Puebla vs Monterrey• Liga MX, Mexico

#110.4:0.801:0022/10 · Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla1.0:1.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.81PINX3.70PIN21.95B365Margin at best4.6%Books4Markets51Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 20:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	3.25	3.50	2.10	7.0%
1xBet	3.24	3.48	2.07	7.9%
Marathonbet	3.22	3.48	2.05	8.6%
William Hill	3.10	3.10	2.05	13.3%
Best of all books	3.25	3.50	2.10	7.0%
Average	3.20	3.39	2.07	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PueblaMonterrey

Last 10#11Table position#121.33Points per game1.403Form pts · last 5100.4Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.629Attack rating7167Defence rating3338Form rating637H2H rating9357Goals model4338Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 00:00 UTC

Puebla

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	A	Club Tijuana	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Leon	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Tigres UANL	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Atlante FC	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Toluca	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Necaxa	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Club America	0-2	L
23 Aug	H	Santos Laguna	3-2	W
18 Aug	A	CF Pachuca	3-2	W
13 Aug	A	San Diego	2-3	L

Monterrey

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

19 Oct	H	CF Pachuca	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Club America	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Toluca	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Atlante FC	2-4	L
20 Sep	H	Cruz Azul	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Tigres UANL	0-0	D
7 Sep	A	Toluca	0-2	L
3 Sep	A	Club America	2-2	D
31 Aug	H	Atletico San Luis	1-3	L
26 Aug	H	Chicago Fire	2-1	W

Head to head

4Puebla wins

7draws

9Monterrey wins

20 meetings · goals 24:30 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Puebla

22 Apr 2026Liga MX	Liga MX	Monterrey2-1Puebla
30 Aug 2025Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla2-4Monterrey
13 Jan 2025Liga MX	Liga MX	Monterrey1-1Puebla
17 Aug 2024Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla1-2Monterrey
14 Jan 2024Liga MX	Liga MX	Monterrey2-0Puebla
4 Oct 2023Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla1-1Monterrey
28 Jan 2023Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla1-2Monterrey
27 Jul 2022Liga MX	Liga MX	Monterrey1-0Puebla
19 Feb 2022Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla1-0Monterrey
26 Jul 2021Liga MX	Liga MX	Monterrey1-1Puebla

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 19 Oct 05:20 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Puebla sit 11th with 16 points from 12 games, while Monterrey are 12th with 14 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Club America	11	7	3	1	27:14	+13	24
2	Toluca	12	6	3	3	26:16	+10	21
3	Atlas	12	6	3	3	19:18	+1	21
4	Guadalajara Chivas	12	5	5	2	19:12	+7	20
5	Cruz Azul	12	6	2	4	27:21	+6	20
6	Club Queretaro	11	6	2	3	15:13	+2	20
7	Leon	12	5	3	4	18:17	+1	18
8	Santos Laguna	12	5	1	6	17:16	+1	16
9	Club Tijuana	11	4	4	3	15:14	+1	16
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	12	4	4	4	19:20	-1	16
11	Puebla	12	4	4	4	12:13	-1	16
12	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17:15	+2	14
13	Tigres UANL	12	3	5	4	14:16	-2	14
14	CF Pachuca	11	3	4	4	18:14	+4	13
15	Atletico San Luis	12	3	4	5	16:21	-5	13
16	Atlante FC	12	2	5	5	13:19	-6	11
17	Necaxa	12	2	3	7	15:25	-10	9
18	FC Juarez	12	1	1	10	8:31	-23	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.62X26%3.53248%1.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.20 → 3.62 +13.1%X3.39 → 3.53 +4.1%22.07 → 1.91 -7.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.71	2.05	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.71	2.05	7.3%
BetVictor	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.73	2.02	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.59	2.21	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.18	8.8%
William Hill	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Best of all books	1.67	2.21	5.1%
Average	1.62	2.15	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Puebla 10%Draw 45%Monterrey 45%

The statistical model rates Puebla at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Monterrey at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.62 | 3.53 | 1.91, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Puebla are 11th (16 pts, 12-13 goals), Monterrey 12th (14 pts, 17-15).

Over their last five matches, Puebla averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Monterrey averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Monterrey.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.20	3.39	2.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.68	1.31	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.34	1.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
3.73	2.20	2.64

2nd half

1	X	2
3.35	2.50	2.40

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.33	14.8	25.7
HT X	7.57	5.43	5.33
HT 2	33.0	14.0	3.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.21	12.9	1.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.2
1.5	1.19	3.96
2.5	1.73	2.02
3.5	2.72	1.37
4.5	5.20	1.11
5.5	10.0	1.03
6.5	23.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	9.30
1	1.02	8.30
1.25	1.08	5.50
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.28	3.08
2.25	1.51	2.36
2.75	1.88	1.81
3	2.15	1.58
3.25	2.42	1.44
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.30	1.14
4.25	4.70	1.12
4.75	6.45	1.05
5	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.75	1.39
0	2.37	1.53
+0.25	1.92	1.77
+0.5	1.70	2.05
+0.75	1.51	2.34
+1	1.32	2.98

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.10	1.02
-1.5	6.90	1.06
-1.25	6.35	1.07
-1	5.90	1.09
-0.75	3.93	1.19
-0.5	3.10	1.35
+1.25	1.26	3.38
+1.5	1.21	3.77
+1.75	1.13	4.87
+2	1.04	7.10
+2.25	1.03	7.60
+2.5	1.02	8.10

Next Liga MX matches

21 Oct	Guadalajara Chivas – Necaxa
21 Oct	Atletico San Luis – Club Queretaro
21 Oct	FC Juarez – Atlante FC
21 Oct	Tigres UANL – Leon
22 Oct	Atlas – Club America
22 Oct	Toluca – Club Tijuana

All Liga MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX results

19 Oct	Monterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca
18 Oct	Cruz Azul 5-0 FC Juarez
18 Oct	Leon 3-5 Club America
18 Oct	Toluca 1-1 Atletico San Luis
17 Oct	Guadalajara Chivas 1-1 Tigres UANL
17 Oct	Santos Laguna 5-0 Club Queretaro