Norway vs Wales• UEFA Nations League, World

1.5:2.017:00Tomorrow · Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo0.5:1.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.25MARX7.37PIN212.5BTNMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets106Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 20:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.25	6.90	12.5	2.5%
Marathonbet	1.25	6.80	11.8	3.2%
1xBet	1.25	6.80	11.7	3.3%
Pinnacle	1.22	7.37	12.1	3.8%
Dafabet	1.24	7.00	11.0	4.0%
Bet365	1.22	7.00	10.0	6.3%
William Hill	1.22	6.50	10.0	7.4%
Betfair	1.20	6.50	11.0	7.8%
BetVictor	1.18	6.00	11.5	10.1%
SBO	1.20	5.70	8.87	12.2%
Best of all books	1.25	7.37	12.5	1.6%
Average	1.22	6.66	11.0	5.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NorwayWales

Last 103Form pts · last 531.5Goals for · last 50.52.0Goals against · last 51.375Attack rating2538Defence rating6250Form rating500H2H rating100100Goals model049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

Norway

5W 0D 5L · goals 19:19 · per match 1.9 for, 1.9 against

4 Oct	A	Portugal	1-2	L
1 Oct	A	Wales	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Portugal	1-2	L
24 Sep	H	Denmark	3-2	W
11 Jul	H	England	1-2	L
5 Jul	A	Brazil	2-1	W
30 Jun	A	Ivory Coast	2-1	W
26 Jun	H	France	1-4	L
23 Jun	H	Senegal	3-2	W
16 Jun	A	Iraq	4-1	W

Wales

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

4 Oct	H	Denmark	0-1	L
1 Oct	H	Norway	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Denmark	0-2	L
24 Sep	A	Portugal	0-1	L
6 Jun	A	Romania	1-2	L
2 Jun	H	Ghana	1-1	D
31 Mar	H	Northern Ireland	1-1	D
26 Mar	H	Bosnia & Herzegovina	1-1	D
18 Nov	H	FYR Macedonia	7-1	W
15 Nov	A	Liechtenstein	1-0	W

Head to head

0Norway wins

0draws

1Wales wins

1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Norway

1 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

Wales2-1Norway

UEFA Nations League tableLeague B - Group Cupdated 13 Nov 23:20 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Austria	4	2	2	0	9:5	+4	8
2	Kosovo	4	1	2	1	3:4	-1	5
3	Rep. Of Ireland	4	1	2	1	6:4	+2	5
4	Israel	4	0	2	2	2:7	-5	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg177%1.22X14%6.6629%11.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.23 → 1.22 -0.8%X6.43 → 6.66 +3.6%210.7 → 11.0 +3.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.42	2.92	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.39	3.02	5.1%
1xBet	1.42	2.81	6.0%
Bet365	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.77	7.5%
BetVictor	1.40	2.66	9.0%
Best of all books	1.42	3.02	3.5%
Average	1.40	2.85	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Betano	1.85	1.90	6.7%
William Hill	1.83	1.91	7.0%
1xBet	1.85	1.87	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.90	1.91	5.0%
Average	1.85	1.87	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Norway 10%Draw 45%Wales 45%

The statistical model rates Norway at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Wales at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.22 | 6.66 | 11.04, which imply roughly 15% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Norway averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Wales averaged 0.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Wales.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.22	6.66	11.0

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	4.06	1.09

Draw no bet

1	2
1.06	8.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
1.57	2.94	8.52

2nd half

1	X	2
1.46	3.44	8.12

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.64	21.8	64.1
HT X	4.21	9.93	21.6
HT 2	19.8	22.7	18.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.25	24.0	3.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	16.4
1.5	1.10	6.36
2.5	1.40	2.85
3.5	2.03	1.78
4.5	3.33	1.32
5.5	6.12	1.11
6.5	10.0	1.05
7.5	14.9	1.02
8.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.85
1.75	1.10	5.52
2	1.13	5.09
2.25	1.26	3.58
2.75	1.48	2.54
3	1.61	2.29
3.25	1.84	1.95
3.75	2.32	1.60
4	2.72	1.45
4.25	3.11	1.35
4.75	4.12	1.19
5	5.50	1.12
5.25	5.77	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.53	1.50
-2.25	2.28	1.60
-2	2.03	1.78
-1.75	1.79	2.03
-1.5	1.64	2.26
-1.25	1.46	2.64

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	10.2	1.01
-4	8.18	1.03
-3.75	5.67	1.11
-3.5	4.49	1.17
-3.25	4.16	1.19
-3	3.80	1.23
-2.75	2.97	1.37
-1	1.31	3.41
-0.75	1.25	3.78
-0.5	1.21	4.25
-0.25	1.12	5.61
0	1.05	7.40
+0.5	1.06	10.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.25	3.71
3	1.39	2.86
3.5	1.64	2.19
4	2.09	1.74
4.5	2.29	1.63
5	3.39	1.29
5.5	2.87	1.39
6.5	4.25	1.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.01	14.0
3.5	1.02	11.5
4.5	1.03	8.15
5.5	1.09	5.69
6.5	1.21	3.72
7.5	1.43	2.54
8.5	1.76	1.95
9.5	2.21	1.58
10.5	3.03	1.32
11.5	4.25	1.16
12.5	5.68	1.09
13.5	7.81	1.04
14.5	11.9	1.02
15.5	12.5	1.01
16.5	15.0	1.01
17.5	15.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.03	5.95
6	1.08	4.75
7	1.29	2.94
7.25	1.33	2.86
7.75	1.38	2.68
8	1.58	2.22
8.25	1.70	1.98
8.75	1.84	1.96
9	1.92	1.85
9.25	2.26	1.52
9.75	2.46	1.43
10	2.44	1.42
10.25	2.92	1.31
10.75	2.97	1.31
11	3.10	1.23
12	4.17	1.12
13	5.37	1.05

Next UEFA Nations League matches

14 Nov	Kosovo – Israel
14 Nov	Georgia – Hungary
14 Nov	Romania – Poland
14 Nov	Northern Ireland – Ukraine
14 Nov	Portugal – Denmark
14 Nov	Austria – Rep. Of Ireland

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

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