Kerry vs Cork City• First Division, Ireland

#41.0:1.01-1FTToday · Mounthawk Park, Tralee2.2:1.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.58PINX3.50B36522.83PINMargin at best2.7%Books6Markets84Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 16:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.66	3.26	2.73	4.9%
William Hill	2.45	3.10	2.60	11.5%
1xBet	2.38	3.44	2.46	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.38	3.45	2.45	11.8%
Bet365	2.40	3.50	2.40	11.9%
BetVictor	2.25	3.13	2.30	19.9%
Best of all books	2.66	3.50	2.73	2.8%
Average	2.42	3.31	2.49	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KerryCork City

Last 10#4Table position#11.46Points per game2.119Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 52.21.0Goals against · last 51.631Attack rating6962Defence rating3860Form rating4020H2H rating8042Goals model5841Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:02 UTC

Kerry

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

9 Oct	A	Cobh Ramblers	2-0	W
2 Oct	A	Finn Harps	2-1	W
25 Sep	H	Wexford	1-0	W
18 Sep	A	Athlone Town	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Bray Wanderers	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Longford Town	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Treaty United	3-1	W
21 Aug	H	UCD	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Sligo Rovers	0-4	L
7 Aug	A	Cork City	1-3	L

Cork City

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against

9 Oct	H	Finn Harps	2-0	W
2 Oct	A	Athlone Town	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Longford Town	1-2	L
18 Sep	H	UCD	5-1	W
11 Sep	H	Cobh Ramblers	2-3	L
4 Sep	A	Bray Wanderers	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Wexford	2-0	W
21 Aug	A	Treaty United	2-2	D
7 Aug	H	Kerry	3-1	W
3 Aug	H	Athlone Town	3-2	W

Head to head

1Kerry wins

0draws

7Cork City wins

8 meetings · goals 6:20 · last 8: 1W 0D 7L for Kerry

7 Aug 2026First Division	First Division	Cork City3-1Kerry
4 May 2026First Division	First Division	Kerry1-0Cork City
6 Apr 2026First Division	First Division	Cork City4-2Kerry
4 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Cork City4-1Kerry
13 Sep 2024First Division	First Division	Kerry1-4Cork City
26 Jul 2024First Division	First Division	Cork City2-0Kerry
3 May 2024First Division	First Division	Kerry0-1Cork City
16 Feb 2024First Division	First Division	Cork City2-0Kerry

First Division tableFirst Divisionupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First Division table, Kerry sit 4th with 51 points from 35 games, while Cork City are 1st with 74 points from 35.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	35	23	5	7	73:34	+39	74
2	Bray Wanderers	35	15	9	11	67:51	+16	54
3	UCD	35	15	8	12	62:49	+13	53
4	Kerry	35	14	9	12	44:40	+4	51
5	Longford Town	35	13	10	12	48:46	+2	49
6	Cobh Ramblers	35	14	7	14	46:52	-6	49
7	Athlone Town	35	13	9	13	42:42	0	48
8	Wexford	35	11	9	15	42:53	-11	42
9	Treaty United	35	10	9	16	35:53	-18	39
10	Finn Harps	35	6	7	22	31:70	-39	25

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.91X26%3.46227%3.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.32 → 2.37 -28.6%X3.54 → 3.32 -6.2%21.95 → 2.53 +29.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.66	2.24	4.9%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
BetVictor	1.50	1.87	20.1%
Best of all books	1.66	2.24	4.9%
Average	1.61	2.11	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.52	2.34	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.30	9.3%
BetVictor	1.40	2.05	20.2%
Best of all books	1.57	2.40	5.4%
Average	1.50	2.27	10.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kerry 10%Draw 45%Cork City 45%

The statistical model rated Kerry at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cork City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.91 | 3.46 | 3.31, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First Division table: Kerry are 4th (51 pts, 44-40 goals), Cork City 1st (74 pts, 73-34).

Over their last five matches, Kerry averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Cork City averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cork City.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.42	3.31	2.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.46	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.76	1.81

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.50	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
2.91	2.28	3.00

2nd half

1	X	2
2.65	2.61	2.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.75	14.3	27.0
HT X	6.05	5.80	6.33
HT 2	26.7	14.3	3.94

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.86	15.4	1.96

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.4
1.5	1.16	4.13
2.5	1.61	2.11
3.5	2.47	1.43
4.5	4.33	1.14
5.5	7.75	1.04
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.70
1.25	1.07	6.00
1.75	1.19	3.80
2	1.24	3.34
2.25	1.43	2.46
2.75	1.74	1.88
3	1.96	1.66
3.25	2.21	1.52
3.75	3.04	1.29
4	3.96	1.17
4.25	4.33	1.14
4.75	5.95	1.07
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.93	1.36
-0.5	2.37	1.48
-0.25	2.08	1.62
0	1.81	1.85
+0.25	1.57	2.16
+0.5	1.44	2.46

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.00	1.02
-2	8.65	1.03
-1.75	6.15	1.08
-1.5	4.65	1.15
-1.25	4.24	1.17
-1	3.95	1.21
+0.75	1.33	3.08
+1	1.19	4.20
+1.25	1.15	4.55
+1.5	1.12	5.00
+1.75	1.07	6.64
+2	1.06	8.53
+2.25	1.04	7.09
+2.5	1.04	9.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.15
6.5	1.08	5.18
7.5	1.25	3.24
8.5	1.53	2.31
9.5	1.89	1.82
10.5	2.42	1.48
11.5	3.24	1.25
12.5	4.61	1.11
13.5	7.10	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.85
6	1.01	7.14
6.25	1.07	5.37
6.75	1.09	4.94
7	1.11	4.70
7.25	1.18	3.82
7.75	1.28	3.11
8	1.40	2.75
8.25	1.41	2.59
8.75	1.57	2.22
9	1.68	2.08
9.25	1.76	1.95
9.75	1.97	1.74
10	2.17	1.63
10.25	2.24	1.56
10.75	2.58	1.42
11	2.88	1.33
11.25	3.04	1.29
11.75	3.60	1.20
12	4.23	1.14
12.25	4.42	1.12
12.75	5.40	1.07
13	6.66	1.03
13.25	6.88	1.02