Mārupe vs 
Riga Mariners• 1. Liga, Latvia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 03:06 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.32 | 4.50 | 1.47 | 9.0% |
| Dafabet | 4.60 | 4.50 | 1.51 | 10.2% |
| Betano | 4.55 | 4.50 | 1.50 | 10.9% |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.60 | 1.44 | 11.2% |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 11.8% |
| Pinnacle | 4.92 | 4.45 | 1.43 | 12.7% |
| Best of all books | 5.32 | 4.60 | 1.57 | 4.2% |
| Average | 4.73 | 4.48 | 1.49 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:10 UTC
Mārupe
4W 2D 4L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against
| 18 Oct | A | JFK Ventspils | 0-0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Rīgas FS II | 3-2 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Riga FC II | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Tukums II | 5-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | JDFS Alberts | 0-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Valmiera / BSS | 1-4 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Super Nova 2 | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | Leevon / PPK | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Aug | A | Skanste | 2-4 | L |
| 25 Jul | A | Rēzekne FA | 2-1 | W |
Riga Mariners
7W 1D 2L · goals 28:18 · per match 2.8 for, 1.8 against
| 17 Oct | H | Skanste | 4-3 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Metta / LU | 0-4 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Valmiera / BSS | 4-2 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Smiltene | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Rēzekne FA | 5-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Rīgas FS II | 3-1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Riga FC II | 3-1 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | Tukums II | 4-2 | W |
| 31 Jul | A | Super Nova 2 | 3-0 | W |
| 25 Jul | H | JFK Ventspils | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
3 meetings · goals 2:7 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Mārupe
| 27 Jun 20261. Liga | 1. Liga | Riga Mariners2-0Mārupe |
| 9 Aug 20251. Liga | 1. Liga | Riga Mariners3-1Mārupe |
| 12 Apr 20251. Liga | 1. Liga | Mārupe1-2Riga Mariners |
1. Liga table1. Ligaupdated 23 Oct 13:30 UTC
In the 1. Liga table, Mārupe sit 6th with 33 points from 23 games, while Riga Mariners are 4th with 50 points from 23.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta / LU | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96:18 | +78 | 60 |
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 63:26 | +37 | 53 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 49:27 | +22 | 53 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 54:30 | +24 | 50 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | +13 | 41 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 37:34 | +3 | 33 |
| 7 | Riga FC II | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 36:39 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Super Nova 2 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Skanste | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | Smiltene | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 34:61 | -27 | 20 |
| 11 | Tukums II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 31:68 | -37 | 19 |
| 12 | Rīgas FS II | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 37:65 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21:45 | -24 | 16 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17:70 | -53 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 3.00 | 8.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 3.00 | 4.8% |
| Average | 1.36 | 2.88 | 8.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 2.54 | 7.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.46 | 2.54 | 7.9% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.54 | 7.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Mārupe at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Riga Mariners at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.73 | 4.48 | 1.49, which imply roughly 22.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1. Liga table: Mārupe are 6th (33 pts, 37-34 goals), Riga Mariners 4th (50 pts, 54-30).
Over their last five matches, Mārupe averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Riga Mariners averaged 2.8 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Riga Mariners.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.73 | 4.48 | 1.49 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.36 | 1.15 | 1.15 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.43 | 1.27 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.46 | 2.54 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.49 | 2.66 | 1.95 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.61 | 3.10 | 1.76 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 7.60 | 16.7 | 15.7 |
| HT X | 11.3 | 8.17 | 4.77 |
| HT 2 | 32.7 | 16.7 | 2.23 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 21.0 | 1.50 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 19.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.07 | 7.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.37 | 2.88 |
| 3.5 | 1.84 | 1.84 |
| 4.5 | 2.80 | 1.37 |
| 5.5 | 4.85 | 1.13 |
6 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 1.39 | 2.67 |
| 3 | 1.49 | 2.40 |
| 3.25 | 1.68 | 2.04 |
| 3.75 | 2.07 | 1.66 |
| 4 | 2.36 | 1.51 |
| 4.25 | 2.64 | 1.39 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 2.56 | 1.42 |
| +0.75 | 2.31 | 1.51 |
| +1 | 1.97 | 1.75 |
| +1.25 | 1.83 | 1.88 |
| +1.5 | 1.65 | 2.09 |
| +1.75 | 1.50 | 2.34 |
3 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.20 | 1.18 |
| +2 | 1.35 | 2.84 |
| +2.5 | 1.25 | 3.50 |
Next 1. Liga matches
| 24 Oct | Metta / LU – Leevon / PPK |
| 24 Oct | Skanste – Smiltene |
Latest 1. Liga results
| 22 Oct | Tukums II 0-3 Super Nova 2 |
| 18 Oct | JFK Ventspils 0-0 Mārupe |
| 18 Oct | Valmiera / BSS 2-2 Tukums II |
| 17 Oct | Riga Mariners 4-3 Skanste |
| 17 Oct | Super Nova 2 1-3 Metta / LU |
| 17 Oct | Smiltene 2-2 Riga FC II |