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Club Tijuana vs Puebla• Liga MX, Mexico

#91.4:1.40-0FT17/10 · Estadio Caliente , Tijuana0.6:0.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.76PINX3.91PIN24.69PINMargin at best3.7%Books6Markets76Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 01:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.763.914.693.7%
Bet3651.733.904.505.7%
BetVictor1.703.804.507.4%
1xBet1.723.804.258.0%
Marathonbet1.703.804.258.7%
William Hill1.673.504.2012.3%
Best of all books1.763.914.693.7%
Average1.713.794.407.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Club TijuanaPuebla
Last 10#9Table position#111.45Points per game1.333Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 50.870Attack rating3036Defence rating6450Form rating5050H2H rating5064Goals model3653Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 00:00 UTC

Club Tijuana

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

17 OctHPuebla0-0D
10 OctAFC Juarez1-1D
26 SepHAtlas2-3L
21 SepACF Pachuca2-2D
12 SepHClub Queretaro0-1L
29 AugHU.N.A.M. - Pumas2-0W
22 AugAGuadalajara Chivas2-5L
17 AugHCruz Azul2-1W
14 AugAPortland Timbers1-3L
10 AugASan Diego0-1L

Puebla

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

17 OctAClub Tijuana0-0D
10 OctHLeon1-1D
27 SepATigres UANL0-1L
19 SepHAtlante FC1-1D
16 SepHToluca0-1L
12 SepANecaxa1-0W
30 AugAClub America0-2L
23 AugHSantos Laguna3-2W
18 AugACF Pachuca3-2W
13 AugASan Diego2-3L

Head to head

8Club Tijuana wins
5draws
7Puebla wins

20 meetings · goals 35:31 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Club Tijuana

7 Feb 2026Liga MXLiga MXClub Tijuana0-0Puebla
18 Oct 2025Liga MXLiga MXPuebla4-3Club Tijuana
22 Feb 2025Liga MXLiga MXPuebla2-0Club Tijuana
11 Nov 2024Liga MXLiga MXClub Tijuana2-1Puebla
20 Apr 2024Liga MXLiga MXClub Tijuana3-1Puebla
2 Sep 2023Liga MXLiga MXPuebla3-0Club Tijuana
29 Apr 2023Liga MXLiga MXPuebla5-2Club Tijuana
13 Aug 2022Liga MXLiga MXClub Tijuana3-3Puebla
29 Jan 2022Liga MXLiga MXPuebla3-1Club Tijuana
18 Aug 2021Liga MXLiga MXClub Tijuana1-1Puebla

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 19 Oct 05:20 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Club Tijuana sit 9th with 16 points from 11 games, while Puebla are 11th with 16 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1173127:14+1324
2Toluca1263326:16+1021
3Atlas1263319:18+121
4Guadalajara Chivas1255219:12+720
5Cruz Azul1262427:21+620
6Club Queretaro1162315:13+220
7Leon1253418:17+118
8Santos Laguna1251617:16+116
9Club Tijuana1144315:14+116
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas1244419:20-116
11Puebla1244412:13-116
12Monterrey1042417:15+214
13Tigres UANL1235414:16-214
14CF Pachuca1134418:14+413
15Atletico San Luis1234516:21-513
16Atlante FC1225513:19-611
17Necaxa1223715:25-109
18FC Juarez1211108:31-234

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.71X25%3.79221%4.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 02:401 1.71X 3.792 4.40
11.83 → 1.71 -6.6%X3.59 → 3.79 +5.6%23.90 → 4.40 +12.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.782.123.3%
Bet3651.732.085.9%
1xBet1.722.037.4%
Marathonbet1.722.037.4%
BetVictor1.711.989.0%
Best of all books1.782.123.3%
Average1.732.056.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.702.057.6%
1xBet1.682.068.1%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.682.038.8%
William Hill1.652.059.4%
Best of all books1.702.067.4%
Average1.682.058.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Club Tijuana 45%Draw 45%Puebla 10%

The statistical model rated Club Tijuana at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Puebla at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.71 | 3.79 | 4.40, which imply roughly 58.5% for a Club Tijuana win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Club Tijuana are 9th (16 pts, 15-14 goals), Puebla 11th (16 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, Club Tijuana averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Puebla averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Club Tijuana or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Club Tijuana

