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Super Nova 2 vs Metta / LU• 1. Liga, Latvia

#81.0:1.61-3FT17/10 · Sporta centrs Krasts4.4:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

1100.01XBX10.5MAR21.05WHMargin at best5.8%Books3Markets47Rating23 · 77Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 08:56 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
William Hill29.010.01.067.8%
1xBet26.09.601.0212.3%
Marathonbet26.09.601.0212.3%
Best of all books29.010.01.067.8%
Average27.09.731.0310.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Super Nova 2Metta / LU
Last 10#8Table position#11.21Points per game2.612Form pts · last 5131.0Goals for · last 54.41.6Goals against · last 50.619Attack rating8127Defence rating7319Form rating810H2H rating10018Goals model8223Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 10:30 UTC

Super Nova 2

1W 4D 5L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

17 OctHMetta / LU1-3L
10 OctAValmiera / BSS1-1D
19 SepHSmiltene0-2L
11 SepARēzekne FA2-2D
29 AugALeevon / PPK1-2L
23 AugHSkanste1-1D
15 AugAMārupe1-2L
8 AugAJFK Ventspils2-0W
31 JulHRiga Mariners0-3L
25 JulAJDFS Alberts1-1D

Metta / LU

7W 2D 1L · goals 42:11 · per match 4.2 for, 1.1 against

17 OctASuper Nova 23-1W
10 OctHRiga Mariners4-0W
19 SepAJDFS Alberts3-1W
12 SepHJFK Ventspils7-0W
5 SepAValmiera / BSS2-2D
29 AugASmiltene6-0W
23 AugARēzekne FA2-0W
16 AugARiga1-4L
8 AugHRīgas FS II12-1W
1 AugARiga FC II2-2D

Head to head

0Super Nova 2 wins
0draws
1Metta / LU wins

1 meeting · goals 3:7 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Super Nova 2

13 Jun 20261. Liga1. LigaMetta / LU7-3Super Nova 2

1. Liga table1. Ligaupdated 23 Oct 13:30 UTC

In the 1. Liga table, Super Nova 2 sit 8th with 29 points from 24 games, while Metta / LU are 1st with 60 points from 23.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Metta / LU23193196:18+7860
2Valmiera / BSS23165263:26+3753
3Leevon / PPK23165249:27+2253
4Riga Mariners23155354:30+2450
5JDFS Alberts23125646:33+1341
6Mārupe231031037:34+333
7Riga FC II2386936:39-330
8Super Nova 22478933:36-329
9Skanste23821346:48-226
10Smiltene23551334:61-2720
11Tukums II24541531:68-3719
12Rīgas FS II23531537:65-2818
13JFK Ventspils23371321:45-2416
14Rēzekne FA23131917:70-536

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg11%93.7X9%10.2290%1.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 06:3017 Oct 12:311 93.7X 10.22 1.04
128.7 → 93.7 +226.7%X9.73 → 10.2 +4.5%21.03 → 1.04 +1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.253.2810.5%
Marathonbet1.253.2810.5%
Best of all books1.253.2810.5%
Average1.253.2810.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.471.469.0%
William Hill2.601.409.9%
Marathonbet2.471.449.9%
Best of all books2.601.467.0%
Average2.511.439.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Super Nova 2 0%Draw 50%Metta / LU 50%

The statistical model rated Super Nova 2 at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Metta / LU at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 93.67 | 10.17 | 1.04, which imply roughly 9.8% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the 1. Liga table: Super Nova 2 are 8th (29 pts, 33-36 goals), Metta / LU 1st (60 pts, 96-18).

Over their last five matches, Super Nova 2 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Metta / LU averaged 4.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Metta / LU.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
27.09.731.03

Double chance

1XX212
7.401.011.03

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.511.43

1st half

1X2
16.63.311.32

2nd half

1X2
16.44.701.19

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 129.028.021.0
HT X32.014.04.00
HT 250.027.01.30

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
7.2024.01.06

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0126.0
1.51.077.50
2.51.253.28
3.51.632.08
4.52.371.46
5.54.201.18
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.066.00
2.751.302.97
31.352.76
3.251.472.38
3.751.761.89
41.951.71
4.252.171.57
4.752.731.35
53.421.23

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+2.252.421.45
+2.52.221.54
+2.752.011.66
+31.821.85
+3.251.652.05
+3.51.522.26
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
011.01.01
+1.53.481.22
+1.753.141.27
+22.881.32
+3.751.402.57
+41.283.09
+4.51.193.78

Next 1. Liga matches

24 OctMetta / LU – Leevon / PPK
24 OctSkanste – Smiltene
24 OctMārupe – Riga Mariners

All 1. Liga fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Liga results

22 OctTukums II 0-3 Super Nova 2
18 OctJFK Ventspils 0-0 Mārupe
18 OctValmiera / BSS 2-2 Tukums II
17 OctRiga Mariners 4-3 Skanste
17 OctSmiltene 2-2 Riga FC II
11 OctSmiltene 3-2 Tukums II