Northern Ireland vs Ukraine• UEFA Nations League, World

1.0:0.019:45Tomorrow · Windsor Park, Belfast0.5:1.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.59PINX3.081XB23.161XBMargin at best2.7%Books10Markets75Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L51.4

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 20:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.57	3.08	3.16	3.0%
Pinnacle	2.60	3.01	3.14	3.5%
Dafabet	2.55	3.05	3.15	3.7%
Marathonbet	2.54	3.04	3.12	4.3%
Betano	2.55	3.00	3.10	4.8%
Bet365	2.50	3.00	3.10	5.6%
Betfair	2.50	2.88	3.00	8.1%
William Hill	2.45	2.90	3.00	8.6%
BetVictor	2.40	2.90	3.00	9.5%
SBO	2.33	2.77	2.77	15.1%
Best of all books	2.60	3.08	3.16	2.6%
Average	2.50	2.96	3.05	6.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Northern IrelandUkraine

Last 108Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 50.50.0Goals against · last 51.367Attack rating33100Defence rating067Form rating3364H2H rating360Goals model070Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

Northern Ireland

4W 3D 3L · goals 8:7 · per match 0.8 for, 0.7 against

5 Oct	H	Georgia	0-0	D
2 Oct	A	Ukraine	3-0	W
28 Sep	H	Hungary	0-0	D
25 Sep	A	Georgia	1-0	W
8 Jun	A	France	1-3	L
4 Jun	H	Guinea	1-0	W
31 Mar	A	Wales	1-1	D
26 Mar	A	Italy	0-2	L
17 Nov	H	Luxembourg	1-0	W
14 Nov	A	Slovakia	0-1	L

Ukraine

4W 1D 5L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

5 Oct	H	Hungary	1-2	L
2 Oct	H	Northern Ireland	0-3	L
28 Sep	A	Georgia	0-0	D
25 Sep	A	Hungary	1-0	W
7 Jun	A	Denmark	1-2	L
31 May	A	Poland	2-0	W
31 Mar	H	Albania	1-0	W
26 Mar	H	Sweden	1-3	L
16 Nov	H	Iceland	2-0	W
13 Nov	A	France	0-4	L

Head to head

2Northern Ireland wins

0draws

1Ukraine wins

3 meetings · goals 5:1 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Northern Ireland

2 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Ukraine0-3Northern Ireland
3 Jun 2021Friendlies	Friendlies	Ukraine1-0Northern Ireland
16 Jun 2016Euro Championship	Euro Championship	Ukraine0-2Northern Ireland

UEFA Nations League tableLeague B - Group Cupdated 13 Nov 23:20 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Austria	4	2	2	0	9:5	+4	8
2	Kosovo	4	1	2	1	3:4	-1	5
3	Rep. Of Ireland	4	1	2	1	6:4	+2	5
4	Israel	4	0	2	2	2:7	-5	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.50X32%2.96231%3.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.33 → 2.50 +7.3%X3.03 → 2.96 -2.3%23.18 → 3.02 -5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.61	1.54	3.2%
Pinnacle	2.70	1.49	4.2%
Betano	2.57	1.53	4.3%
Marathonbet	2.57	1.52	4.7%
Bet365	2.60	1.48	6.0%
Betfair	2.63	1.47	6.1%
BetVictor	2.44	1.47	9.0%
Best of all books	2.70	1.54	2.0%
Average	2.59	1.50	5.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Betano	2.05	1.72	6.9%
1xBet	2.06	1.70	7.4%
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
William Hill	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.68	8.1%
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Best of all books	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Average	2.07	1.70	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Northern Ireland 50%Draw 50%Ukraine 0%

The statistical model rates Northern Ireland at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Ukraine at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.50 | 2.96 | 3.02, which imply roughly 40% for a Northern Ireland win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Northern Ireland averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Ukraine averaged 0.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Northern Ireland or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.50	2.96	3.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.50	1.37

Draw no bet

1	2
1.71	2.06

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.07	1.70

1st half

1	X	2
3.20	1.93	3.80

2nd half

1	X	2
2.88	2.19	3.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.09	14.5	39.6
HT X	5.60	4.01	6.53
HT 2	35.7	14.6	5.01

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.99	6.13	2.28

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.10	6.51
1.5	1.51	2.50
2.5	2.59	1.50
3.5	5.21	1.15
4.5	11.2	1.03
5.5	17.5	1.02
6.5	31.3	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.09	5.65
1	1.13	5.05
1.25	1.31	3.08
1.75	1.67	2.15
2	1.93	1.86
2.25	2.24	1.63
2.75	3.01	1.35
3	4.10	1.23
3.25	4.52	1.17
3.75	6.22	1.08
4	9.20	1.02
4.25	8.27	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.04	1.36
-0.5	2.47	1.53
-0.25	2.09	1.73
0	1.72	2.12
+0.25	1.50	2.55
+0.5	1.39	3.00

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	12.9	1.02
-1.75	7.03	1.07
-1.5	5.55	1.13
-1.25	4.91	1.16
-1	4.31	1.21
+0.75	1.25	3.88
+1	1.11	6.16
+1.25	1.09	6.58
+1.5	1.07	7.01
+1.75	1.01	10.5
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.26	3.53
3.5	1.49	2.52
4	1.73	2.08
4.5	2.08	1.69
5	2.68	1.42

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.05	6.61
5.5	1.13	4.52
6.5	1.29	3.07
7.5	1.59	2.22
8.5	2.02	1.73
9.5	2.67	1.40
10.5	3.72	1.21
11.5	5.33	1.10
12.5	6.91	1.04
13.5	11.0	1.01

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.05	5.55
6	1.14	3.85
6.75	1.30	2.97
7	1.39	2.74
7.25	1.44	2.47
7.75	1.62	2.10
8	1.76	2.01
8.25	1.86	1.84
8.75	2.12	1.62
9	2.29	1.57
9.25	2.49	1.44
9.75	2.92	1.32
10	3.00	1.28
11	3.92	1.13
12	5.17	1.06

Next UEFA Nations League matches

14 Nov	Kosovo – Israel
14 Nov	Norway – Wales
14 Nov	Georgia – Hungary
14 Nov	Romania – Poland
14 Nov	Portugal – Denmark
14 Nov	Austria – Rep. Of Ireland

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

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