Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC• First Division, Ireland

#31.6:2.019:45Today · Carlisle Grounds, Bray1.4:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93DAFX3.86PIN23.69PINMargin at best4.8%Books10Markets79Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.89	3.86	3.69	5.9%
1xBet	1.91	3.80	3.54	6.9%
Dafabet	1.93	3.80	3.45	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.80	3.54	7.5%
Betano	1.90	3.65	3.50	8.6%
Betfair	1.85	3.80	3.30	10.7%
Bet365	1.80	3.70	3.50	11.2%
William Hill	1.85	3.40	3.40	12.9%
SBO	1.90	3.23	3.01	16.8%
BetVictor	1.75	3.25	3.10	20.2%
Best of all books	1.93	3.86	3.69	4.8%
Average	1.87	3.63	3.40	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bray WanderersKerry FC

Last 10#3Table position#41.50Points per game1.447Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 50.853Attack rating4729Defence rating7141Form rating5971H2H rating2964Goals model3651Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 10:30 UTC

Bray Wanderers

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

24 Oct	A	Kerry FC	2-1	W
16 Oct	A	Finn Harps	0-2	L
9 Oct	H	Wexford	2-2	D
2 Oct	H	Cobh Ramblers	1-4	L
25 Sep	A	UCD	3-1	W
18 Sep	H	Treaty United	2-0	W
11 Sep	A	Kerry FC	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Cork City	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Athlone Town	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Longford Town	2-4	L

Kerry FC

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

24 Oct	H	Bray Wanderers	1-2	L
16 Oct	H	Cork City	1-1	D
9 Oct	A	Cobh Ramblers	2-0	W
2 Oct	A	Finn Harps	2-1	W
25 Sep	H	Wexford	1-0	W
18 Sep	A	Athlone Town	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Bray Wanderers	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Longford Town	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Treaty United	3-1	W
21 Aug	H	UCD	1-1	D

Head to head

12Bray Wanderers wins

2draws

2Kerry FC wins

16 meetings · goals 37:21 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Bray Wanderers

11 Sep 2026First Division	First Division	Kerry FC0-1Bray Wanderers
31 Jul 2026First Division	First Division	Bray Wanderers0-4Kerry FC
22 May 2026First Division	First Division	Kerry FC2-2Bray Wanderers
27 Mar 2026First Division	First Division	Bray Wanderers2-1Kerry FC
17 Oct 2025First Division	First Division	Bray Wanderers5-1Kerry FC
20 Jun 2025First Division	First Division	Kerry FC2-1Bray Wanderers
25 Apr 2025First Division	First Division	Bray Wanderers4-2Kerry FC
7 Mar 2025First Division	First Division	Kerry FC0-1Bray Wanderers
20 Sep 2024First Division	First Division	Bray Wanderers2-0Kerry FC
12 Jul 2024First Division	First Division	Kerry FC3-3Bray Wanderers

First Division tableFirst Divisionupdated 26 Oct 10:30 UTC

In the First Division table, Bray Wanderers sit 3rd with 54 points from 36 games, while Kerry FC are 4th with 52 points from 36.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	36	23	6	7	74:35	+39	75
2	UCD	36	16	8	12	67:51	+16	56
3	Bray Wanderers	36	15	9	12	67:53	+14	54
4	Kerry FC	36	14	10	12	45:41	+4	52
5	Longford Town	36	14	10	12	49:46	+3	52
6	Cobh Ramblers	36	14	7	15	46:54	-8	49
7	Athlone Town	36	13	9	14	42:43	-1	48
8	Wexford	36	11	9	16	44:58	-14	42
9	Treaty United	36	11	9	16	37:53	-16	42
10	Finn Harps	36	7	7	22	33:70	-37	28

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.89X25%3.67227%3.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.88 → 1.89 +0.5%X3.72 → 3.67 -1.3%23.52 → 3.43 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.57	2.40	5.4%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.55	2.35	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.35	7.1%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betano	1.55	2.27	8.6%
BetVictor	1.44	1.99	19.7%
Best of all books	1.57	2.40	5.4%
Average	1.54	2.28	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.49	2.44	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.40	8.8%
William Hill	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
BetVictor	1.36	2.10	21.1%
Best of all books	1.53	2.44	6.3%
Average	1.49	2.34	9.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bray Wanderers 35%Draw 35%Kerry FC 30%

The statistical model rates Bray Wanderers at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Kerry FC at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.67 | 3.43, which imply roughly 52.9% for a Bray Wanderers win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the First Division table: Bray Wanderers are 3rd (54 pts, 67-53 goals), Kerry FC 4th (52 pts, 45-41).

Over their last five matches, Bray Wanderers averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Kerry FC averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bray Wanderers or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	3.63	3.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.82	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.34

1st half

1	X	2
2.34	2.35	3.75

2nd half

1	X	2
2.17	2.72	3.52

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.88	13.9	29.8
HT X	5.16	6.31	8.28
HT 2	20.2	14.0	5.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.63	17.6	2.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.3
1.5	1.15	4.48
2.5	1.54	2.28
3.5	2.30	1.51
4.5	3.91	1.19
5.5	6.81	1.05
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
1.25	1.04	6.75
1.75	1.15	4.31
2	1.19	3.84
2.25	1.37	2.80
2.75	1.64	2.04
3	1.83	1.82
3.25	2.04	1.62
3.75	2.71	1.37
4	3.34	1.24
4.25	3.75	1.19
4.75	5.10	1.10
5	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.87	1.37
-1	2.48	1.45
-0.75	2.05	1.63
-0.5	1.84	1.85
-0.25	1.61	2.09
0	1.40	2.59

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.33	1.07
-2.25	5.95	1.09
-2	5.52	1.11
-1.75	3.90	1.20
-1.5	3.21	1.30
+0.25	1.33	3.05
+0.5	1.27	3.61
+0.75	1.17	4.33
+1	1.07	6.47
+1.25	1.06	6.93
+1.5	1.03	7.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.23
7.5	1.24	3.33
8.5	1.50	2.39
9.5	1.85	1.87
10.5	2.36	1.51
11.5	3.12	1.27
12.5	4.56	1.12
13.5	7.00	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.09	4.99
7	1.10	4.75
7.25	1.17	3.86
7.75	1.27	3.14
8	1.31	2.96
8.25	1.41	2.61
8.75	1.56	2.24
9	1.65	2.13
9.25	1.75	1.96
9.75	1.96	1.75
10	2.12	1.65
10.25	2.23	1.57
10.75	2.56	1.42
11	2.86	1.34
11.25	3.01	1.30
11.75	3.57	1.21
12	4.18	1.14
12.25	4.37	1.13
12.75	5.33	1.07
13	6.57	1.03
13.25	6.79	1.02

Next First Division matches

27 Oct

UCD – Longford Town

All First Division fixtures and the table

Latest First Division results

24 Oct	Kerry FC 1-2 Bray Wanderers
24 Oct	Longford Town 0-2 UCD
16 Oct	Longford Town 1-0 Athlone Town
16 Oct	Kerry 1-1 Cork City
16 Oct	Finn Harps 2-0 Bray Wanderers
16 Oct	Treaty United 2-0 Cobh Ramblers