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Moldova vs Kazakhstan• UEFA Nations League, World

0.8:2.02-1FTToday · Zimbru, Chisinau1.3:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.761XBX3.10BVC22.97PINMargin at best2.2%Books10Markets69Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:10 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.763.022.963.1%
Pinnacle2.712.993.023.5%
Dafabet2.703.002.954.3%
Marathonbet2.732.982.934.3%
Betano2.653.002.925.3%
BetVictor2.603.102.806.4%
Bet3652.622.902.907.1%
Betfair2.502.802.8810.4%
William Hill2.602.802.7510.5%
SBO2.472.952.7311.0%
Best of all books2.763.103.021.6%
Average2.632.952.886.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MoldovaKazakhstan
Last 105Form pts · last 520.8Goals for · last 51.32.0Goals against · last 51.838Attack rating6347Defence rating5367Form rating3336H2H rating6423Goals model7743Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 00:00 UTC

Moldova

1W 3D 6L · goals 9:22 · per match 0.9 for, 2.2 against

6 OctHSlovakia0-4L
2 OctAKazakhstan2-1W
29 SepHFaroe Islands1-1D
26 SepASlovakia0-2L
9 JunAArmenia1-1D
5 JunHBulgaria2-2D
30 MarACyprus2-3L
26 MarHLithuania0-2L
16 NovAIsrael1-4L
13 NovHItaly0-2L

Kazakhstan

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

6 OctHFaroe Islands2-2D
2 OctHMoldova1-2L
29 SepASlovakia1-2L
26 SepAFaroe Islands1-1D
9 JunAHungary1-3L
6 JunAArmenia1-1D
31 MarHComoros1-0W
25 MarHNamibia2-0W
18 NovAFaroe Islands0-1L
15 NovHBelgium1-1D

Head to head

2Moldova wins
0draws
2Kazakhstan wins

4 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Moldova

2 Oct 2026UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueKazakhstan1-2Moldova
29 Mar 2022UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueKazakhstan0-1Moldova
24 Mar 2022UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueMoldova1-2Kazakhstan
21 Feb 2019FriendliesFriendliesKazakhstan1-0Moldova

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Bupdated 13 Nov 21:10 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Netherlands42207:5+28
2Greece42205:3+28
3Germany41213:2+15
4Serbia40043:8-50

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.32X30%3.09229%3.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Nov 00:0013 Nov 09:401 2.64X 2.972 2.86
12.63 → 2.64 +0.4%X2.98 → 2.97 -0.3%22.78 → 2.86 +2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.611.543.2%
Pinnacle2.541.544.3%
Marathonbet2.571.524.7%
Betano2.421.555.8%
Bet3652.381.537.4%
Betfair2.401.508.3%
BetVictor2.311.529.1%
Best of all books2.611.552.8%
Average2.461.536.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.911.837.0%
1xBet2.041.717.5%
Betano1.981.757.6%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
Marathonbet2.041.698.2%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
Best of all books2.041.833.7%
Average1.991.747.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Moldova 10%Draw 45%Kazakhstan 45%

The statistical model rated Moldova at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kazakhstan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.09 | 3.24, which imply roughly 32.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Moldova averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Kazakhstan averaged 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Kazakhstan.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Moldova

5-3-2

Coach: L. Popescu

Goalkeeper

  • 12D. Celeadnic

Defence

  • 21I. Revenco
  • 4V. Baboglo
  • 18I. Iovu
  • 6M. Gherasimencov
  • 2O. Reabciuk

Midfield

  • 10Vladimir Fratea
  • 22V. Raţă
  • 9S. Perciun

Attack

  • 20N. Cleșcenco
  • 15Petru Popescu
Substitutes (12)
  • 8V. Bogaciuc
  • 13A. Betivu
  • 17O. David
  • 19D. Dumbrăvanu
  • 16D. Forov
  • 23A. Kozhukhar
  • 14D. Marandici
  • 7N. Moțpan
  • 5S. Negru
  • 11V. Stînă
  • 1E. Tîmbur
  • 3M. Ștefan

Kazakhstan

4-3-3

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Pokatilov

Defence

  • 14N. Zhagorov
  • 6A. Kassym
  • 23T. Erlanov
  • 3N. Alip

Midfield

  • 20R. Orazov
  • 15Z. Amir
  • 18D. Karaman

Attack

  • 13A. Mrynskiy
  • 10M. Samorodov
  • 17I. Chesnokov
Substitutes (12)
  • 12Bekkhan Shayzada
  • 2A. Zhumakhanov
  • 11Y. Vorogovskiy
  • 22E. Tapalov
  • 4A. Ashirbek
  • 5I. Kuat
  • 7G. Kenzhebek
  • 21A. Tuyakbayev
  • 19A. Zhaksylykov
  • 8Aybol Abiken
  • 9B. Islamkhan
  • 16A. Zarutskiy

Match Statistics

MoldovaKazakhstan
0.86Expected Goals0.52
406Passes accurate299
9Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox6
2Blocked Shots3
19Free Kicks7
5Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves3
7Shots off Goal3
2Offsides2
489Total passes390
14Total Shots11
2Yellow Cards2
2Corner Kicks3
0Red Cards1
8Fouls19
56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.632.952.88

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.461.38

Draw no bet

12
1.791.96

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.991.74

1st half

1X2
3.321.943.57

2nd half

1X2
3.042.183.19

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.3014.136.1
HT X5.804.136.25
HT 235.315.04.72

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.066.332.21

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.086.83
1.51.472.57
2.52.461.53
3.54.751.17
4.59.281.05
5.511.11.02
6.516.3–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.095.60
11.135.05
1.251.303.13
1.751.612.25
21.841.94
2.252.171.68
2.752.911.38
34.101.23
3.254.421.17
3.756.171.08
49.131.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.281.32
-0.52.591.48
-0.252.211.65
01.831.99
+0.251.562.40
+0.51.402.84
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.513.51.02
-1.757.731.04
-1.55.861.11
-1.255.301.13
-14.791.17
+0.751.283.60
+11.145.47
+1.251.115.89
+1.51.096.35
+1.751.028.45
+2.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.901.85

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.074.92
6.51.193.84
7.51.382.69
8.51.722.01
9.52.151.65
10.52.901.34
11.53.631.21
12.54.961.09
13.55.391.05
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.084.70
71.213.25
7.751.372.66
81.482.42
8.251.512.26
8.751.701.96
91.911.84
9.251.941.73
9.752.241.54
102.471.46
10.252.621.40
10.753.041.30
113.151.22
124.221.11
135.421.05

Next UEFA Nations League matches

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All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

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