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Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers• First Division, Ireland

#101.0:1.62-0FTToday · Finn Park, Ballybofey1.8:1.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.321XBX4.88PIN21.47PINMargin at best4.3%Books6Markets90Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 16:04 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle5.874.881.475.6%
1xBet6.324.701.3610.6%
William Hill5.804.501.4010.9%
Bet3655.754.201.4211.6%
Marathonbet5.754.551.3811.8%
BetVictor5.253.901.3319.9%
Best of all books6.324.881.474.3%
Average5.794.461.3911.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Finn HarpsBray Wanderers
Last 10#10Table position#20.71Points per game1.543Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 51.436Attack rating6447Defence rating5323Form rating7729H2H rating7131Goals model6933Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:02 UTC

Finn Harps

1W 0D 9L · goals 10:27 · per match 1.0 for, 2.7 against

9 OctACork City0-2L
2 OctHKerry1-2L
25 SepATreaty United1-2L
18 SepHLongford Town0-1L
11 SepAWexford3-1W
4 SepHAthlone Town0-1L
28 AugAUCD4-5L
21 AugHCobh Ramblers1-3L
7 AugABray Wanderers0-5L
3 AugALongford Town0-5L

Bray Wanderers

4W 3D 3L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

9 OctHWexford2-2D
2 OctHCobh Ramblers1-4L
25 SepAUCD3-1W
18 SepHTreaty United2-0W
11 SepAKerry1-0W
4 SepHCork City1-1D
28 AugAAthlone Town1-2L
22 AugALongford Town2-4L
14 AugAGalway United1-1D
7 AugHFinn Harps5-0W

Head to head

5Finn Harps wins
6draws
7Bray Wanderers wins

18 meetings · goals 26:27 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Finn Harps

7 Aug 2026First DivisionFirst DivisionBray Wanderers5-0Finn Harps
17 Jul 2026FAI CupFAI CupFinn Harps0-1Bray Wanderers
4 May 2026First DivisionFirst DivisionFinn Harps2-1Bray Wanderers
6 Apr 2026First DivisionFirst DivisionBray Wanderers2-2Finn Harps
19 Sep 2025First DivisionFirst DivisionBray Wanderers3-2Finn Harps
15 Aug 2025FAI CupFAI CupFinn Harps3-1Bray Wanderers
4 Aug 2025First DivisionFirst DivisionFinn Harps2-2Bray Wanderers
30 May 2025First DivisionFirst DivisionBray Wanderers3-1Finn Harps
21 Mar 2025First DivisionFirst DivisionFinn Harps5-0Bray Wanderers
11 Oct 2024First DivisionFirst DivisionBray Wanderers2-2Finn Harps

First Division tableFirst Divisionupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First Division table, Finn Harps sit 10th with 25 points from 35 games, while Bray Wanderers are 2nd with 54 points from 35.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Cork City35235773:34+3974
2Bray Wanderers351591167:51+1654
3UCD351581262:49+1353
4Kerry351491244:40+451
5Longford Town3513101248:46+249
6Cobh Ramblers351471446:52-649
7Athlone Town351391342:42048
8Wexford351191542:53-1142
9Treaty United351091635:53-1839
10Finn Harps35672231:70-3925

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.29X24%3.70248%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 00:0016 Oct 17:501 5.79X 4.452 1.39
16.03 → 5.79 -4.0%X4.69 → 4.45 -5.1%21.40 → 1.39 -0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.462.715.4%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Marathonbet1.402.5610.5%
1xBet1.392.5910.6%
BetVictor1.332.2020.6%
Best of all books1.462.715.4%
Average1.402.5410.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
1xBet1.592.198.6%
Marathonbet1.572.199.4%
BetVictor1.451.9520.2%
Best of all books1.622.305.2%
Average1.562.1710.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Finn Harps 10%Draw 45%Bray Wanderers 45%

The statistical model rated Finn Harps at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bray Wanderers at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.29 | 3.70 | 1.86, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First Division table: Finn Harps are 10th (25 pts, 31-70 goals), Bray Wanderers 2nd (54 pts, 67-51).

Over their last five matches, Finn Harps averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Bray Wanderers averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Bray Wanderers.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.794.451.39

Double chance

1XX212
2.631.091.12

Draw no bet

12
4.301.14

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.562.17

1st half

1X2
5.422.601.83

2nd half

1X2
5.163.031.68

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 110.517.318.8
HT X13.87.974.37
HT 241.716.91.95

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.9520.01.38

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.5
1.51.105.06
2.51.402.54
3.52.031.65
4.53.281.25
5.55.611.08
6.59.001.04
7.513.01.01
8.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.0
1.751.114.85
21.144.43
2.251.273.14
2.751.492.27
31.622.03
3.251.821.80
3.752.261.50
42.721.36
4.252.971.30
4.753.951.17
55.151.10
5.255.451.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.721.46
+0.752.361.47
+12.091.61
+1.251.801.85
+1.51.652.04
+1.751.492.33
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-110.01.01
-0.56.001.12
-0.255.321.11
04.801.14
+0.253.351.28
+21.362.90
+2.251.303.24
+2.51.253.42
+2.751.184.15
+31.105.65
+3.251.096.02
+3.51.095.92
+41.019.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.027.05
6.51.154.08
7.51.362.75
8.51.702.03
9.52.131.64
10.52.801.34
11.53.961.17
12.56.121.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.75
61.036.45
6.251.094.92
6.751.173.86
71.203.64
7.251.293.08
7.751.422.57
81.502.42
8.251.592.19
8.751.781.92
91.951.81
9.252.021.71
9.752.301.53
102.501.47
10.252.681.38
10.753.161.27
113.651.20
11.253.831.18
11.754.661.11
125.691.06
12.255.901.05