4-1-4-1

Coach: S. Abreu

Goalkeeper

  • 2A. Rodríguez

Defence

  • 3R. Fernández
  • 12J. Porozo
  • 6A. Gómez
  • 16J. Vega

Midfield

  • 8I. Tona
  • 17R. Árciga
  • 11F. González
  • 15I. Rivero
  • 7Adonis Preciado

Attack

  • 9Mourad
Substitutes (10)
  • 20Á. Zapata
  • 34F. Boya
  • 4Unai Bilbao
  • 13Elias Manoel
  • 19D. Abreu
  • 202J. González
  • 29S. Hernández
  • 18A. Mejía
  • 33P. Ortíz
  • 31Y. Padilla

Puebla

4-2-3-1

Coach: Gerardo Espinoza

Goalkeeper

  • 28R. Gutiérrez

Defence

  • 12I. Moreno
  • 5F. Almada
  • 4J. Vargas
  • 7F. Monárrez

Midfield

  • 24A. Organista
  • 16A. Ramírez
  • 27B. Garnica
  • 10M. Tomás
  • 8O. Moreno

Attack

  • 9L. Hernández
Substitutes (10)
  • 3A. Herrera
  • 25H. Jurado
  • 2Á. Leyva
  • 19I. Maestro Puch
  • 29E. Mustre
  • 20J. Pachuca
  • 33J. Rodríguez
  • 15Ó. Villa
  • 195Alvaro Burgos
  • 14E. Armenta

Match Statistics

Club TijuanaPuebla
0.98Expected Goals0.5
352Passes accurate236
12Shots insidebox4
11Shots outsidebox3
5Blocked Shots1
9Free Kicks6
6Shots on Goal3
3Goalkeeper Saves6
12Shots off Goal3
2Offsides3
423Total passes310
23Total Shots7
2Yellow Cards2
13Corner Kicks3
6Fouls10
0Red Cards0
58%Ball Possession42%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.713.794.40

Double chance

1XX212
1.192.011.23

Draw no bet

12
1.293.33

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.05

1st half

1X2
2.242.324.76

2nd half

1X2
2.042.584.24

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.5314.736.7
HT X4.625.909.70
HT 223.015.77.37

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5513.52.55

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.6
1.51.213.96
2.51.732.05
3.52.751.39
4.55.371.12
5.510.51.04
6.523.01.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.048.00
1.251.095.30
1.751.243.34
21.322.95
2.251.532.37
2.751.911.82
32.201.60
3.252.481.47
3.753.281.25
44.331.14
4.254.701.12
4.756.351.06
59.001.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.901.36
-1.252.581.46
-12.261.60
-0.751.891.83
-0.51.712.10
-0.251.492.45
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.757.301.03
-2.55.681.10
-2.255.251.11
-24.781.13
-1.753.581.26
01.293.31
+0.251.233.72
+0.51.234.19
+0.751.105.50
+11.018.40
+1.251.027.80

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.732.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.084.82
7.51.173.84
8.51.342.80
9.51.662.11
10.52.011.71
11.52.531.40
12.53.121.23
13.54.021.13
14.55.101.06
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.045.57
71.094.60
81.203.27
8.751.352.70
91.442.49
9.251.512.32
9.751.682.01
101.881.90
10.251.881.78
10.752.111.57
112.301.53
122.881.27
133.821.14
144.951.07

Next Liga MX matches

21 OctGuadalajara Chivas – Necaxa
21 OctAtletico San Luis – Club Queretaro
21 OctFC Juarez – Atlante FC
21 OctTigres UANL – Leon
22 OctAtlas – Club America
22 OctToluca – Club Tijuana

All Liga MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX results

19 OctMonterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca
18 OctCruz Azul 5-0 FC Juarez
18 OctLeon 3-5 Club America
18 OctToluca 1-1 Atletico San Luis
17 OctGuadalajara Chivas 1-1 Tigres UANL
17 OctSantos Laguna 5-0 Club Queretaro