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Monterrey vs CF Pachuca• Liga MX, Mexico

#121.0:1.62-1FTToday · Estadio BBVA, Monterrey2.0:1.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67B365X4.17PIN25.02PINMargin at best3.8%Books6Markets79Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.674.175.023.8%
Bet3651.674.104.755.3%
BetVictor1.624.104.757.2%
1xBet1.614.104.687.9%
Marathonbet1.594.104.708.6%
William Hill1.603.704.5011.7%
Best of all books1.674.175.023.8%
Average1.634.044.737.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MonterreyCF Pachuca
Last 10#12Table position#141.40Points per game1.1810Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 52.01.6Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6743Defence rating5738Form rating6220H2H rating8035Goals model6533Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 04:20 UTC

Monterrey

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

19 OctHCF Pachuca2-1W
11 OctAClub America1-1D
3 OctHToluca2-1W
26 SepAAtlante FC2-4L
20 SepHCruz Azul1-0W
13 SepHTigres UANL0-0D
7 SepAToluca0-2L
3 SepAClub America2-2D
31 AugHAtletico San Luis1-3L
26 AugHChicago Fire2-1W

CF Pachuca

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

19 OctAMonterrey1-2L
11 OctHNecaxa3-3D
27 SepASantos Laguna0-1L
21 SepHClub Tijuana2-2D
12 SepAAtlante FC3-0W
5 SepAFC Juarez2-0W
29 AugHGuadalajara Chivas1-1D
23 AugAAtletico San Luis1-1D
18 AugHPuebla2-3L
11 AugACharlotte1-0W

Head to head

11Monterrey wins
3draws
8CF Pachuca wins

22 meetings · goals 33:30 · last 10: 4W 0D 6L for Monterrey

19 Apr 2026Liga MXLiga MXMonterrey1-3CF Pachuca
13 Jul 2025Liga MXLiga MXCF Pachuca3-0Monterrey
28 Apr 2025Liga MXLiga MXMonterrey1-2CF Pachuca
26 Jan 2025Liga MXLiga MXMonterrey2-3CF Pachuca
8 Jul 2024Liga MXLiga MXCF Pachuca0-1Monterrey
11 Feb 2024Liga MXLiga MXMonterrey3-2CF Pachuca
5 Nov 2023Liga MXLiga MXCF Pachuca0-2Monterrey
13 Mar 2023Liga MXLiga MXCF Pachuca1-2Monterrey
24 Oct 2022Liga MXLiga MXMonterrey0-1CF Pachuca
21 Oct 2022Liga MXLiga MXCF Pachuca5-2Monterrey

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 19 Oct 05:20 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Monterrey sit 12th with 14 points from 10 games, while CF Pachuca are 14th with 13 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1173127:14+1324
2Toluca1263326:16+1021
3Atlas1263319:18+121
4Guadalajara Chivas1255219:12+720
5Cruz Azul1262427:21+620
6Club Queretaro1162315:13+220
7Leon1253418:17+118
8Santos Laguna1251617:16+116
9Club Tijuana1144315:14+116
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas1244419:20-116
11Puebla1244412:13-116
12Monterrey1042417:15+214
13Tigres UANL1235414:16-214
14CF Pachuca1134418:14+413
15Atletico San Luis1234516:21-513
16Atlante FC1225513:19-611
17Necaxa1223715:25-109
18FC Juarez1211108:31-234

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.62X23%4.05219%4.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 00:0119 Oct 00:301 1.63X 4.042 4.73
11.68 → 1.63 -3.0%X3.91 → 4.04 +3.3%24.33 → 4.73 +9.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.612.403.8%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
1xBet1.592.257.3%
Marathonbet1.592.257.3%
BetVictor1.562.238.9%
Best of all books1.612.403.8%
Average1.582.306.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.622.168.0%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.622.138.7%
William Hill1.552.259.0%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.602.208.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Monterrey 10%Draw 45%CF Pachuca 45%

The statistical model rated Monterrey at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CF Pachuca at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 4.05 | 4.79, which imply roughly 24.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Monterrey are 12th (14 pts, 17-15 goals), CF Pachuca 14th (13 pts, 18-14).

