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Netherlands vs Greece• UEFA Nations League, World

#11.8:1.37-0LiveToday · Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam1.3:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.781XB25.731XBMargin at best2.1%Books10Markets98Rating56 · 45Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.564.785.732.5%
Betano1.574.755.602.6%
Marathonbet1.554.755.703.1%
Dafabet1.564.705.403.9%
Pinnacle1.554.555.654.2%
Bet3651.554.505.255.8%
Betfair1.504.505.507.1%
BetVictor1.504.505.507.1%
SBO1.514.325.228.5%
William Hill1.504.335.009.8%
Best of all books1.574.785.732.1%
Average1.534.575.465.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NetherlandsGreece
Last 10#1Table position#22.00Points per game2.009Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.31.3Goals against · last 50.858Attack rating4238Defence rating6350Form rating5080H2H rating2033Goals model6756Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 00:00 UTC

Netherlands

5W 4D 1L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

4 OctHSerbia2-1W
1 OctAGreece2-2D
27 SepASerbia2-1W
24 SepHGermany1-1D
30 JunHMorocco1-1D
25 JunATunisia3-1W
20 JunHSweden5-1W
14 JunHJapan2-2D
8 JunHUzbekistan2-1W
3 JunHAlgeria0-1L

Greece

3W 5D 2L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

4 OctHGermany0-0D
1 OctHNetherlands2-2D
27 SepAGermany1-0W
24 SepASerbia2-1W
7 JunHItaly0-1L
4 JunASweden2-2D
31 MarAHungary0-0D
27 MarHParaguay0-1L
18 NovABelarus0-0D
15 NovHScotland3-2W

Head to head

2Netherlands wins
1draws
0Greece wins

3 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for Netherlands

1 Oct 2026UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueGreece2-2Netherlands
16 Oct 2023Euro Championship - QualificationEuro Championship - QualificationGreece0-1Netherlands
7 Sep 2023Euro Championship - QualificationEuro Championship - QualificationNetherlands3-0Greece

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Bupdated 13 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the UEFA Nations League table, Netherlands sit 1st with 8 points from 4 games, while Greece are 2nd with 8 points from 4.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Netherlands42207:5+28
2Greece42205:3+28
3Germany41213:2+15
4Serbia40043:8-50

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.54X21%4.57217%5.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Nov 00:0013 Nov 18:401 1.54X 4.572 5.46
11.41 → 1.54 +9.2%X4.76 → 4.57 -4.0%26.58 → 5.46 -17.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.472.774.1%
Pinnacle1.512.594.8%
SBO1.532.495.5%
1xBet1.502.546.0%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betfair1.442.637.5%
Marathonbet1.482.507.6%
BetVictor1.482.419.1%
Best of all books1.532.771.5%
Average1.492.556.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.532.407.0%
Betfair1.572.307.2%
William Hill1.572.307.2%
1xBet1.582.267.5%
Marathonbet1.582.238.1%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.582.405.0%
Average1.562.297.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Netherlands 35%Draw 35%Greece 30%

The statistical model rates Netherlands at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Greece at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 4.57 | 5.46, which imply roughly 64.9% for a Netherlands win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the UEFA Nations League table: Netherlands are 1st (8 pts, 7-5 goals), Greece 2nd (8 pts, 5-3).

Over their last five matches, Netherlands averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Greece averaged 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Netherlands or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Netherlands

4-3-3

Coach: Xavi

Goalkeeper

  • 1B. Verbruggen

Defence

  • 22D. Dumfries
  • 6J. van Hecke
  • 15M. van de Ven
  • 12J. Timber

Midfield

  • 8J. Veerman
  • 14T. Reijnders
  • 21F. de Jong

Attack

  • 10C. Summerville
  • 18D. Malen
  • 11C. Gakpo
Substitutes (12)
  • 2L. Geertruida
  • 23M. Flekken
  • 7J. Kluivert
  • 20T. Koopmeiners
  • 17N. Lang
  • 3I. Maatsen
  • 9M. Meerdink
  • 13R. Roefs
  • 16G. Til
  • 5Q. Timber
  • 4G. Zechiël
  • 19R. van Bommel

Greece

4-4-2

Coach: I. Jovanović

Goalkeeper

  • 12K. Tzolakis

Defence

  • 15L. Rota
  • 4K. Mavropanos
  • 5P. Retsos
  • 21K. Tsimikas

Midfield

  • 19K. Karetsas
  • 6D. Kourbelis
  • 16T. Androutsos
  • 10C. Tzolis

Attack

  • 14V. Pavlidis
  • 8F. Ioannidis
Substitutes (12)
  • 3K. Koulierakis
  • 13C. Mandas
  • 7G. Masouras
  • 18A. Tetteh
  • 23N. Triantis
  • 2G. Vagiannidis
  • 1O. Vlachodimos
  • 11A. Bakasetas
  • 9T. Douvikas
  • 20I. Koutsoupias
  • 22D. Giannoulis
  • 17P. Hatzidiakos

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.544.575.46

Double chance

1XX212
1.152.461.18

Draw no bet

12
1.214.03

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.562.29

1st half

1X2
2.002.565.06

2nd half

1X2
1.852.914.69

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1915.440.1
HT X4.637.4712.1
HT 219.116.68.94

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4719.52.77

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.2
1.51.135.39
2.51.492.55
3.52.251.64
4.53.771.25
5.56.981.09
6.511.71.03
7.517.91.02
8.531.3–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.90
1.751.174.50
21.224.03
2.251.353.04
2.751.612.28
31.772.06
3.252.021.80
3.752.571.49
43.101.36
4.253.401.30
4.754.511.17
55.961.10
5.256.171.08
5.7510.6–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.731.44
-1.52.381.58
-1.252.121.73
-11.851.96
-0.751.642.24
-0.51.522.48
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.311.05
-3.257.091.07
-36.871.08
-2.755.171.14
-2.54.201.20
-2.253.831.25
-23.471.31
-0.251.373.04
01.214.24
+0.251.174.44
+0.51.165.25
+0.751.086.56
+11.029.90
+1.51.0411.5

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.194.35
3.51.442.69
41.642.24
4.51.991.78
52.541.51
5.52.771.42
6.53.801.24

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0112.5
4.51.0211.4
5.51.066.62
6.51.144.61
7.51.293.14
8.51.562.28
9.51.951.80
10.52.491.47
11.53.331.26
12.54.641.14
13.56.431.07
14.59.501.03
15.512.01.02
16.512.51.01
17.515.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.37
71.143.82
7.751.302.97
81.382.76
8.251.402.60
8.751.552.22
91.732.07
9.251.741.94
9.751.981.74
102.161.64
10.252.251.54
10.752.601.40
112.751.34
11.253.041.29
123.551.17
134.671.08

Next UEFA Nations League matches

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14 NovNorway – Wales
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14 NovAustria – Rep. Of Ireland
14 NovRomania – Poland
14 NovNorthern Ireland – Ukraine

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

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