England vs Croatia• UEFA Nations League, World

3.5:0.819:45Today · Wembley Stadium, London1.0:3.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.31BTNX6.60DAF211.0BFRMargin at best0.6%Books10Markets97Rating81 · 19Exp. goals L54.4

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Nov 08:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.31	5.90	11.0	2.4%
Marathonbet	1.29	6.10	10.8	3.2%
1xBet	1.29	6.10	10.7	3.3%
Dafabet	1.26	6.60	11.0	3.6%
Pinnacle	1.29	5.95	10.2	4.2%
Bet365	1.27	6.00	9.00	6.5%
BetVictor	1.25	6.00	10.0	6.7%
Betfair	1.22	6.00	11.0	7.7%
William Hill	1.25	5.50	10.0	8.2%
SBO	1.21	5.22	7.91	14.4%
Best of all books	1.31	6.60	11.0	0.6%
Average	1.26	5.94	10.2	5.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EnglandCroatia

Last 1012Form pts · last 533.5Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 53.578Attack rating2282Defence rating1875Form rating2593H2H rating774Goals model2681Overall rating19

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

England

8W 0D 2L · goals 30:13 · per match 3.0 for, 1.3 against

6 Oct	H	Czechia	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Croatia	7-0	W
29 Sep	A	Czechia	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Spain	2-3	L
18 Jul	A	France	6-4	W
15 Jul	H	Argentina	1-2	L
11 Jul	A	Norway	2-1	W
6 Jul	A	Mexico	3-2	W
1 Jul	H	Congo DR	2-1	W
27 Jun	A	Panama	2-0	W

Croatia

4W 0D 6L · goals 12:24 · per match 1.2 for, 2.4 against

6 Oct	H	Spain	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	England	0-7	L
29 Sep	A	Spain	1-4	L
26 Sep	A	Czechia	2-1	W
2 Jul	A	Portugal	1-2	L
27 Jun	H	Ghana	2-1	W
23 Jun	A	Panama	1-0	W
17 Jun	A	England	2-4	L
7 Jun	H	Slovenia	2-1	W
2 Jun	H	Belgium	0-2	L

Head to head

4England wins

1draws

1Croatia wins

6 meetings · goals 15:5 · last 6: 4W 1D 1L for England

3 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Croatia0-7England
17 Jun 2026World Cup	World Cup	England4-2Croatia
13 Jun 2021Euro Championship	Euro Championship	England1-0Croatia
18 Nov 2018UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	England2-1Croatia
12 Oct 2018UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Croatia0-0England
11 Jul 2018World Cup	World Cup	Croatia2-1England

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Aupdated 12 Nov 00:20 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	France	4	3	1	0	7:2	+5	10
2	Italy	4	2	1	1	8:5	+3	7
3	Belgium	4	2	0	2	6:5	+1	6
4	Türkiye	4	0	0	4	2:11	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg175%1.26X16%5.9429%10.2

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.24 → 1.26 +1.6%X5.98 → 5.94 -0.7%210.4 → 10.2 -2.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.47	2.75	4.4%
Pinnacle	1.44	2.79	5.3%
1xBet	1.43	2.77	6.0%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.73	7.6%
BetVictor	1.43	2.56	9.0%
Best of all books	1.47	2.88	2.7%
Average	1.43	2.74	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.78	1.95	7.5%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.93	8.0%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.78	1.95	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

England 50%Draw 50%Croatia 0%

The statistical model rates England at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Croatia at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.26 | 5.94 | 10.15, which imply roughly 79.4% for a England win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, England averaged 3.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Croatia averaged 1 scored and 3.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : England and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.26	5.94	10.2

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	3.81	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.07	7.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
1.64	2.79	7.92

2nd half

1	X	2
1.52	3.31	7.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.71	19.9	63.7
HT X	4.17	9.10	20.8
HT 2	20.3	21.7	17.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.28	22.5	3.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.7
1.5	1.11	6.02
2.5	1.43	2.74
3.5	2.12	1.71
4.5	3.49	1.29
5.5	6.48	1.10
6.5	10.9	1.04
7.5	16.9	1.02
8.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.85
1.75	1.11	5.32
2	1.15	4.89
2.25	1.29	3.38
2.75	1.52	2.44
3	1.68	2.16
3.25	1.90	1.88
3.75	2.38	1.57
4	2.86	1.41
4.25	3.19	1.34
4.75	4.17	1.19
5	5.55	1.12
5.25	5.82	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.81	1.42
-2.25	2.51	1.51
-2	2.24	1.65
-1.75	1.96	1.86
-1.5	1.74	2.08
-1.25	1.55	2.38

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	10.3	1.01
-4	8.98	1.02
-3.75	6.13	1.09
-3.5	4.87	1.15
-3.25	4.53	1.17
-3	4.18	1.20
-2.75	3.33	1.31
-1	1.38	3.03
-0.75	1.31	3.33
-0.5	1.24	3.90
-0.25	1.14	5.08
0	1.08	6.59
+0.5	1.04	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.19	4.35
2	1.27	3.32
2.5	1.57	2.30
3	1.85	1.93
3.5	2.21	1.62
4	3.14	1.30
4.5	3.30	1.31
5.5	5.20	1.14

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.0
4.5	1.02	11.8
5.5	1.04	8.13
6.5	1.12	5.11
7.5	1.27	3.35
8.5	1.51	2.40
9.5	1.87	1.86
10.5	2.41	1.50
11.5	3.24	1.29
12.5	4.53	1.15
13.5	6.50	1.08
14.5	8.00	1.06
15.5	10.6	1.02
16.5	12.0	1.02
17.5	14.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.40	2.60
8.75	1.55	2.22
9	1.70	2.12
9.25	1.74	1.94
9.75	1.98	1.74
10	2.22	1.64
10.25	2.25	1.54
10.75	2.60	1.40
11.25	3.04	1.29

Next UEFA Nations League matches

12 Nov	Armenia – Cyprus
12 Nov	Türkiye – Belgium
12 Nov	Italy – France
12 Nov	Czechia – Spain
12 Nov	Albania – Finland
12 Nov	San Marino – Belarus

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table