Over their last five matches, Monterrey averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; CF Pachuca averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CF Pachuca.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Monterrey

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Almeyda

Goalkeeper

  • 1E. Andrada

Defence

  • 2R. Chávez
  • 4V. Guzmán
  • 13C. Salcedo
  • 3G. Arteaga

Midfield

  • 18Cesar Garza Cantu
  • 25O. Pineda
  • 9D. Rossi
  • 17J. Corona
  • 7L. Ocampos

Attack

  • 99H. Cuypers
Substitutes (10)
  • 27R. de la Rosa
  • 22L. Cárdenas
  • 5F. Ambríz
  • 14É. Aguirre
  • 19A. Aceves
  • 33S. Medina
  • 10L. Orellano
  • 30J. Rodríguez
  • 244Paxon Levi Ruffin Tamez
  • 8Óliver Torres

CF Pachuca

4-2-3-1

Coach: B. Mora

Goalkeeper

  • 25C. Moreno

Defence

  • 13J. Berlanga
  • 4Eduardo Bauermann
  • 2S. Barreto
  • 6M. Isaís

Midfield

  • 26Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
  • 16C. Rivera
  • 21N. Vallejo
  • 7R. Pizarro
  • 11O. Idrissi

Attack

  • 23S. Rondón
Substitutes (10)
  • 31J. Eulogio
  • 211C. Hernandez
  • 19I. Hernández
  • 221Ulises Natanael Martínez Reynoso
  • 205Ángel Eduardo Padilla González
  • 30S. Rodríguez
  • 12S. Santos
  • 207Ian Josué Zavala Osorio
  • 187G. Álvarez
  • 32P. Budib

Match Statistics

MonterreyCF Pachuca
1.79Expected Goals0.91
399Passes accurate339
8Shots insidebox8
2Shots outsidebox3
2Blocked Shots4
16Free Kicks7
4Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
4Shots off Goal4
2Offsides3
484Total passes430
10Total Shots11
3Yellow Cards3
3Corner Kicks8
8Fouls16
0Red Cards0
52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.634.044.73

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.191.20

Draw no bet

12
1.253.58

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.20

1st half

1X2
2.112.434.92

2nd half

1X2
1.932.704.38

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3715.336.7
HT X4.586.5311.0
HT 219.815.78.07

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4915.62.66

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0114.1
1.51.164.65
2.51.582.30
3.52.371.52
4.54.241.19
5.58.001.05
6.517.01.02
7.529.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.80
1.251.075.85
1.751.183.86
21.253.38
2.251.412.63
2.751.722.04
31.921.79
3.252.161.62
3.752.741.36
43.501.22
4.253.841.18
4.755.101.10
56.901.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.591.44
-1.252.321.56
-12.041.74
-0.751.761.97
-0.51.622.25
-0.251.422.66
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.701.01
-38.201.02
-2.755.951.09
-2.54.671.15
-2.254.301.17
-24.031.21
-1.753.091.33
01.253.59
+0.251.204.12
+0.51.184.65
+0.751.095.81
+11.018.50
+1.251.028.18
+1.751.018.70

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.672.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.019.00
6.51.095.40
7.51.243.37
8.51.482.45
9.51.891.86
10.52.351.52
11.53.141.29
12.54.501.14
13.56.601.05
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.10
71.173.57
81.372.60
8.751.532.28
91.682.09
9.251.731.99
9.751.941.75
102.161.62
10.252.221.57
10.752.521.41
112.851.28
123.821.14
134.991.07

Next Liga MX matches

21 OctGuadalajara Chivas – Necaxa
21 OctAtletico San Luis – Club Queretaro
21 OctFC Juarez – Atlante FC
21 OctTigres UANL – Leon
22 OctAtlas – Club America
22 OctToluca – Club Tijuana

All Liga MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX results

18 OctCruz Azul 5-0 FC Juarez
18 OctLeon 3-5 Club America
18 OctToluca 1-1 Atletico San Luis
17 OctGuadalajara Chivas 1-1 Tigres UANL
17 OctSantos Laguna 5-0 Club Queretaro
17 OctClub Tijuana 0-0 Puebla