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Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL• Liga MX, Mexico

#51.8:1.023:07Today · Estadio Akron, Guadalajara1.0:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.87PINX3.80B36524.43PINMargin at best2.4%Books6Markets76Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 21:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.873.644.433.5%
Bet3651.853.804.005.4%
BetVictor1.803.704.107.0%
1xBet1.793.703.988.0%
Marathonbet1.773.703.988.6%
William Hill1.803.303.7012.9%
Best of all books1.873.804.432.4%
Average1.813.644.037.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Guadalajara ChivasTigres UANL
Last 10#5Table position#131.73Points per game1.188Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.064Attack rating3650Defence rating5050Form rating5038H2H rating6277Goals model2353Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Guadalajara Chivas

6W 3D 1L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

11 OctAAtlas1-1D
5 OctHClub America2-0W
26 SepHClub Queretaro0-2L
20 SepAClub America2-2D
14 SepHU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0W
5 SepAAtletico San Luis3-0W
29 AugACF Pachuca1-1D
22 AugHClub Tijuana5-2W
17 AugASantos Laguna1-0W
13 AugASeattle Sounders2-1W

Tigres UANL

3W 5D 2L · goals 9:8 · per match 0.9 for, 0.8 against

10 OctHToluca3-2W
27 SepHPuebla1-0W
19 SepAFC Juarez0-2L
13 SepAMonterrey0-0D
6 SepHNecaxa1-1D
30 AugASantos Laguna0-0D
22 AugHAtlante FC2-0W
16 AugAAtlas1-2L
12 AugHVancouver Whitecaps1-1D
8 AugHMinnesota United FC0-0D

Head to head

6Guadalajara Chivas wins
8draws
15Tigres UANL wins

29 meetings · goals 25:45 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Guadalajara Chivas

10 May 2026Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas2-0Tigres UANL
3 May 2026Liga MXLiga MXTigres UANL3-1Guadalajara Chivas
11 Apr 2026Liga MXLiga MXTigres UANL4-1Guadalajara Chivas
18 Sep 2025Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas0-0Tigres UANL
26 Jan 2025Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas1-1Tigres UANL
25 Aug 2024Liga MXLiga MXTigres UANL1-1Guadalajara Chivas
22 Jan 2024Liga MXLiga MXTigres UANL1-0Guadalajara Chivas
29 Oct 2023Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas0-4Tigres UANL
29 May 2023Liga MXLiga MXGuadalajara Chivas2-3Tigres UANL
26 May 2023Liga MXLiga MXTigres UANL0-0Guadalajara Chivas

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 17 Oct 07:10 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Guadalajara Chivas sit 5th with 19 points from 11 games, while Tigres UANL are 13th with 13 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1063122:11+1121
2Atlas1263319:18+121
3Toluca1162325:15+1020
4Club Queretaro1062215:8+720
5Guadalajara Chivas1154218:11+719
6Leon1153315:12+318
7Cruz Azul1152422:21+117
8Club Tijuana1144315:14+116
9U.N.A.M. - Pumas1244419:20-116
10Puebla1244412:13-116
11Monterrey1042417:15+214
12CF Pachuca1134418:14+413
13Tigres UANL1134413:15-213
14Santos Laguna1141612:16-413
15Atletico San Luis1133515:20-512
16Atlante FC1225513:19-611
17Necaxa1223715:25-109
18FC Juarez111198:26-184

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.81X26%3.64223%4.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 21:301 1.81X 3.642 4.03
11.80 → 1.81 +0.6%X3.57 → 3.64 +2.0%24.07 → 4.03 -1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.792.113.3%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
1xBet1.761.987.3%
Marathonbet1.761.987.3%
BetVictor1.721.978.9%
Best of all books1.802.112.9%
Average1.772.016.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.702.057.6%
1xBet1.682.068.1%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
William Hill1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.682.038.8%
Best of all books1.702.106.4%
Average1.682.068.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guadalajara Chivas 35%Draw 35%Tigres UANL 30%

The statistical model rates Guadalajara Chivas at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Tigres UANL at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.64 | 4.03, which imply roughly 55.2% for a Guadalajara Chivas win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Guadalajara Chivas are 5th (19 pts, 18-11 goals), Tigres UANL 13th (13 pts, 13-15).

Over their last five matches, Guadalajara Chivas averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Tigres UANL averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.813.644.03

Double chance

1XX212
1.211.901.24

Draw no bet

12
1.362.93

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.06

1st half

1X2
2.352.274.48

2nd half

1X2
2.132.544.00

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7014.438.7
HT X4.775.779.13
HT 223.715.46.80

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6012.92.45

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.2
1.51.213.92
2.51.772.01
3.52.801.38
4.55.541.11
5.510.71.04
6.523.01.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.047.60
1.251.095.25
1.751.273.20
21.332.87
2.251.552.33
2.751.951.79
32.261.57
3.252.541.45
3.753.481.22
44.701.12
4.255.101.10
4.757.381.04
58.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.821.39
-12.471.51
-0.752.021.72
-0.51.821.98
-0.251.562.29
01.343.01
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.758.681.01
-2.56.531.07
-2.256.031.08
-25.651.10
-1.753.901.20
-1.53.141.32
+0.251.273.47
+0.51.254.09
+0.751.125.03
+11.028.20
+1.251.018.35

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.52.101.67

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.60
7.51.223.54
8.51.452.52
9.51.801.94
10.52.281.54
11.53.071.30
12.54.301.15
13.56.301.06
14.55.591.04
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.045.62
71.124.05
81.272.85
8.751.502.34
91.582.25
9.251.682.04
9.751.891.79
102.021.72
10.252.161.60
10.752.461.43
112.581.42
123.321.20
134.401.10
145.571.05