Metta / LU vs 
Leevon / PPK• 1. Liga, Latvia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 03:06 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.15 | 7.00 | 13.0 | 8.9% |
| Dafabet | 1.16 | 6.80 | 11.0 | 10.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 6.50 | 8.50 | 10.5% |
| Betfair | 1.11 | 7.50 | 14.0 | 10.6% |
| Betano | 1.18 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 10.7% |
| Pinnacle | 1.15 | 6.80 | 9.35 | 12.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.08 | 8.00 | 13.5 | 12.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.08 | 8.00 | 13.5 | 12.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.20 | 8.00 | 14.0 | 3.0% |
| Average | 1.14 | 7.14 | 11.5 | 10.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 13:30 UTC
Metta / LU
7W 2D 1L · goals 42:11 · per match 4.2 for, 1.1 against
| 17 Oct | A | Super Nova 2 | 3-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Riga Mariners | 4-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | JDFS Alberts | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | JFK Ventspils | 7-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Valmiera / BSS | 2-2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Smiltene | 6-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Rēzekne FA | 2-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Riga | 1-4 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | Rīgas FS II | 12-1 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | Riga FC II | 2-2 | D |
Leevon / PPK
8W 2D 0L · goals 27:11 · per match 2.7 for, 1.1 against
| 18 Oct | H | JDFS Alberts | 2-2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | JFK Ventspils | 4-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Rīgas FS II | 6-3 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Riga FC II | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Tukums II | 3-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Super Nova 2 | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Smiltene | 4-2 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Mārupe | 1-0 | W |
| 1 Aug | H | Rēzekne FA | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Jul | H | Skanste | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 3:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Metta / LU
| 28 Jun 20261. Liga | 1. Liga | Leevon / PPK1-3Metta / LU |
1. Liga table1. Ligaupdated 23 Oct 13:30 UTC
In the 1. Liga table, Metta / LU sit 1st with 60 points from 23 games, while Leevon / PPK are 3rd with 53 points from 23.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta / LU | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96:18 | +78 | 60 |
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 63:26 | +37 | 53 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 49:27 | +22 | 53 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 54:30 | +24 | 50 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | +13 | 41 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 37:34 | +3 | 33 |
| 7 | Riga FC II | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 36:39 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Super Nova 2 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Skanste | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | Smiltene | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 34:61 | -27 | 20 |
| 11 | Tukums II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 31:68 | -37 | 19 |
| 12 | Rīgas FS II | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 37:65 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21:45 | -24 | 16 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17:70 | -53 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 6.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 4.00 | 9.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.28 | 4.00 | 3.1% |
| Average | 1.23 | 3.75 | 8.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.55 | 2.25 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 2.13 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 2.09 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.61 | 2.25 | 6.6% |
| Average | 1.59 | 2.16 | 9.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Metta / LU at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leevon / PPK at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.14 | 7.14 | 11.54, which imply roughly 87.7% for a Metta / LU win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1. Liga table: Metta / LU are 1st (60 pts, 96-18 goals), Leevon / PPK 3rd (53 pts, 49-27).
Over their last five matches, Metta / LU averaged 3.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Leevon / PPK averaged 3.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Metta / LU and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | 7.14 | 11.5 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | 4.58 | 1.07 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.07 | 6.70 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.59 | 2.16 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 3.28 | 8.40 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | 4.06 | 8.51 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.55 | 24.0 | 62.0 |
| HT X | 4.34 | 12.4 | 25.0 |
| HT 2 | 15.5 | 24.7 | 18.7 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 38.5 | 3.88 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.05 | 10.0 |
| 2.5 | 1.23 | 3.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.54 | 2.22 |
| 4.5 | 2.16 | 1.58 |
| 5.5 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| 3.25 | 1.36 | 2.70 |
| 3.75 | 1.61 | 2.10 |
| 4 | 1.77 | 1.88 |
| 4.25 | 1.96 | 1.71 |
| 4.75 | 2.43 | 1.45 |
| 5 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| 5.25 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 6 | 5.40 | 1.09 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 2.52 | 1.42 |
| -2.75 | 2.15 | 1.57 |
| -2.5 | 1.95 | 1.72 |
| -2.25 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
| -2 | 1.61 | 2.08 |
| -1.75 | 1.47 | 2.38 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4 | 4.75 | 1.12 |
| -3.5 | 3.04 | 1.29 |
| -3.25 | 2.78 | 1.34 |
| -1.5 | 1.39 | 2.61 |
| -1.25 | 1.27 | 3.14 |
| -1 | 1.14 | 4.33 |
| 0 | 1.05 | 7.85 |
Next 1. Liga matches
| 24 Oct | Skanste – Smiltene |
| 24 Oct | Mārupe – Riga Mariners |
Latest 1. Liga results
| 22 Oct | Tukums II 0-3 Super Nova 2 |
| 18 Oct | JFK Ventspils 0-0 Mārupe |
| 18 Oct | Valmiera / BSS 2-2 Tukums II |
| 17 Oct | Riga Mariners 4-3 Skanste |
| 17 Oct | Super Nova 2 1-3 Metta / LU |
| 17 Oct | Smiltene 2-2 Riga FC II |