Skanste vs JDFS Alberts• 1. Liga, Latvia

#92.6:2.00-2FT10/102.0:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.20BFRX4.40BFR21.67DAFMargin at best6.4%Books7Markets49Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.95	4.00	1.67	10.2%
Betfair	4.20	4.40	1.57	10.2%
1xBet	4.20	3.95	1.62	10.9%
Betano	3.75	4.15	1.65	11.4%
Marathonbet	4.10	3.95	1.60	12.2%
William Hill	4.00	3.75	1.65	12.3%
Pinnacle	3.72	3.95	1.65	12.8%
Best of all books	4.20	4.40	1.67	6.4%
Average	3.99	4.02	1.63	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SkansteJDFS Alberts

Last 10#9Table position#51.13Points per game1.783Form pts · last 592.6Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 51.657Attack rating4344Defence rating5644Form rating5638H2H rating6248Goals model5245Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 13:30 UTC

Skanste

4W 1D 5L · goals 26:21 · per match 2.6 for, 2.1 against

17 Oct	A	Riga Mariners	3-4	L
10 Oct	H	JDFS Alberts	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	JFK Ventspils	0-1	L
14 Sep	A	Rīgas FS II	4-3	W
7 Sep	A	Riga FC II	2-3	L
30 Aug	H	Tukums II	6-2	W
23 Aug	A	Super Nova 2	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Rēzekne FA	5-1	W
1 Aug	H	Mārupe	4-2	W
25 Jul	A	Leevon / PPK	1-2	L

JDFS Alberts

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

19 Sep	H	Metta / LU	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Valmiera / BSS	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Smiltene	3-2	W
29 Aug	A	Mārupe	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Rīgas FS II	3-1	W
8 Aug	H	Riga FC II	2-0	W
3 Aug	A	Tukums II	1-1	D
25 Jul	H	Super Nova 2	1-1	D
18 Jul	A	JFK Ventspils	3-1	W
4 Jul	H	Riga Mariners	0-4	L

Head to head

2Skanste wins

5draws

4JDFS Alberts wins

11 meetings · goals 11:15 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for Skanste

24 May 20261. Liga	1. Liga	JDFS Alberts4-1Skanste
31 Aug 20251. Liga	1. Liga	JDFS Alberts2-2Skanste
20 Jun 2025Cup	Cup	Skanste1-2JDFS Alberts
26 Apr 20251. Liga	1. Liga	Skanste1-1JDFS Alberts
14 Sep 20241. Liga	1. Liga	JDFS Alberts0-1Skanste
12 May 20241. Liga	1. Liga	Skanste0-1JDFS Alberts
4 Nov 20231. Liga	1. Liga	Skanste0-1JDFS Alberts
23 Jul 20231. Liga	1. Liga	JDFS Alberts1-1Skanste
13 Nov 20221. Liga	1. Liga	Skanste1-1JDFS Alberts
30 Jul 20221. Liga	1. Liga	JDFS Alberts1-1Skanste

1. Liga table1. Ligaupdated 23 Oct 13:30 UTC

In the 1. Liga table, Skanste sit 9th with 26 points from 23 games, while JDFS Alberts are 5th with 41 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Metta / LU	23	19	3	1	96:18	+78	60
2	Valmiera / BSS	23	16	5	2	63:26	+37	53
3	Leevon / PPK	23	16	5	2	49:27	+22	53
4	Riga Mariners	23	15	5	3	54:30	+24	50
5	JDFS Alberts	23	12	5	6	46:33	+13	41
6	Mārupe	23	10	3	10	37:34	+3	33
7	Riga FC II	23	8	6	9	36:39	-3	30
8	Super Nova 2	24	7	8	9	33:36	-3	29
9	Skanste	23	8	2	13	46:48	-2	26
10	Smiltene	23	5	5	13	34:61	-27	20
11	Tukums II	24	5	4	15	31:68	-37	19
12	Rīgas FS II	23	5	3	15	37:65	-28	18
13	JFK Ventspils	23	3	7	13	21:45	-24	16
14	Rēzekne FA	23	1	3	19	17:70	-53	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%3.99X22%4.02255%1.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.37	2.71	9.9%
1xBet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Best of all books	1.37	2.92	7.2%
Average	1.33	2.85	10.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.36	2.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.75	9.9%
William Hill	1.36	2.75	9.9%
Best of all books	1.36	2.82	9.0%
Average	1.36	2.77	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Skanste 10%Draw 45%JDFS Alberts 45%

The statistical model rated Skanste at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and JDFS Alberts at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.99 | 4.02 | 1.63, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Liga table: Skanste are 9th (26 pts, 46-48 goals), JDFS Alberts 5th (41 pts, 46-33).

Over their last five matches, Skanste averaged 2.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; JDFS Alberts averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or JDFS Alberts and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.99	4.02	1.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.06	1.18	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
2.87	1.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.36	2.77

1st half

1	X	2
4.07	2.60	2.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.46	23.0	1.49

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	21.0
1.5	1.10	6.00
2.5	1.33	2.85
3.5	1.81	1.87
4.5	2.74	1.36
5.5	5.00	1.12

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.08	5.50
2.25	1.23	3.42
2.75	1.38	2.64
3	1.47	2.36
3.25	1.67	2.02
3.75	2.05	1.64
4	2.37	1.47
4.25	2.64	1.38
4.75	3.42	1.23
5	4.45	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.42	1.45
+0.5	2.03	1.65
+0.75	1.87	1.78
+1	1.67	2.01
+1.25	1.51	2.27
+1.5	1.42	2.52

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.40	1.01
-1	7.90	1.02
-0.25	3.58	1.21
0	3.13	1.28
+1.75	1.30	2.97
+2	1.18	3.84
+2.5	1.13	4.55
+3	1.02	8.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.43	2.54
9.5	1.63	2.08
10	1.84	1.82
10.5	2.11	1.62
11	2.55	1.43
11.5	2.88	1.34

Next 1. Liga matches

24 Oct	Metta / LU – Leevon / PPK
24 Oct	Skanste – Smiltene
24 Oct	Mārupe – Riga Mariners

All 1. Liga fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Liga results

22 Oct	Tukums II 0-3 Super Nova 2
18 Oct	JFK Ventspils 0-0 Mārupe
18 Oct	Valmiera / BSS 2-2 Tukums II
17 Oct	Riga Mariners 4-3 Skanste
17 Oct	Super Nova 2 1-3 Metta / LU
17 Oct	Smiltene 2-2 Riga FC II