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Longford Town vs UCD• First Division, Ireland

#51.6:1.00-2FT24/10 · Bishopsgate, Longford2.4:2.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.16PINX3.50B36522.40WHMargin at best1.9%Books10Markets76Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:06 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.163.292.335.0%
Dafabet3.003.402.286.6%
1xBet3.053.242.316.9%
Marathonbet3.043.242.297.4%
Betano2.953.252.259.1%
Betfair2.883.302.2010.5%
William Hill2.623.202.4011.1%
Bet3652.753.502.1511.4%
SBO2.393.132.3117.1%
BetVictor2.553.102.0520.3%
Best of all books3.163.502.401.9%
Average2.843.262.2610.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Longford TownUCD
Last 10#5Table position#21.44Points per game1.568Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 52.41.0Goals against · last 52.240Attack rating6069Defence rating3161Form rating3938H2H rating6251Goals model4950Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 10:30 UTC

Longford Town

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

24 OctHUCD0-2L
16 OctHAthlone Town1-0W
9 OctAUCD1-1D
2 OctAWexford3-3D
26 SepHCork City2-1W
18 SepAFinn Harps1-0W
12 SepHTreaty United0-2L
5 SepHKerry FC0-1L
28 AugACobh Ramblers2-2D
22 AugHBray Wanderers4-2W

UCD

4W 4D 2L · goals 23:19 · per match 2.3 for, 1.9 against

24 OctALongford Town2-0W
16 OctAWexford5-2W
9 OctHLongford Town1-1D
2 OctATreaty United4-0W
25 SepHBray Wanderers1-3L
18 SepACork City1-5L
11 SepHAthlone Town2-2D
4 SepACobh Ramblers1-1D
28 AugHFinn Harps5-4W
21 AugAKerry FC1-1D

Head to head

3Longford Town wins
5draws
8UCD wins

16 meetings · goals 16:22 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Longford Town

9 Oct 2026First DivisionFirst DivisionUCD1-1Longford Town
4 Jul 2026First DivisionFirst DivisionLongford Town2-1UCD
1 May 2026First DivisionFirst DivisionUCD2-0Longford Town
7 Mar 2026First DivisionFirst DivisionLongford Town0-0UCD
12 Sep 2025First DivisionFirst DivisionUCD2-1Longford Town
28 Jun 2025First DivisionFirst DivisionLongford Town0-2UCD
9 May 2025First DivisionFirst DivisionUCD1-1Longford Town
12 Apr 2025First DivisionFirst DivisionLongford Town0-1UCD
18 Oct 2024First DivisionFirst DivisionUCD2-2Longford Town
27 Jul 2024First DivisionFirst DivisionLongford Town1-2UCD

First Division tableFirst Divisionupdated 26 Oct 10:30 UTC

In the First Division table, Longford Town sit 5th with 52 points from 36 games, while UCD are 2nd with 56 points from 36.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Cork City36236774:35+3975
2UCD361681267:51+1656
3Bray Wanderers361591267:53+1454
4Kerry FC3614101245:41+452
5Longford Town3614101249:46+352
6Cobh Ramblers361471546:54-849
7Athlone Town361391442:43-148
8Wexford361191644:58-1442
9Treaty United361191637:53-1642
10Finn Harps36772233:70-3728

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.90X28%3.26241%2.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0124 Oct 12:311 2.84X 3.262 2.26
12.62 → 2.84 +8.4%X3.55 → 3.26 -8.2%22.39 → 2.26 -5.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.752.114.5%
Bet3651.652.206.1%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
Betano1.702.028.3%
1xBet1.652.0010.6%
Marathonbet1.652.0010.6%
BetVictor1.551.8020.1%
Best of all books1.752.202.6%
Average1.662.039.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.307.2%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
1xBet1.542.328.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.542.288.8%
Betano1.552.259.0%
BetVictor1.441.9520.7%
Best of all books1.572.326.8%
Average1.542.249.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Longford Town 10%Draw 45%UCD 45%

The statistical model rated Longford Town at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and UCD at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.90 | 3.26 | 2.22, which imply roughly 30.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First Division table: Longford Town are 5th (52 pts, 49-46 goals), UCD 2nd (56 pts, 67-51).

Over their last five matches, Longford Town averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; UCD averaged 2.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or UCD.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.843.262.26

Double chance

1XX212
1.541.361.25

Draw no bet

12
1.991.68

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.24

1st half

1X2
3.312.192.79

2nd half

1X2
3.082.542.58

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.6313.424.2
HT X6.865.405.70
HT 227.413.43.62

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1312.31.81

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0113.3
1.51.193.92
2.51.662.03
3.52.611.43
4.54.581.14
5.57.951.05
6.511.01.02
7.517.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.70
1.251.085.45
1.751.223.50
21.283.08
2.251.472.32
2.751.811.80
32.011.67
3.252.281.49
3.753.141.29
44.101.17
4.254.401.14
4.756.001.06
58.501.01
5.256.851.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.751.36
-0.252.481.45
02.121.62
+0.251.761.91
+0.51.592.16
+0.751.422.54
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.601.03
-29.501.01
-1.758.201.02
-1.56.031.08
-1.255.611.10
-15.081.14
-0.753.681.24
+11.283.38
+1.251.233.78
+1.51.184.13
+1.751.115.35
+21.028.00
+2.51.018.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.76
7.51.283.11
8.51.562.24
9.51.951.77
10.52.511.45
11.53.391.23
12.55.041.09
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.124.53
71.134.30
7.251.213.54
7.751.322.91
81.372.74
8.251.472.44
8.751.642.11
91.742.00
9.251.841.86
9.752.081.67
102.251.58
10.252.371.50
10.752.751.36
113.111.28
11.253.271.25
11.753.921.17
124.661.11
12.254.851.10
12.755.831.05
137.261.01

Next First Division matches

27 OctBray Wanderers – Kerry FC
27 OctUCD – Longford Town

All First Division fixtures and the table

Latest First Division results

24 OctKerry FC 1-2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctFinn Harps 2-0 Bray Wanderers
16 OctKerry 1-1 Cork City
16 OctWexford 2-5 UCD
16 OctLongford Town 1-0 Athlone Town
16 OctTreaty United 2-0 Cobh Ramblers