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Romania vs Poland• UEFA Nations League, World

0.8:3.319:45Tomorrow · Arena Națională, Bucharest1.8:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.101XBX4.00B36521.89SBOMargin at best2.3%Books10Markets85Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 20:14 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano4.004.101.882.6%
1xBet4.103.921.883.1%
Dafabet4.003.801.903.9%
Pinnacle4.003.881.884.0%
Marathonbet4.053.881.864.2%
Bet3653.753.901.856.4%
Betfair3.753.751.876.8%
William Hill3.803.501.858.9%
BetVictor3.803.601.809.6%
SBO3.493.221.8214.7%
Best of all books4.104.101.901.4%
Average3.873.751.866.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RomaniaPoland
Last 103Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.83.3Goals against · last 51.030Attack rating7024Defence rating760Form rating1000H2H rating10062Goals model3831Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

Romania

2W 1D 7L · goals 14:22 · per match 1.4 for, 2.2 against

5 OctHSweden0-1L
2 OctAPoland0-6L
28 SepHBosnia & Herzegovina2-4L
25 SepASweden1-2L
6 JunHWales2-1W
2 JunAGeorgia1-1D
31 MarASlovakia0-2L
26 MarATürkiye0-1L
18 NovHSan Marino7-1W
15 NovABosnia & Herzegovina1-3L

Poland

3W 3D 4L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

5 OctABosnia & Herzegovina0-1L
2 OctHRomania6-0W
28 SepASweden1-3L
25 SepHBosnia & Herzegovina0-0D
3 JunHNigeria2-2D
31 MayHUkraine0-2L
31 MarASweden2-3L
26 MarHAlbania2-1W
17 NovAMalta3-2W
14 NovHNetherlands1-1D

Head to head

0Romania wins
0draws
3Poland wins

3 meetings · goals 1:12 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Romania

2 Oct 2026UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeaguePoland6-0Romania
10 Jun 2017World Cup - Qualification EuropeWorld Cup - Qualification EuropePoland3-1Romania
11 Nov 2016World Cup - Qualification EuropeWorld Cup - Qualification EuropeRomania0-3Poland

UEFA Nations League tableLeague B - Group Cupdated 13 Nov 23:20 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Austria42209:5+48
2Kosovo41213:4-15
3Rep. Of Ireland41216:4+25
4Israel40222:7-52

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.91X25%3.75251%1.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Nov 00:0013 Nov 00:001 3.91X 3.752 1.84
13.73 → 3.91 +4.8%X3.60 → 3.75 +4.2%21.91 → 1.84 -3.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.782.133.1%
Betano1.782.103.8%
Pinnacle1.752.124.3%
Marathonbet1.752.104.8%
Betfair1.732.105.4%
SBO1.742.085.5%
Bet3651.732.085.9%
BetVictor1.701.999.1%
Best of all books1.782.133.1%
Average1.752.095.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.206.1%
Betano1.702.077.1%
1xBet1.642.157.5%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Marathonbet1.642.128.1%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
Best of all books1.702.204.3%
Average1.662.137.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Romania 10%Draw 45%Poland 45%

The statistical model rates Romania at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Poland at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.91 | 3.75 | 1.84, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Romania averaged 0.8 goals scored and 3.3 conceded per game; Poland averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Poland.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.873.761.86

Double chance

1XX212
1.941.241.24

Draw no bet

12
2.811.38

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.13

1st half

1X2
4.202.292.40

2nd half

1X2
3.872.602.17

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.3314.722.2
HT X8.865.954.92
HT 234.914.32.77

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.4414.01.62

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0411.8
1.51.224.08
2.51.752.09
3.52.811.41
4.55.371.14
5.510.11.04
6.515.71.02
7.531.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0210.2
1.251.105.67
1.751.263.58
21.353.10
2.251.552.44
2.751.931.85
32.241.63
3.252.511.49
3.753.371.27
44.471.17
4.254.811.13
4.756.611.06
58.001.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.981.39
+0.252.291.61
+0.51.971.84
+0.751.732.07
+11.512.52
+1.251.392.88
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.513.01.01
-1.59.281.05
-1.258.601.03
-17.701.07
-0.755.031.15
-0.53.921.26
-0.253.411.31
+1.51.323.25
+1.751.213.95
+21.115.65
+2.251.096.04
+2.51.086.56
+3.51.0211.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
41.352.95
4.51.652.14
51.891.88
5.52.221.61
62.861.37

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.037.23
5.51.085.43
6.51.223.60
7.51.442.56
8.51.791.94
9.52.291.55
10.53.131.30
11.54.451.14
12.56.061.07
13.510.01.01
14.515.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.035.90
61.094.50
71.233.10
7.251.322.92
7.751.452.47
81.552.29
8.251.622.10
8.751.821.82
92.001.78
9.252.081.61
9.752.401.46
102.561.44
10.252.831.33
113.301.20
124.421.10
135.621.04

Next UEFA Nations League matches

14 NovKosovo – Israel
14 NovNorway – Wales
14 NovGeorgia – Hungary
14 NovNorthern Ireland – Ukraine
14 NovPortugal – Denmark
14 NovAustria – Rep. Of Ireland

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

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