Montenegro vs Latvia• UEFA Nations League, World

1.8:1.019:45Today · Gradski Stadion, Podgorica0.5:1.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.32BTNX5.70PIN212.0BVCMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets83Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Nov 08:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.32	5.60	11.5	2.3%
1xBet	1.30	5.61	11.6	3.4%
Pinnacle	1.29	5.70	11.4	3.8%
Dafabet	1.30	5.60	11.0	3.9%
Marathonbet	1.29	5.55	11.5	4.2%
BetVictor	1.25	5.50	12.0	6.5%
Bet365	1.28	5.50	9.50	6.8%
William Hill	1.25	5.00	10.0	10.0%
Betfair	1.20	5.00	11.0	12.4%
SBO	1.27	4.54	7.53	14.0%
Best of all books	1.32	5.70	12.0	1.6%
Average	1.27	5.36	10.7	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MontenegroLatvia

Last 1011Form pts · last 511.8Goals for · last 50.51.0Goals against · last 51.578Attack rating2260Defence rating4091Form rating975H2H rating2589Goals model1176Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

Montenegro

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

5 Oct	H	Armenia	0-0	D
2 Oct	A	Latvia	2-1	W
28 Sep	A	Armenia	3-2	W
25 Sep	H	Cyprus	2-1	W
5 Jun	A	Slovakia	2-2	D
1 Jun	A	Bulgaria	1-0	W
31 Mar	H	Slovenia	2-3	L
27 Mar	H	Andorra	2-0	W
17 Nov	H	Croatia	2-3	L
14 Nov	A	Gibraltar	2-1	W

Latvia

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:10 · per match 0.6 for, 1.0 against

5 Oct	A	Cyprus	1-2	L
2 Oct	H	Montenegro	1-2	L
28 Sep	H	Cyprus	0-0	D
25 Sep	A	Armenia	0-2	L
9 Jun	H	Faroe Islands	0-1	L
6 Jun	A	Lithuania	1-1	D
31 Mar	H	Gibraltar	1-0	W
26 Mar	A	Gibraltar	1-0	W
16 Nov	A	Serbia	1-2	L
13 Nov	A	FYR Macedonia	0-0	D

Head to head

2Montenegro wins

2draws

0Latvia wins

4 meetings · goals 5:3 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Montenegro

2 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Latvia1-2Montenegro
7 Sep 2021World Cup - Qualification Europe	World Cup - Qualification Europe	Montenegro0-0Latvia
24 Mar 2021World Cup - Qualification Europe	World Cup - Qualification Europe	Latvia1-2Montenegro
7 Oct 2020Friendlies	Friendlies	Montenegro1-1Latvia

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Aupdated 12 Nov 00:20 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	France	4	3	1	0	7:2	+5	10
2	Italy	4	2	1	1	8:5	+3	7
3	Belgium	4	2	0	2	6:5	+1	6
4	Türkiye	4	0	0	4	2:11	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg174%1.28X18%5.3629%10.7

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.33 → 1.28 -3.8%X4.76 → 5.36 +12.6%28.69 → 10.7 +23.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.81	2.09	3.1%
Pinnacle	1.85	2.02	3.6%
Marathonbet	1.78	2.06	4.7%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.75	2.05	5.9%
SBO	1.79	1.99	6.1%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
BetVictor	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Best of all books	1.85	2.09	1.9%
Average	1.78	2.01	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
William Hill	2.20	1.62	7.2%
1xBet	2.27	1.58	7.3%
Betfair	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Betano	2.22	1.60	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.56	8.2%
BetVictor	2.30	1.53	8.8%
Best of all books	2.50	1.62	1.7%
Average	2.31	1.56	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Montenegro 50%Draw 50%Latvia 0%

The statistical model rates Montenegro at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Latvia at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.28 | 5.36 | 10.70, which imply roughly 78.1% for a Montenegro win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Montenegro averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Latvia averaged 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Montenegro or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.28	5.36	10.7

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.55	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.06	7.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.31	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
1.72	2.48	8.97

2nd half

1	X	2
1.57	2.94	8.40

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.78	21.1	74.7
HT X	3.86	7.23	19.2
HT 2	23.9	22.7	18.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.27	12.4	4.28

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.9
1.5	1.24	3.86
2.5	1.78	2.01
3.5	2.92	1.38
4.5	5.42	1.13
5.5	9.87	1.04
6.5	11.4	1.02
7.5	16.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	10.7
1	1.02	9.18
1.25	1.13	5.15
1.75	1.30	3.28
2	1.38	2.93
2.25	1.59	2.34
2.75	2.00	1.77
3	2.31	1.59
3.25	2.56	1.46
3.75	3.36	1.27
4	4.42	1.17
4.25	4.70	1.13
5	8.60	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.84	1.40
-2	2.51	1.50
-1.75	2.10	1.71
-1.5	1.86	1.94
-1.25	1.65	2.21
-1	1.41	2.80

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	9.85	1.02
-3.75	7.17	1.05
-3.5	5.84	1.11
-3.25	5.46	1.12
-3	5.13	1.14
-2.75	3.73	1.24
-2.5	3.20	1.33
-0.75	1.33	3.21
-0.5	1.27	3.68
-0.25	1.16	4.67
0	1.07	7.15
+0.25	1.10	7.00
+0.5	1.04	9.50

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	2.20	1.62

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.17
6.5	1.14	4.11
7.5	1.31	3.02
8.5	1.59	2.22
9.5	1.97	1.76
10.5	2.54	1.44
11.5	3.37	1.24
12.5	4.61	1.11
13.5	5.19	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.33	2.83
8	1.42	2.68
8.25	1.46	2.38
8.75	1.63	2.06
9	1.71	2.06
9.25	1.85	1.81
9.75	2.11	1.61
10	2.25	1.57
10.25	2.46	1.44
10.75	2.86	1.33

Next UEFA Nations League matches

12 Nov	Armenia – Cyprus
12 Nov	Türkiye – Belgium
12 Nov	Italy – France
12 Nov	Czechia – Spain
12 Nov	England – Croatia
12 Nov	Albania – Finland

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table