Wexford vs UCD• First Division, Ireland

#81.8:2.02-5FTToday · Ferrycarrig Park, Wexford1.8:2.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.47PINX3.65PIN22.65PINMargin at best5.6%Books6Markets78Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 16:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.49	3.65	2.67	5.0%
Bet365	2.38	3.60	2.45	10.6%
1xBet	2.31	3.54	2.48	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.31	3.54	2.48	11.9%
William Hill	2.40	3.30	2.50	12.0%
BetVictor	2.20	3.20	2.30	20.2%
Best of all books	2.49	3.65	2.67	5.0%
Average	2.35	3.47	2.48	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WexfordUCD

Last 10#8Table position#31.20Points per game1.515Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 52.250Attack rating5052Defence rating4850Form rating5029H2H rating7144Goals model5642Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:10 UTC

Wexford

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

9 Oct	A	Bray Wanderers	2-2	D
2 Oct	H	Longford Town	3-3	D
25 Sep	A	Kerry	0-1	L
18 Sep	H	Cobh Ramblers	3-1	W
11 Sep	H	Finn Harps	1-3	L
4 Sep	A	Treaty United	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Cork City	0-2	L
21 Aug	H	Athlone Town	0-2	L
7 Aug	A	UCD	1-4	L
3 Aug	H	Bray Wanderers	2-1	W

UCD

3W 4D 3L · goals 21:20 · per match 2.1 for, 2.0 against

9 Oct	H	Longford Town	1-1	D
2 Oct	A	Treaty United	4-0	W
25 Sep	H	Bray Wanderers	1-3	L
18 Sep	A	Cork City	1-5	L
11 Sep	H	Athlone Town	2-2	D
4 Sep	A	Cobh Ramblers	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Finn Harps	5-4	W
21 Aug	A	Kerry	1-1	D
14 Aug	H	Derry City	1-2	L
7 Aug	H	Wexford	4-1	W

Head to head

4Wexford wins

3draws

9UCD wins

16 meetings · goals 14:36 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Wexford

7 Aug 2026First Division	First Division	UCD4-1Wexford
22 May 2026First Division	First Division	Wexford2-1UCD
6 Apr 2026First Division	First Division	UCD0-0Wexford
5 Oct 2025First Division	First Division	Wexford0-3UCD
8 Aug 2025First Division	First Division	UCD1-0Wexford
25 Apr 2025First Division	First Division	Wexford0-1UCD
14 Feb 2025First Division	First Division	UCD3-0Wexford
27 Sep 2024First Division	First Division	Wexford2-0UCD
2 Aug 2024First Division	First Division	UCD1-1Wexford
19 Apr 2024First Division	First Division	Wexford2-3UCD

First Division tableFirst Divisionupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First Division table, Wexford sit 8th with 42 points from 35 games, while UCD are 3rd with 53 points from 35.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	35	23	5	7	73:34	+39	74
2	Bray Wanderers	35	15	9	11	67:51	+16	54
3	UCD	35	15	8	12	62:49	+13	53
4	Kerry	35	14	9	12	44:40	+4	51
5	Longford Town	35	13	10	12	48:46	+2	49
6	Cobh Ramblers	35	14	7	14	46:52	-6	49
7	Athlone Town	35	13	9	13	42:42	0	48
8	Wexford	35	11	9	15	42:53	-11	42
9	Treaty United	35	10	9	16	35:53	-18	39
10	Finn Harps	35	6	7	22	31:70	-39	25

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.51X26%3.48239%2.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.39 → 2.34 -2.1%X3.49 → 3.47 -0.6%22.55 → 2.50 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.56	2.43	5.3%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
BetVictor	1.43	2.00	19.9%
Best of all books	1.57	2.43	4.8%
Average	1.51	2.27	10.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.45	2.53	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.48	9.3%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
BetVictor	1.33	2.20	20.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.53	6.2%
Average	1.43	2.44	10.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Wexford 10%Draw 45%UCD 45%

The statistical model rated Wexford at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and UCD at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.51 | 3.48 | 2.31, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First Division table: Wexford are 8th (42 pts, 42-53 goals), UCD 3rd (53 pts, 62-49).

Over their last five matches, Wexford averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; UCD averaged 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or UCD.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.35	3.47	2.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.49	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.76	1.81

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.43	2.44

1st half

1	X	2
2.82	2.35	2.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.62	2.68	2.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.69	13.8	23.7
HT X	6.27	6.27	6.50
HT 2	23.0	13.8	3.99

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	17.1	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.1
1.5	1.14	4.43
2.5	1.51	2.27
3.5	2.24	1.53
4.5	3.75	1.19
5.5	6.26	1.05
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.5
1.75	1.15	4.20
2	1.19	3.75
2.25	1.35	2.74
2.75	1.61	2.05
3	1.79	1.81
3.25	2.01	1.64
3.75	2.59	1.39
4	3.20	1.26
4.25	3.50	1.22
4.75	4.70	1.12
5	6.25	1.06
5.25	6.55	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.80	1.38
-0.5	2.31	1.50
-0.25	2.03	1.65
0	1.78	1.89
+0.25	1.58	2.15
+0.5	1.45	2.44

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.01
-2	7.70	1.02
-1.75	5.48	1.11
-1.5	4.30	1.17
-1.25	3.92	1.20
-1	3.61	1.24
+0.75	1.34	2.99
+1	1.21	3.99
+1.25	1.17	4.25
+1.5	1.14	4.65
+1.75	1.09	5.93
+2	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.81
6.5	1.11	4.62
7.5	1.29	3.03
8.5	1.62	2.15
9.5	1.98	1.74
10.5	2.54	1.42
11.5	3.51	1.21
12.5	5.22	1.08

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.51
6	1.01	7.16
6.25	1.07	5.39
6.75	1.13	4.39
7	1.14	4.16
7.25	1.22	3.44
7.75	1.34	2.84
8	1.40	2.68
8.25	1.49	2.39
8.75	1.67	2.08
9	1.85	1.91
9.25	1.87	1.83
9.75	2.11	1.64
10	2.30	1.56
10.25	2.42	1.47
10.75	2.82	1.34
11	3.20	1.26
11.25	3.36	1.24
11.75	4.04	1.16
12	4.82	1.10
12.25	5.02	1.09