Guadalajara Chivas vs 
Necaxa• Liga MX, Mexico
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 03:31 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 5.18 | 6.80 | 6.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 6.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.85 | 6.51 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.85 | 6.45 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.80 | 7.00 | 8.6% |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.50 | 6.00 | 12.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.42 | 5.18 | 7.00 | 4.0% |
| Average | 1.38 | 4.82 | 6.54 | 8.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 09:10 UTC
Guadalajara Chivas
5W 4D 1L · goals 19:9 · per match 1.9 for, 0.9 against
| 17 Oct | H | Tigres UANL | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Atlas | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Oct | H | Club America | 2-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Club Queretaro | 0-2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Club America | 2-2 | D |
| 14 Sep | H | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Atletico San Luis | 3-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | CF Pachuca | 1-1 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Club Tijuana | 5-2 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Santos Laguna | 1-0 | W |
Necaxa
1W 3D 6L · goals 12:21 · per match 1.2 for, 2.1 against
| 17 Oct | H | Atlas | 0-2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | CF Pachuca | 3-3 | D |
| 28 Sep | H | Club America | 2-4 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Atletico San Luis | 1-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Puebla | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep | A | Tigres UANL | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Cruz Azul | 1-3 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Aug | H | Leon | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | New York City FC | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
21 meetings · goals 37:22 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Guadalajara Chivas
| 23 Apr 2026Liga MX | Liga MX | Necaxa0-0Guadalajara Chivas |
| 24 Sep 2025Liga MX | Liga MX | Guadalajara Chivas3-1Necaxa |
| 18 Jan 2025Liga MX | Liga MX | Necaxa3-2Guadalajara Chivas |
| 23 Oct 2024Liga MX | Liga MX | Guadalajara Chivas3-2Necaxa |
| 21 Feb 2024Liga MX | Liga MX | Necaxa1-0Guadalajara Chivas |
| 14 Jul 2023Liga MX | Liga MX | Guadalajara Chivas2-0Necaxa |
| 8 Apr 2023Liga MX | Liga MX | Guadalajara Chivas1-0Necaxa |
| 20 Aug 2022Liga MX | Liga MX | Necaxa0-4Guadalajara Chivas |
| 30 Apr 2022Liga MX | Liga MX | Necaxa0-1Guadalajara Chivas |
| 30 Dec 2021Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | Necaxa2-3Guadalajara Chivas |
Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 19 Oct 05:20 UTC
In the Liga MX table, Guadalajara Chivas sit 4th with 20 points from 12 games, while Necaxa are 17th with 9 points from 12.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27:14 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 21 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:21 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Club Queretaro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 | Leon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Puebla | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 13 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8:31 | -23 | 4 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 2.66 | 5.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 6.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.46 | 2.47 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 2.56 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 2.56 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.48 | 2.66 | 5.2% |
| Average | 1.44 | 2.57 | 8.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 2.19 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 2.15 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 2.16 | 8.8% |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 2.15 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 2.19 | 5.5% |
| Average | 1.62 | 2.15 | 8.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Guadalajara Chivas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Necaxa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.82 | 6.54, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Guadalajara Chivas win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga MX table: Guadalajara Chivas are 4th (20 pts, 19-12 goals), Necaxa 17th (9 pts, 15-25).
Over their last five matches, Guadalajara Chivas averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Necaxa averaged 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 4.82 | 6.54 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | 2.80 | 1.15 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.13 | 5.25 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.62 | 2.15 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | 2.69 | 6.08 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 3.02 | 5.38 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.94 | 16.4 | 42.0 |
| HT X | 4.40 | 8.13 | 15.0 |
| HT 2 | 18.4 | 17.8 | 11.5 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 21.0 | 2.97 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 17.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.12 | 5.44 |
| 2.5 | 1.44 | 2.57 |
| 3.5 | 2.11 | 1.67 |
| 4.5 | 3.54 | 1.26 |
| 5.5 | 6.56 | 1.08 |
| 6.5 | 14.0 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 26.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 50.5 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 11.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.11 | 4.85 |
| 2 | 1.14 | 4.40 |
| 2.25 | 1.27 | 3.14 |
| 2.75 | 1.53 | 2.32 |
| 3 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
| 3.25 | 1.89 | 1.83 |
| 3.75 | 2.36 | 1.51 |
| 4 | 2.78 | 1.35 |
| 4.25 | 3.04 | 1.29 |
| 4.75 | 3.96 | 1.17 |
| 5 | 5.20 | 1.10 |
| 5.25 | 5.45 | 1.08 |
| 6 | 9.00 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 2.79 | 1.38 |
| -1.75 | 2.31 | 1.56 |
| -1.5 | 2.04 | 1.73 |
| -1.25 | 1.81 | 1.93 |
| -1 | 1.57 | 2.26 |
| -0.75 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| -3.25 | 5.88 | 1.09 |
| -3 | 5.53 | 1.10 |
| -2.75 | 4.08 | 1.18 |
| -2.5 | 3.34 | 1.27 |
| -2.25 | 3.08 | 1.32 |
| -0.5 | 1.38 | 2.93 |
| -0.25 | 1.25 | 3.52 |
| 0 | 1.13 | 4.98 |
| +0.25 | 1.10 | 5.50 |
| +0.5 | 1.12 | 6.25 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.34 | 2.87 |
| 9.5 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| 10.5 | 2.03 | 1.72 |
| 11.5 | 2.60 | 1.41 |
| 12.5 | 3.55 | 1.22 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.45 | 2.59 |
| 9.25 | 1.52 | 2.32 |
| 9.75 | 1.68 | 2.01 |
| 10 | 1.84 | 1.96 |
| 10.25 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| 10.75 | 2.16 | 1.60 |
| 11 | 2.37 | 1.54 |
| 11.25 | 2.49 | 1.46 |
Next Liga MX matches
| 21 Oct | Atletico San Luis – Club Queretaro |
| 21 Oct | FC Juarez – Atlante FC |
| 21 Oct | Tigres UANL – Leon |
| 22 Oct | Atlas – Club America |
| 22 Oct | Toluca – Club Tijuana |
| 22 Oct | Puebla – Monterrey |
Latest Liga MX results
| 19 Oct | Monterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca |
| 18 Oct | Cruz Azul 5-0 FC Juarez |
| 18 Oct | Leon 3-5 Club America |
| 18 Oct | Toluca 1-1 Atletico San Luis |
| 17 Oct | Guadalajara Chivas 1-1 Tigres UANL |
| 17 Oct | Santos Laguna 5-0 Club Queretaro |