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Tigres UANL vs Leon• Liga MX, Mexico

#131.0:1.003:0021/10 · Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza1.8:1.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.88PINX3.76PIN24.00BVCMargin at best4.8%Books10Markets80Rating56 · 45Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.923.703.904.8%
Pinnacle1.883.763.955.1%
Betano1.853.704.006.1%
Betfair1.803.804.006.9%
Bet3651.853.504.007.6%
1xBet1.793.723.968.0%
Marathonbet1.773.723.968.6%
BetVictor1.833.603.808.7%
William Hill1.803.303.6013.6%
SBO1.853.183.4014.9%
Best of all books1.923.804.003.4%
Average1.833.603.868.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tigres UANLLeon
Last 10#13Table position#71.17Points per game1.508Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.636Attack rating6462Defence rating3850Form rating5062H2H rating3868Goals model3256Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 09:10 UTC

Tigres UANL

3W 5D 2L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

17 OctAGuadalajara Chivas1-1D
10 OctHToluca3-2W
27 SepHPuebla1-0W
19 SepAFC Juarez0-2L
13 SepAMonterrey0-0D
6 SepHNecaxa1-1D
30 AugASantos Laguna0-0D
22 AugHAtlante FC2-0W
16 AugAAtlas1-2L
12 AugHVancouver Whitecaps1-1D

Leon

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

18 OctHClub America3-5L
10 OctAPuebla1-1D
28 SepHFC Juarez2-1W
21 SepAClub Queretaro1-1D
15 SepHAtletico San Luis2-0W
11 SepAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-3L
6 SepHClub America1-0W
3 SepAToluca0-2L
29 AugAAtlante FC1-1D
26 AugHReal Salt Lake3-0W

Head to head

12Tigres UANL wins
9draws
8Leon wins

29 meetings · goals 38:31 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Tigres UANL

1 Feb 2026Liga MXLiga MXLeon1-2Tigres UANL
14 Sep 2025Liga MXLiga MXTigres UANL0-0Leon
23 Feb 2025Liga MXLiga MXLeon1-0Tigres UANL
28 Sep 2024Liga MXLiga MXTigres UANL2-2Leon
18 Jan 2024Liga MXLiga MXLeon1-2Tigres UANL
16 Jul 2023Liga MXLiga MXTigres UANL1-0Leon
4 May 2023CONCACAF Champions LeagueCONCACAF Champions LeagueLeon3-1Tigres UANL
1 May 2023Liga MXLiga MXLeon3-0Tigres UANL
26 Apr 2023CONCACAF Champions LeagueCONCACAF Champions LeagueTigres UANL2-1Leon
11 Sep 2022Liga MXLiga MXTigres UANL0-1Leon

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 19 Oct 05:20 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Tigres UANL sit 13th with 14 points from 12 games, while Leon are 7th with 18 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1173127:14+1324
2Toluca1263326:16+1021
3Atlas1263319:18+121
4Guadalajara Chivas1255219:12+720
5Cruz Azul1262427:21+620
6Club Queretaro1162315:13+220
7Leon1253418:17+118
8Santos Laguna1251617:16+116
9Club Tijuana1144315:14+116
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas1244419:20-116
11Puebla1244412:13-116
12Monterrey1042417:15+214
13Tigres UANL1235414:16-214
14CF Pachuca1134418:14+413
15Atletico San Luis1234516:21-513
16Atlante FC1225513:19-611
17Necaxa1223715:25-109
18FC Juarez1211108:31-234

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.81X25%3.62224%3.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

18 Oct 09:1018 Oct 15:101 1.81X 3.622 3.89
11.79 → 1.81 +1.1%X3.62 → 3.62 0.0%23.98 → 3.89 -2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.802.073.9%
Pinnacle1.792.054.6%
Betfair1.732.105.4%
SBO1.742.085.5%
Bet3651.752.055.9%
1xBet1.742.017.2%
Marathonbet1.742.017.2%
BetVictor1.721.969.2%
Best of all books1.802.103.2%
Average1.752.046.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.206.1%
Betano1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
1xBet1.672.088.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Marathonbet1.672.058.7%
William Hill1.672.058.7%
Best of all books1.702.204.3%
Average1.672.097.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tigres UANL 45%Draw 45%Leon 10%

The statistical model rates Tigres UANL at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leon at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.62 | 3.89, which imply roughly 55.2% for a Tigres UANL win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Tigres UANL are 13th (14 pts, 14-16 goals), Leon 7th (18 pts, 18-17).

Over their last five matches, Tigres UANL averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Leon averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tigres UANL or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.833.603.86

Double chance

1XX212
1.221.911.24

Draw no bet

12
1.372.89

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.09

1st half

1X2
2.362.264.25

2nd half

1X2
2.152.573.93

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7714.036.7
HT X4.855.808.94
HT 221.914.56.45

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6013.02.45

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.5
1.51.213.96
2.51.752.04
3.52.821.39
4.55.431.13
5.510.21.04
6.520.21.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.40
1.251.095.35
1.751.243.34
21.342.96
2.251.542.33
2.751.931.79
32.261.58
3.252.521.45
3.753.341.24
44.551.13
4.254.951.11
4.756.981.05
58.301.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.861.38
-12.521.50
-0.752.061.70
-0.51.851.95
-0.251.572.25
01.362.92
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.02
-2.758.571.01
-2.56.401.08
-2.256.081.08
-25.671.10
-1.753.921.20
-1.53.221.31
+0.251.273.38
+0.51.253.86
+0.751.125.08
+11.028.10
+1.51.058.90

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.51.931.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.0
5.51.068.00
6.51.105.13
7.51.213.61
8.51.382.69
9.51.682.06
10.52.111.66
11.52.741.38
12.53.621.21
13.54.861.12
14.56.301.07
15.59.501.04
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.094.52
81.213.20
91.462.46
9.251.542.26
9.751.752.01
101.901.86
10.251.931.74
10.752.171.54
112.361.50
11.252.501.41
122.951.25
133.921.14
145.051.07

Next Liga MX matches

21 OctGuadalajara Chivas – Necaxa
21 OctAtletico San Luis – Club Queretaro
21 OctFC Juarez – Atlante FC
22 OctAtlas – Club America
22 OctToluca – Club Tijuana
22 OctPuebla – Monterrey

All Liga MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX results

19 OctMonterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca
18 OctCruz Azul 5-0 FC Juarez
18 OctLeon 3-5 Club America
18 OctToluca 1-1 Atletico San Luis
17 OctGuadalajara Chivas 1-1 Tigres UANL
17 OctSantos Laguna 5-0 Club Queretaro