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Serbia vs Germany• UEFA Nations League, World

#40.8:2.01-3LiveToday · Rajko Mitić Stadion, Belgrade0.8:0.5#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

113.0BVCX6.941XB21.29DAFMargin4.9%Books10Markets104Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet11.56.941.262.5%
Betano11.56.801.262.8%
Marathonbet11.56.901.253.2%
Pinnacle10.56.651.263.9%
Dafabet9.206.401.294.0%
BetVictor13.06.501.206.4%
Bet36511.06.501.226.4%
SBO11.16.571.207.6%
Betfair11.06.501.207.8%
William Hill10.06.001.228.6%
Best of all books13.06.941.29-0.4%
Average11.06.581.245.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SerbiaGermany
Last 10#4Table position#30.00Points per game1.250Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 50.82.0Goals against · last 50.550Attack rating5020Defence rating800Form rating10050H2H rating5034Goals model6639Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 00:00 UTC

Serbia

2W 0D 8L · goals 8:23 · per match 0.8 for, 2.3 against

4 OctANetherlands1-2L
1 OctAGermany0-2L
27 SepHNetherlands1-2L
24 SepHGreece1-2L
5 JunAMexico1-5L
31 MayACape Verde Islands0-3L
31 MarHSaudi Arabia2-1W
27 MarASpain0-3L
16 NovHLatvia2-1W
13 NovAEngland0-2L

Germany

5W 3D 2L · goals 20:8 · per match 2.0 for, 0.8 against

4 OctAGreece0-0D
1 OctHSerbia2-0W
27 SepHGreece0-1L
24 SepANetherlands1-1D
29 JunHParaguay1-1D
25 JunAEcuador1-2L
20 JunHIvory Coast2-1W
14 JunHCuraçao7-1W
6 JunAUSA2-1W
31 MayHFinland4-0W

Head to head

1Serbia wins
1draws
1Germany wins

3 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Serbia

1 Oct 2026UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueGermany2-0Serbia
20 Mar 2019FriendliesFriendliesGermany1-1Serbia
18 Jun 2010World CupWorld CupGermany0-1Serbia

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Bupdated 13 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the UEFA Nations League table, Serbia sit 4th with 0 points from 4 games, while Germany are 3rd with 5 points from 4.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Netherlands42207:5+28
2Greece42205:3+28
3Germany41213:2+15
4Serbia40043:8-50

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg19%11.0X14%6.58277%1.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Nov 00:0013 Nov 18:401 11.0X 6.582 1.24
18.73 → 11.0 +26.3%X5.82 → 6.58 +13.1%21.28 → 1.24 -3.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.452.873.8%
Pinnacle1.432.825.4%
1xBet1.432.776.0%
Bet3651.402.886.2%
Betfair1.363.006.9%
Marathonbet1.402.708.5%
BetVictor1.412.629.1%
Best of all books1.453.002.3%
Average1.412.816.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.801.956.8%
Betano1.881.857.2%
1xBet1.901.827.6%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
Marathonbet1.901.808.2%
BetVictor1.851.838.7%
Betfair1.801.7512.7%
Best of all books1.901.953.9%
Average1.851.848.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Serbia 10%Draw 45%Germany 45%

The statistical model rates Serbia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Germany at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 11.03 | 6.58 | 1.24, which imply roughly 15.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Nations League table: Serbia are 4th (0 pts, 3-8 goals), Germany 3rd (5 pts, 3-2).

Over their last five matches, Serbia averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Germany averaged 0.8 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Germany and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Serbia

4-4-2

Coach: V. Paunovic

Goalkeeper

  • 23V. Milinković-Savić

Defence

  • 2K. Nedeljković
  • 6S. Gudelj
  • 4N. Milenković
  • 15S. Babić

Midfield

  • 11L. Samardžić
  • 17S. Džodić
  • 20S. Milinković-Savić
  • 21P. Sukacev

Attack

  • 10D. Tadić
  • 7M. Cvetković
Substitutes (12)
  • 14A. Živković
  • 13N. Simić
  • 12D. Rosić
  • 1Đ. Petrović
  • 9A. Mitrović
  • 19V. Lučić
  • 18M. Krpić
  • 22V. Kostov
  • 8L. Jović
  • 16S. Eraković
  • 5V. Dragojević
  • 3S. Bukinac

Germany

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. Klopp

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. ter Stegen

Defence

  • 13P. Treu
  • 2M. Thiaw
  • 4J. Tah
  • 18M. Mittelstädt

Midfield

  • 6J. Kimmich
  • 5A. Pavlović
  • 10B. Gruda
  • 17F. Wirtz
  • 19D. Scherhant

Attack

  • 7K. Havertz
Substitutes (12)
  • 11N. Brown
  • 14T. Bischof
  • 12J. Urbig
  • 23Y. Ebnoutalib
  • 20S. El Mala
  • 9N. Füllkrug
  • 16Finn Jeltsch
  • 22L. Karl
  • 8F. Nmecha
  • 21A. Nübel
  • 15N. Schlotterbeck
  • 3R. Baku

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
11.06.581.24

Double chance

1XX212
4.071.051.10

Draw no bet

12
8.081.06

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.84

1st half

1X2
8.232.941.59

2nd half

1X2
7.823.401.49

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 117.422.219.9
HT X21.19.914.25
HT 267.121.61.66

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.8522.01.27

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.4
1.51.106.26
2.51.412.81
3.52.061.76
4.53.351.31
5.56.071.11
6.510.61.04
7.515.81.02
8.531.3–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.90
1.751.115.14
21.154.81
2.251.293.39
2.751.512.47
31.652.23
3.251.861.95
3.752.331.58
42.791.43
4.253.021.35
4.753.991.20
55.231.13
5.255.491.10
68.451.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+1.252.571.49
+1.52.261.64
+1.752.051.79
+21.782.03
+2.251.612.28
+2.51.492.54
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.513.01.01
-0.511.01.05
-0.257.001.10
07.071.07
+0.255.201.14
+0.53.861.26
+0.753.581.27
+13.171.34
+2.751.372.96
+31.243.72
+3.251.204.06
+3.51.174.39
+3.751.115.46
+41.057.18
+4.51.037.75

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.164.85
2.51.442.66
31.802.02
3.51.921.84
42.801.43
4.53.111.35
5.54.451.18

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.0
4.51.0210.6
5.51.066.58
6.51.144.55
7.51.303.07
8.51.582.23
9.51.971.79
10.52.491.47
11.53.351.25
12.54.661.14
13.56.271.08
14.59.251.04
15.513.81.02
16.512.01.02
17.514.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.39
71.143.85
7.751.302.97
81.392.71
8.251.432.49
8.751.582.14
91.762.03
9.251.791.87
9.752.061.68
102.161.64
10.252.341.50
10.752.711.37
112.751.34
11.253.041.29
123.521.17
134.651.09

Next UEFA Nations League matches

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All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table

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