11	6	2	3	15:13	+2	20
7	Leon	12	5	3	4	18:17	+1	18
8	Santos Laguna	12	5	1	6	17:16	+1	16
9	Club Tijuana	11	4	4	3	15:14	+1	16
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	12	4	4	4	19:20	-1	16
11	Puebla	12	4	4	4	12:13	-1	16
12	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17:15	+2	14
13	Tigres UANL	12	3	5	4	14:16	-2	14
14	CF Pachuca	11	3	4	4	18:14	+4	13
15	Atletico San Luis	12	3	4	5	16:21	-5	13
16	Atlante FC	12	2	5	5	13:19	-6	11
17	Necaxa	12	2	3	7	15:25	-10	9
18	FC Juarez	12	1	1	10	8:31	-23	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.40X19%4.74215%6.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.48	2.65	5.3%
Bet365	1.48	2.60	6.0%
BetVictor	1.47	2.44	9.0%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.48	2.65	5.3%
Average	1.45	2.53	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.63	2.14	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.11	8.7%
William Hill	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.63	2.13	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Toluca 45%Draw 45%Club Tijuana 10%

The statistical model rates Toluca at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Club Tijuana at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.74 | 6.33, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Toluca win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Toluca are 2nd (21 pts, 26-16 goals), Club Tijuana 9th (16 pts, 15-14).

Over their last five matches, Toluca averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Club Tijuana averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Toluca or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.40	4.74	6.33

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.77	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.15	4.93

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
1.83	2.62	5.97

2nd half

1	X	2
1.69	2.97	5.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.92	17.0	47.3
HT X	4.31	7.93	15.0
HT 2	19.7	18.1	11.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	19.8	3.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.9
1.5	1.12	5.42
2.5	1.45	2.53
3.5	2.18	1.63
4.5	3.72	1.23
5.5	7.00	1.06
6.5	14.3	1.02
7.5	26.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.75	1.11	4.85
2	1.14	4.35
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.55	2.27
3	1.70	2.01
3.25	1.94	1.78
3.75	2.47	1.47
4	2.95	1.32
4.25	3.28	1.25
4.75	4.45	1.14
5	6.05	1.06
5.25	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.37	1.51
-1.5	2.06	1.68
-1.25	1.84	1.87
-1	1.62	2.22
-0.75	1.47	2.51
-0.5	1.39	2.85

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.90	1.04
-3.25	6.60	1.11
-3	6.15	1.08
-2.75	4.40	1.16
-2.5	3.52	1.24
-2.25	3.25	1.30
-2	2.90	1.35
-0.25	1.26	3.51
0	1.12	5.07
+0.25	1.10	5.57
+0.5	1.13	5.90
+0.75	1.01	8.95
+1	1.01	10.0

Next Liga MX matches

21 Oct	Guadalajara Chivas – Necaxa
21 Oct	Atletico San Luis – Club Queretaro
21 Oct	FC Juarez – Atlante FC
21 Oct	Tigres UANL – Leon
22 Oct	Atlas – Club America
22 Oct	Puebla – Monterrey

All Liga MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX results

19 Oct	Monterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca
18 Oct	Cruz Azul 5-0 FC Juarez
18 Oct	Leon 3-5 Club America
18 Oct	Toluca 1-1 Atletico San Luis
17 Oct	Guadalajara Chivas 1-1 Tigres UANL
17 Oct	Santos Laguna 5-0 Club Queretaro