Luxembourg vs 
Estonia• UEFA Nations League, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 18:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.48 | 3.12 | 3.26 | 3.0% |
| Pinnacle | 2.52 | 3.10 | 3.16 | 3.6% |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.15 | 3.10 | 4.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 3.08 | 3.22 | 4.3% |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.05 | 3.05 | 5.3% |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.00 | 3.13 | 6.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 8.0% |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 10.7% |
| SBO | 2.50 | 2.86 | 2.78 | 10.9% |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 2.88 | 2.90 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.52 | 3.15 | 3.26 | 2.1% |
| Average | 2.44 | 3.01 | 3.07 | 6.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 00:00 UTC
Luxembourg
4W 0D 6L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against
| 6 Oct | H | Bulgaria | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Estonia | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Iceland | 0-3 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Bulgaria | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Jun | A | Albania | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Jun | H | Italy | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Mar | H | Malta | 3-0 | W |
| 26 Mar | A | Malta | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Nov | A | Northern Ireland | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Nov | H | Germany | 0-2 | L |
Estonia
4W 4D 2L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against
| 6 Oct | H | Iceland | 0-0 | D |
| 3 Oct | H | Luxembourg | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Bulgaria | 0-0 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Iceland | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Jun | H | Lithuania | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Jun | H | Faroe Islands | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Mar | A | Rwanda | 0-2 | L |
| 27 Mar | A | Kenya | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Nov | A | Cyprus | 4-2 | W |
| 13 Nov | A | Norway | 1-4 | L |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Luxembourg
| 3 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League | UEFA Nations League | Estonia1-0Luxembourg |
UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Bupdated 13 Nov 21:10 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.61 | 1.54 | 3.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.56 | 1.53 | 4.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.57 | 1.52 | 4.7% |
| Betano | 2.50 | 1.52 | 5.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 6.7% |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 1.45 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.37 | 1.50 | 8.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.61 | 1.54 | 3.2% |
| Average | 2.52 | 1.51 | 5.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.00 | 1.75 | 7.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 1.69 | 7.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 7.5% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 1.67 | 8.2% |
| Betano | 2.02 | 1.70 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 1.67 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 1.75 | 4.8% |
| Average | 2.04 | 1.70 | 7.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Luxembourg at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Estonia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.44 | 3.01 | 3.07, which imply roughly 33.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Luxembourg averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Estonia averaged 0.5 scored and 0.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Estonia and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Confirmed Lineups
Luxembourg
4-4-2Coach: J. Strasser
Goalkeeper
- 1A. Moris
Defence
- 18L. Jans
- 5V. Selimović
- 22T. Hall
- 4F. Bohnert
Midfield
- 11V. Thill
- 19M. Olesen
- 6J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
- 17H. Kadamani
Attack
- 21S. Thill
- 7Aiman Dardari
Substitutes (12)
- 2E. Džogović
- 8E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos
- 23L. Fox
- 13F. Ikene
- 3E. Mahmutović
- 15Omar Natami
- 12T. Pereira Cardoso
- 10T. Rupil
- 14E. Veiga
- 9Jayson Videira Pereira
- 16M. Goncalves
- 20P. Macedo
Estonia
5-4-1Coach: J. Henn
Goalkeeper
- 1K. Hein
Defence
- 6R. Peetson
- 3M. Paskotši
- 16E. Tõugjas
- 18K. Mets
- 19M. Schjønning-Larsen
Midfield
- 14P. Kristal
- 4M. Käit
- 10K. Palumets
- 5R. Shein
Attack
- 7M. Männilaan
Substitutes (12)
- 12M. Igonen
- 22K. Vallner
- 20T. Tammik
- 15M. Skvortsov
- 13J. Saliste
- 9Karel Mustmaa
- 17M. Miller
- 23F. Liivak
- 21V. Kreida
- 2M. Kolobov
- 11M. Ainsalu
- 8M Paalberg
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.44 | 3.01 | 3.07 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 1.53 | 1.36 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.68 | 2.11 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.04 | 1.70 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.13 | 1.95 | 3.80 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.82 | 2.18 | 3.50 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.90 | 14.6 | 39.6 |
| HT X | 5.55 | 4.16 | 6.55 |
| HT 2 | 35.4 | 14.8 | 5.07 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.95 | 6.43 | 2.33 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.08 | 6.75 |
| 1.5 | 1.48 | 2.53 |
| 2.5 | 2.52 | 1.51 |
| 3.5 | 4.90 | 1.16 |
| 4.5 | 9.68 | 1.04 |
| 5.5 | 11.5 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 16.3 | – |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.08 | 5.80 |
| 1 | 1.12 | 5.15 |
| 1.25 | 1.31 | 3.11 |
| 1.75 | 1.62 | 2.24 |
| 2 | 1.87 | 1.91 |
| 2.25 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 2.75 | 2.97 | 1.36 |
| 3 | 4.10 | 1.23 |
| 3.25 | 4.52 | 1.17 |
| 3.75 | 6.22 | 1.08 |
| 4 | 9.23 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.89 | 1.39 |
| -0.5 | 2.41 | 1.55 |
| -0.25 | 2.05 | 1.77 |
| 0 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| +0.25 | 1.48 | 2.61 |
| +0.5 | 1.37 | 3.00 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11.5 | 1.03 |
| -2.25 | 10.3 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 9.95 | 1.02 |
| -1.75 | 6.69 | 1.08 |
| -1.5 | 5.13 | 1.14 |
| -1.25 | 4.64 | 1.17 |
| -1 | 4.11 | 1.23 |
| +0.75 | 1.24 | 3.96 |
| +1 | 1.11 | 6.24 |
| +1.25 | 1.08 | 6.82 |
| +1.5 | 1.06 | 7.41 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 13.0 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.09 | 5.10 |
| 6.5 | 1.21 | 3.60 |
| 7.5 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
| 8.5 | 1.79 | 1.95 |
| 9.5 | 2.31 | 1.55 |
| 10.5 | 3.04 | 1.31 |
| 11.5 | 4.16 | 1.14 |
| 12.5 | 4.72 | 1.08 |
| 13.5 | 5.59 | 1.04 |
15 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.10 | 4.39 |
| 7 | 1.24 | 3.02 |
| 7.25 | 1.36 | 2.73 |
| 7.75 | 1.51 | 2.32 |
| 8 | 1.58 | 2.23 |
| 8.25 | 1.73 | 1.99 |
| 8.75 | 1.94 | 1.73 |
| 9 | 2.03 | 1.74 |
| 9.25 | 2.24 | 1.54 |
| 9.75 | 2.59 | 1.40 |
| 10 | 2.59 | 1.42 |
| 10.25 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| 11 | 3.39 | 1.19 |
| 12 | 4.55 | 1.09 |
| 13 | 5.75 | 1.04 |
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| 14 Nov | Romania – Poland |
| 14 Nov | Northern Ireland – Ukraine |
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