San Marino vs Belarus• UEFA Nations League, World

0.3:4.019:45Today · San Marino Stadium, Serravalle1.3:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

122.0BVCX9.38PIN21.171XBMargin at best0.7%Books10Markets87Rating14 · 86Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Nov 08:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	18.0	8.15	1.17	3.3%
Dafabet	21.0	8.40	1.15	3.6%
Pinnacle	21.4	9.38	1.13	3.8%
Marathonbet	18.0	8.10	1.16	4.1%
Betano	19.0	7.20	1.16	5.4%
BetVictor	22.0	8.00	1.13	5.5%
Bet365	13.0	8.50	1.14	7.2%
William Hill	15.0	7.50	1.12	9.3%
Betfair	17.0	8.00	1.08	11.0%
SBO	12.0	6.38	1.12	13.3%
Best of all books	22.0	9.38	1.17	0.7%
Average	17.6	7.96	1.14	6.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

San MarinoBelarus

Last 100Form pts · last 580.3Goals for · last 51.34.0Goals against · last 50.517Attack rating8311Defence rating890Form rating1000H2H rating1000Goals model014Overall rating86

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

San Marino

0W 1D 9L · goals 5:30 · per match 0.5 for, 3.0 against

6 Oct	A	Albania	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Belarus	0-4	L
29 Sep	H	Albania	0-3	L
26 Sep	H	Finland	0-7	L
9 Jun	A	Azerbaijan	1-2	L
5 Jun	H	Bangladesh	1-2	L
31 Mar	H	Andorra	0-0	D
28 Mar	H	Faroe Islands	1-2	L
18 Nov	A	Romania	1-7	L
13 Nov	A	Czechia	0-1	L

Belarus

5W 4D 1L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

6 Oct	H	Finland	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	San Marino	4-0	W
29 Sep	A	Finland	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Albania	0-2	L
9 Jun	H	Burkina Faso	2-2	D
5 Jun	H	Syria	4-1	W
29 Mar	A	Armenia	2-1	W
26 Mar	A	Cyprus	1-0	W
18 Nov	H	Greece	0-0	D
15 Nov	A	Denmark	2-2	D

Head to head

0San Marino wins

0draws

3Belarus wins

3 meetings · goals 0:11 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for San Marino

3 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Belarus4-0San Marino
18 Nov 2018UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	San Marino0-2Belarus
8 Sep 2018UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Belarus5-0San Marino

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Aupdated 12 Nov 00:20 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	France	4	3	1	0	7:2	+5	10
2	Italy	4	2	1	1	8:5	+3	7
3	Belgium	4	2	0	2	6:5	+1	6
4	Türkiye	4	0	0	4	2:11	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg15%17.6X12%7.96283%1.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

120.1 → 17.6 -12.3%X8.19 → 7.96 -2.8%21.12 → 1.14 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.67	2.32	3.0%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.30	4.1%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.20	8.7%
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
BetVictor	1.59	2.16	9.2%
Best of all books	1.67	2.32	3.0%
Average	1.61	2.23	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	3.25	1.33	6.0%
Betfair	3.40	1.29	6.9%
1xBet	2.84	1.38	7.7%
William Hill	2.90	1.36	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.84	1.37	8.2%
BetVictor	2.88	1.36	8.3%
Betano	2.70	1.39	9.0%
Best of all books	3.40	1.39	1.4%
Average	2.97	1.35	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

San Marino 0%Draw 50%Belarus 50%

The statistical model rates San Marino at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Belarus at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 17.65 | 7.96 | 1.14, which imply roughly 12.6% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, San Marino averaged 0.3 goals scored and 4 conceded per game; Belarus averaged 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Belarus.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
17.6	7.96	1.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
5.19	1.02	1.07

Draw no bet

1	2
12.1	1.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.97	1.35

1st half

1	X	2
13.6	2.86	1.47

2nd half

1	X	2
12.9	3.45	1.37

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	29.6	33.1	28.9
HT X	28.8	9.21	3.78
HT 2	120.2	30.5	1.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
5.65	16.4	1.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.4
1.5	1.18	4.51
2.5	1.61	2.23
3.5	2.52	1.49
4.5	4.53	1.18
5.5	8.33	1.05
6.5	11.9	1.02
7.5	14.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.2
1.75	1.19	3.97
2	1.26	3.47
2.25	1.43	2.65
2.75	1.76	2.02
3	1.99	1.77
3.25	2.29	1.61
3.75	2.95	1.37
4	3.82	1.23
4.25	4.18	1.19
4.75	5.64	1.10
5	7.88	1.04
5.25	8.15	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.5	2.59	1.46
+1.75	2.27	1.60
+2	2.00	1.77
+2.25	1.76	2.05
+2.5	1.62	2.25
+2.75	1.45	2.68

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	7.11	1.07
+0.5	5.00	1.14
+0.75	5.25	1.16
+1	4.59	1.17
+1.25	3.15	1.33
+3	1.31	3.42
+3.25	1.26	3.67
+3.5	1.22	3.88
+3.75	1.14	4.99
+4	1.07	6.91
+4.25	1.06	7.18
+4.5	1.05	7.77

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	2.15	1.65

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	7.60
6.5	1.14	4.47
7.5	1.32	2.96
8.5	1.61	2.18
9.5	2.04	1.71
10.5	2.65	1.40
11.5	3.64	1.21
12.5	5.28	1.10
13.5	8.10	1.02

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.35	2.74
8	1.46	2.56
8.25	1.49	2.34
8.75	1.67	2.02
9	1.78	1.99
9.25	1.90	1.80
9.75	2.15	1.60
10	2.33	1.54
10.25	2.51	1.43
10.75	2.92	1.32
11.25	2.88	1.32

Next UEFA Nations League matches

12 Nov	Armenia – Cyprus
12 Nov	Türkiye – Belgium
12 Nov	Italy – France
12 Nov	Czechia – Spain
12 Nov	England – Croatia
12 Nov	Albania – Finland

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table