JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK• 1. Liga, Latvia

#130.6:2.60-4FT10/103.2:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.251XBX4.75BFR21.48DAFMargin at best4.6%Books7Markets52Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.00	4.40	1.48	10.3%
1xBet	6.25	4.45	1.38	10.9%
Betano	5.10	4.45	1.45	11.0%
Bet365	5.00	4.50	1.45	11.2%
Marathonbet	5.95	4.45	1.37	12.3%
Pinnacle	5.25	4.34	1.42	12.5%
Betfair	5.50	4.75	1.36	12.8%
Best of all books	6.25	4.75	1.48	4.6%
Average	5.44	4.48	1.42	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JFK VentspilsLeevon / PPK

Last 10#13Table position#30.70Points per game2.303Form pts · last 5110.6Goals for · last 53.22.6Goals against · last 51.416Attack rating8435Defence rating6524Form rating7629H2H rating7117Goals model8328Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 06:40 UTC

JFK Ventspils

1W 2D 7L · goals 6:25 · per match 0.6 for, 2.5 against

10 Oct	H	Leevon / PPK	0-4	L
26 Sep	A	Tukums II	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Skanste	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Metta / LU	0-7	L
5 Sep	A	Rīgas FS II	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Riga FC II	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Super Nova 2	0-2	L
2 Aug	H	Smiltene	1-2	L
25 Jul	A	Riga Mariners	1-1	D
18 Jul	H	JDFS Alberts	1-3	L

Leevon / PPK

8W 2D 0L · goals 27:11 · per match 2.7 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	JDFS Alberts	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	JFK Ventspils	4-0	W
19 Sep	H	Rīgas FS II	6-3	W
13 Sep	A	Riga FC II	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Tukums II	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	Super Nova 2	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Smiltene	4-2	W
8 Aug	A	Mārupe	1-0	W
1 Aug	H	Rēzekne FA	2-1	W
25 Jul	H	Skanste	2-1	W

Head to head

2JFK Ventspils wins

1draws

3Leevon / PPK wins

6 meetings · goals 9:9 · last 6: 2W 1D 3L for JFK Ventspils

20 Jun 2026Cup	Cup	JFK Ventspils1-3Leevon / PPK
23 May 20261. Liga	1. Liga	Leevon / PPK2-1JFK Ventspils
8 Nov 20251. Liga	1. Liga	Leevon / PPK3-2JFK Ventspils
19 Jul 20251. Liga	1. Liga	JFK Ventspils0-0Leevon / PPK
2 Nov 20241. Liga	1. Liga	JFK Ventspils4-1Leevon / PPK
21 Jul 20241. Liga	1. Liga	Leevon / PPK0-1JFK Ventspils

1. Liga table1. Ligaupdated 23 Oct 13:30 UTC

In the 1. Liga table, JFK Ventspils sit 13th with 16 points from 23 games, while Leevon / PPK are 3rd with 53 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Metta / LU	23	19	3	1	96:18	+78	60
2	Valmiera / BSS	23	16	5	2	63:26	+37	53
3	Leevon / PPK	23	16	5	2	49:27	+22	53
4	Riga Mariners	23	15	5	3	54:30	+24	50
5	JDFS Alberts	23	12	5	6	46:33	+13	41
6	Mārupe	23	10	3	10	37:34	+3	33
7	Riga FC II	23	8	6	9	36:39	-3	30
8	Super Nova 2	24	7	8	9	33:36	-3	29
9	Skanste	23	8	2	13	46:48	-2	26
10	Smiltene	23	5	5	13	34:61	-27	20
11	Tukums II	24	5	4	15	31:68	-37	19
12	Rīgas FS II	23	5	3	15	37:65	-28	18
13	JFK Ventspils	23	3	7	13	21:45	-24	16
14	Rēzekne FA	23	1	3	19	17:70	-53	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.44X20%4.48263%1.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.00 → 5.44 +8.8%X4.50 → 4.48 -0.4%21.44 → 1.42 -1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.43	2.54	9.3%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Average	1.42	2.55	9.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Average	1.57	2.18	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

JFK Ventspils 10%Draw 45%Leevon / PPK 45%

The statistical model rated JFK Ventspils at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Leevon / PPK at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.44 | 4.48 | 1.42, which imply roughly 22.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Liga table: JFK Ventspils are 13th (16 pts, 21-45 goals), Leevon / PPK 3rd (53 pts, 49-27).

Over their last five matches, JFK Ventspils averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Leevon / PPK averaged 3.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Leevon / PPK.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.44	4.48	1.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.54	1.09	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
3.90	1.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.18

1st half

1	X	2
5.25	2.54	1.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.84	18.9	1.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	17.0
1.5	1.13	6.00
2.5	1.42	2.55
3.5	2.07	1.64
4.5	3.34	1.24
5.5	6.15	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.51	2.29
3	1.65	2.03
3.25	1.86	1.79
3.75	2.34	1.48
4	2.84	1.33
4.25	3.08	1.28
5	5.45	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.61	1.40
+0.75	2.35	1.48
+1	2.04	1.67
+1.25	1.81	1.88
+1.5	1.64	2.07
+1.75	1.48	2.36

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	4.75	1.12
+0.25	3.28	1.25
+2	1.32	2.88
+2.25	1.27	3.14
+2.5	1.22	3.49
+3	1.07	5.90
+3.5	1.05	6.55

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.41	2.62
9.5	1.60	2.13
10	1.80	1.86
10.5	2.06	1.65
11	2.48	1.45
11.5	2.81	1.36

Next 1. Liga matches

24 Oct	Metta / LU – Leevon / PPK
24 Oct	Skanste – Smiltene
24 Oct	Mārupe – Riga Mariners

All 1. Liga fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Liga results

22 Oct	Tukums II 0-3 Super Nova 2
18 Oct	JFK Ventspils 0-0 Mārupe
18 Oct	Valmiera / BSS 2-2 Tukums II
17 Oct	Riga Mariners 4-3 Skanste
17 Oct	Super Nova 2 1-3 Metta / LU
17 Oct	Smiltene 2-2 Riga FC II