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Leon vs Club America• Liga MX, Mexico

#71.4:1.23-5FT18/10 · Estadio León, Leon2.4:1.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.45PINX3.60PIN22.15B365Margin at best3.3%Books6Markets73Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 21:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.473.632.123.5%
Bet3653.403.502.105.6%
BetVictor3.203.602.106.6%
1xBet3.143.542.097.9%
Marathonbet3.123.542.078.6%
William Hill3.103.202.0013.5%
Best of all books3.473.632.123.5%
Average3.243.502.087.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LeonClub America
Last 10#7Table position#11.50Points per game2.188Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 51.837Attack rating6360Defence rating4050Form rating5038H2H rating6260Goals model4048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 09:10 UTC

Leon

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

18 OctHClub America3-5L
10 OctAPuebla1-1D
28 SepHFC Juarez2-1W
21 SepAClub Queretaro1-1D
15 SepHAtletico San Luis2-0W
11 SepAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-3L
6 SepHClub America1-0W
3 SepAToluca0-2L
29 AugAAtlante FC1-1D
26 AugHReal Salt Lake3-0W

Club America

3W 4D 3L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

18 OctALeon5-3W
11 OctHMonterrey1-1D
5 OctAGuadalajara Chivas0-2L
2 OctHCruz Azul0-0D
28 SepANecaxa4-2W
20 SepHGuadalajara Chivas2-2D
13 SepACruz Azul3-4L
6 SepALeon0-1L
3 SepHMonterrey2-2D
30 AugHPuebla2-0W

Head to head

8Leon wins
8draws
9Club America wins

25 meetings · goals 31:34 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for Leon

6 Sep 2026Leagues CupLeagues CupLeon1-0Club America
22 Apr 2026Liga MXLiga MXLeon2-3Club America
2 Nov 2025Liga MXLiga MXClub America2-0Leon
20 Feb 2025Liga MXLiga MXClub America1-1Leon
6 Oct 2024Liga MXLiga MXLeon1-1Club America
11 Feb 2024Liga MXLiga MXLeon0-1Club America
3 Dec 2023Liga MXLiga MXClub America2-0Leon
30 Nov 2023Liga MXLiga MXLeón2-2Club America
27 Aug 2023Liga MXLiga MXClub America1-1Leon
2 Apr 2023Liga MXLiga MXClub America2-2Leon

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 19 Oct 05:20 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Leon sit 7th with 18 points from 12 games, while Club America are 1st with 24 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1173127:14+1324
2Toluca1263326:16+1021
3Atlas1263319:18+121
4Guadalajara Chivas1255219:12+720
5Cruz Azul1262427:21+620
6Club Queretaro1162315:13+220
7Leon1253418:17+118
8Santos Laguna1251617:16+116
9Club Tijuana1144315:14+116
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas1244419:20-116
11Puebla1244412:13-116
12Monterrey1042417:15+214
13Tigres UANL1235414:16-214
14CF Pachuca1134418:14+413
15Atletico San Luis1234516:21-513
16Atlante FC1225513:19-611
17Necaxa1223715:25-109
18FC Juarez1211108:31-234

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.24X27%3.49245%2.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0117 Oct 09:401 3.21X 3.482 2.09
12.82 → 3.21 +13.8%X3.41 → 3.48 +2.1%22.30 → 2.09 -9.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.752.173.2%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.692.087.2%
Marathonbet1.692.087.2%
BetVictor1.672.048.9%
Best of all books1.752.173.2%
Average1.702.096.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.582.238.1%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.582.208.7%
William Hill1.552.259.0%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.582.238.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leon 35%Draw 35%Club America 30%

The statistical model rated Leon at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Club America at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.24 | 3.49 | 2.08, which imply roughly 30.9% for a Leon win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Leon are 7th (18 pts, 18-17 goals), Club America 1st (24 pts, 27-14).

Over their last five matches, Leon averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Club America averaged 2.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Leon or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Leon

4-1-4-1

Coach: J. Gandolfi

Goalkeeper

  • 23Ó. García

Defence

  • 7I. Moreno
  • 14J. Romaña
  • 3Juan José Guevara Possu
  • 26S. Reyes

Midfield

  • 29J. Rodríguez
  • 18E. Guerra
  • 20R. Echeverría
  • 203J. Lara
  • 13D. Arcila

Attack

  • 27D. Cambindo
Substitutes (10)
  • 181Irving Martínez
  • 21S. Londoño
  • 11I. Díaz
  • 8J. Domínguez
  • 4B. Colula
  • 6F. Beltrán
  • 19J. Alvarado
  • 25P. Bellón
  • 33A. Villegas
  • 5S. Vegas

Club America

Coach: G. Almada

Match Statistics

LeonClub America
1.64Expected Goals2.19
246Passes accurate216
9Shots insidebox8
4Shots outsidebox7
4Blocked Shots0
24Free Kicks12
7Shots on Goal10
5Goalkeeper Saves3
2Shots off Goal5
1Offsides0
337Total passes291
13Total Shots15
4Yellow Cards4
7Corner Kicks2
12Fouls24
0Red Cards0
55%Ball Possession45%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.243.502.08

Double chance

1XX212
1.671.301.27

Draw no bet

12
2.391.52

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.582.23

1st half

1X2
3.722.292.60

2nd half

1X2
3.302.552.40

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.2014.723.7
HT X7.505.775.40
HT 230.313.83.18

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1913.81.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.9
1.51.204.13
2.51.702.09
3.52.671.41
4.55.011.14
5.59.851.04
6.521.01.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.70
1.251.085.45
1.751.223.50
21.303.05
2.251.512.44
2.751.871.87
32.131.63
3.252.411.50
3.753.141.27
44.151.16
4.254.501.13
4.756.101.06
58.601.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.771.41
02.391.54
+0.251.941.79
+0.51.732.07
+0.751.522.38
+11.333.03
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-210.51.01
-1.758.381.01
-1.56.571.07
-1.256.131.08
-15.631.09
-0.754.001.22
-0.53.261.32
+1.251.283.44
+1.51.213.73
+1.751.144.72
+21.066.97
+2.51.027.80

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.52.201.62

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.045.65
6.51.047.00
7.51.154.33
8.51.332.96
9.51.642.15
10.51.981.74
11.52.541.42
12.53.501.24
13.54.901.12
14.57.201.04
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.57
71.094.60
81.213.27
8.751.362.79
91.442.51
9.251.502.38
9.751.662.06
101.861.92
10.251.871.83
10.752.081.60
112.271.54
122.901.26
133.851.14
144.971.07

Next Liga MX matches

21 OctGuadalajara Chivas – Necaxa
21 OctAtletico San Luis – Club Queretaro
21 OctFC Juarez – Atlante FC
21 OctTigres UANL – Leon
22 OctAtlas – Club America
22 OctToluca – Club Tijuana

All Liga MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX results

19 OctMonterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca
18 OctCruz Azul 5-0 FC Juarez
18 OctToluca 1-1 Atletico San Luis
17 OctGuadalajara Chivas 1-1 Tigres UANL
17 OctSantos Laguna 5-0 Club Queretaro
17 OctClub Tijuana 0-0 Puebla