Skanste vs Smiltene• 1. Liga, Latvia

#91.8:2.612:00Today2.6:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.091XBX4.33B36523.20B365Margin at best2.2%Books7Markets32Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L54.3

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 03:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.09	4.00	2.78	8.8%
Dafabet	1.93	4.10	2.95	10.1%
Betano	1.98	4.15	2.77	10.7%
Bet365	1.75	4.33	3.20	11.5%
Betfair	1.95	4.00	2.80	12.0%
Pinnacle	2.03	3.94	2.64	12.5%
William Hill	2.05	3.60	2.75	12.9%
Best of all books	2.09	4.33	3.20	2.2%
Average	1.97	4.02	2.84	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SkansteSmiltene

Last 10#9Table position#101.13Points per game0.873Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 52.62.6Goals against · last 51.641Attack rating5938Defence rating6223Form rating7771H2H rating2970Goals model3050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 13:30 UTC

Skanste

4W 1D 5L · goals 26:21 · per match 2.6 for, 2.1 against

17 Oct	A	Riga Mariners	3-4	L
10 Oct	H	JDFS Alberts	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	JFK Ventspils	0-1	L
14 Sep	A	Rīgas FS II	4-3	W
7 Sep	A	Riga FC II	2-3	L
30 Aug	H	Tukums II	6-2	W
23 Aug	A	Super Nova 2	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Rēzekne FA	5-1	W
1 Aug	H	Mārupe	4-2	W
25 Jul	A	Leevon / PPK	1-2	L

Smiltene

4W 1D 5L · goals 21:28 · per match 2.1 for, 2.8 against

17 Oct	H	Riga FC II	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	Tukums II	3-2	W
19 Sep	A	Super Nova 2	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Riga Mariners	4-1	W
5 Sep	A	JDFS Alberts	2-3	L
29 Aug	H	Metta / LU	0-6	L
23 Aug	A	Leevon / PPK	2-4	L
8 Aug	H	Valmiera / BSS	1-4	L
2 Aug	A	JFK Ventspils	2-1	W
25 Jul	H	Rīgas FS II	3-5	L

Head to head

5Skanste wins

3draws

1Smiltene wins

9 meetings · goals 17:10 · last 9: 5W 3D 1L for Skanste

28 Jun 20261. Liga	1. Liga	Smiltene2-4Skanste
9 Aug 20251. Liga	1. Liga	Smiltene1-2Skanste
12 Apr 20251. Liga	1. Liga	Skanste1-1Smiltene
10 Nov 20241. Liga	1. Liga	Skanste0-3Smiltene
28 Jul 20241. Liga	1. Liga	Smiltene0-3Skanste
12 Aug 20231. Liga	1. Liga	Skanste3-0Smiltene
14 Apr 20231. Liga	1. Liga	Smiltene1-2Skanste
6 Aug 20221. Liga	1. Liga	Skanste0-0Smiltene
9 Apr 20221. Liga	1. Liga	Smiltene2-2Skanste

1. Liga table1. Ligaupdated 23 Oct 13:30 UTC

In the 1. Liga table, Skanste sit 9th with 26 points from 23 games, while Smiltene are 10th with 20 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Metta / LU	23	19	3	1	96:18	+78	60
2	Valmiera / BSS	23	16	5	2	63:26	+37	53
3	Leevon / PPK	23	16	5	2	49:27	+22	53
4	Riga Mariners	23	15	5	3	54:30	+24	50
5	JDFS Alberts	23	12	5	6	46:33	+13	41
6	Mārupe	23	10	3	10	37:34	+3	33
7	Riga FC II	23	8	6	9	36:39	-3	30
8	Super Nova 2	24	7	8	9	33:36	-3	29
9	Skanste	23	8	2	13	46:48	-2	26
10	Smiltene	23	5	5	13	34:61	-27	20
11	Tukums II	24	5	4	15	31:68	-37	19
12	Rīgas FS II	23	5	3	15	37:65	-28	18
13	JFK Ventspils	23	3	7	13	21:45	-24	16
14	Rēzekne FA	23	1	3	19	17:70	-53	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.97X22%4.02232%2.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.78 → 1.97 +10.7%X4.28 → 4.02 -6.1%23.25 → 2.84 -12.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.40	6.3%
1xBet	1.29	3.30	7.8%
Best of all books	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Average	1.29	3.35	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.30	3.26	7.6%
William Hill	1.30	3.10	9.2%
Best of all books	1.30	3.26	7.6%
Average	1.30	3.18	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Skanste 35%Draw 35%Smiltene 30%

The statistical model rates Skanste at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Smiltene at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.97 | 4.02 | 2.84, which imply roughly 50.8% for a Skanste win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 1. Liga table: Skanste are 9th (26 pts, 46-48 goals), Smiltene 10th (20 pts, 34-61).

Over their last five matches, Skanste averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Smiltene averaged 2.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Skanste or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.97	4.02	2.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.73	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.51	2.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.30	3.18

1st half

1	X	2
2.36	2.68	3.12

2nd half

1	X	2
2.29	2.95	2.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.94	14.2	21.0
HT X	6.00	8.17	8.10
HT 2	16.5	14.2	4.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	29.0	2.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	26.0
1.5	1.07	7.50
2.5	1.30	3.35
3.5	1.70	1.98
4.5	2.59	1.41
5.5	4.20	1.18

5 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.40	2.68
3.25	1.56	2.21
3.75	1.90	1.81
4	2.05	1.67
4.25	2.35	1.50

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.26	1.53
-0.5	1.91	1.80
-0.25	1.84	1.87
0	1.63	2.13
+0.25	1.49	2.35
+0.5	1.41	2.59

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	4.85	1.13
-1.5	3.30	1.28
-1	2.70	1.38
+1	1.20	3.90
+1.5	1.15	4.50

Next 1. Liga matches

24 Oct	Metta / LU – Leevon / PPK
24 Oct	Mārupe – Riga Mariners

All 1. Liga fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Liga results

22 Oct	Tukums II 0-3 Super Nova 2
18 Oct	JFK Ventspils 0-0 Mārupe
18 Oct	Valmiera / BSS 2-2 Tukums II
17 Oct	Riga Mariners 4-3 Skanste
17 Oct	Super Nova 2 1-3 Metta / LU
17 Oct	Smiltene 2-2 Riga FC II