UCD vs
Longford Town• First Division, Ireland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.63 | 3.36 | 5.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.62 | 3.30 | 6.9% |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.20 | 7.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.62 | 3.30 | 7.4% |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 8.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 9.5% |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 11.3% |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 11.6% |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.18 | 2.92 | 17.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 19.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.36 | 4.4% |
| Average | 2.00 | 3.49 | 3.16 | 10.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 10:30 UTC
UCD
4W 4D 2L · goals 23:19 · per match 2.3 for, 1.9 against
| 24 Oct | A | Longford Town | 2-0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Wexford | 5-2 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Longford Town | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Oct | A | Treaty United | 4-0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Bray Wanderers | 1-3 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Cork City | 1-5 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Athlone Town | 2-2 | D |
| 4 Sep | A | Cobh Ramblers | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Finn Harps | 5-4 | W |
| 21 Aug | A | Kerry FC | 1-1 | D |
Longford Town
4W 3D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against
| 24 Oct | H | UCD | 0-2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Athlone Town | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | UCD | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Oct | A | Wexford | 3-3 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Cork City | 2-1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Finn Harps | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Treaty United | 0-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Kerry FC | 0-1 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Cobh Ramblers | 2-2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Bray Wanderers | 4-2 | W |
Head to head
16 meetings · goals 22:16 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for UCD
| 9 Oct 2026First Division | First Division | UCD1-1Longford Town |
| 4 Jul 2026First Division | First Division | Longford Town2-1UCD |
| 1 May 2026First Division | First Division | UCD2-0Longford Town |
| 7 Mar 2026First Division | First Division | Longford Town0-0UCD |
| 12 Sep 2025First Division | First Division | UCD2-1Longford Town |
| 28 Jun 2025First Division | First Division | Longford Town0-2UCD |
| 9 May 2025First Division | First Division | UCD1-1Longford Town |
| 12 Apr 2025First Division | First Division | Longford Town0-1UCD |
| 18 Oct 2024First Division | First Division | UCD2-2Longford Town |
| 27 Jul 2024First Division | First Division | Longford Town1-2UCD |
First Division tableFirst Divisionupdated 26 Oct 10:30 UTC
In the First Division table, UCD sit 2nd with 56 points from 36 games, while Longford Town are 5th with 52 points from 36.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 74:35 | +39 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 67:51 | +16 | 56 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 67:53 | +14 | 54 |
| 4 | Kerry FC | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 45:41 | +4 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 49:46 | +3 | 52 |
| 6 | Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 46:54 | -8 | 49 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 42:43 | -1 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44:58 | -14 | 42 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 37:53 | -16 | 42 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 33:70 | -37 | 28 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 2.25 | 5.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 6.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 2.21 | 7.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 2.21 | 7.0% |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| Betano | 1.60 | 2.15 | 9.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.49 | 1.89 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.65 | 2.25 | 5.1% |
| Average | 1.60 | 2.17 | 8.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.45 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 2.35 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 2.31 | 8.6% |
| Betano | 1.53 | 2.30 | 8.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 2.05 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.45 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.51 | 2.32 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates UCD at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Longford Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.02 | 3.52 | 3.19, which imply roughly 49.5% for a UCD win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the First Division table: UCD are 2nd (56 pts, 67-51 goals), Longford Town 5th (52 pts, 49-46).
Over their last five matches, UCD averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Longford Town averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : UCD or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 3.49 | 3.16 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | 1.73 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.47 | 2.29 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.51 | 2.32 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.49 | 2.29 | 3.55 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 2.64 | 3.36 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.12 | 13.3 | 28.1 |
| HT X | 5.32 | 6.00 | 7.77 |
| HT 2 | 21.1 | 13.8 | 5.20 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | 15.3 | 2.21 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 12.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.17 | 4.16 |
| 2.5 | 1.60 | 2.17 |
| 3.5 | 2.45 | 1.45 |
| 4.5 | 4.26 | 1.16 |
| 5.5 | 7.04 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 11.0 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 17.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 9.20 |
| 1.25 | 1.07 | 5.90 |
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 3.85 |
| 2 | 1.24 | 3.40 |
| 2.25 | 1.42 | 2.50 |
| 2.75 | 1.73 | 1.91 |
| 3 | 1.94 | 1.72 |
| 3.25 | 2.17 | 1.54 |
| 3.75 | 2.72 | 1.40 |
| 4 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| 4.25 | 4.01 | 1.17 |
| 4.75 | 5.40 | 1.09 |
| 5 | 7.50 | 1.03 |
| 5.25 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.72 | 1.36 |
| -0.75 | 2.23 | 1.54 |
| -0.5 | 1.94 | 1.75 |
| -0.25 | 1.71 | 1.97 |
| 0 | 1.48 | 2.42 |
| +0.25 | 1.38 | 2.86 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 8.00 | 1.04 |
| -3 | 7.10 | 1.05 |
| -2.5 | 7.00 | 1.06 |
| -2.25 | 6.40 | 1.12 |
| -2 | 6.13 | 1.08 |
| -1.75 | 4.32 | 1.17 |
| -1.5 | 3.51 | 1.25 |
| -1.25 | 3.17 | 1.31 |
| +0.5 | 1.32 | 3.39 |
| +0.75 | 1.20 | 4.08 |
| +1 | 1.09 | 5.85 |
| +1.25 | 1.08 | 6.27 |
| +1.5 | 1.07 | 6.70 |
| +1.75 | 1.01 | 8.60 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.10 | 4.72 |
| 7.5 | 1.27 | 3.13 |
| 8.5 | 1.53 | 2.31 |
| 9.5 | 1.92 | 1.81 |
| 10.5 | 2.45 | 1.47 |
| 11.5 | 3.37 | 1.23 |
| 12.5 | 5.10 | 1.08 |
18 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.12 | 4.49 |
| 7 | 1.14 | 4.26 |
| 7.25 | 1.22 | 3.51 |
| 7.75 | 1.33 | 2.88 |
| 8 | 1.37 | 2.72 |
| 8.25 | 1.48 | 2.42 |
| 8.75 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| 9 | 1.72 | 2.04 |
| 9.25 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| 9.75 | 2.09 | 1.66 |
| 10 | 2.22 | 1.60 |
| 10.25 | 2.39 | 1.49 |
| 10.75 | 2.77 | 1.36 |
| 11 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 11.25 | 3.30 | 1.25 |
| 11.75 | 3.96 | 1.16 |
| 12 | 4.71 | 1.10 |
| 12.25 | 4.90 | 1.09 |
Next First Division matches
| 27 Oct | Bray Wanderers – Kerry FC |
Latest First Division results
| 24 Oct | Kerry FC 1-2 Bray Wanderers |
| 24 Oct | Longford Town 0-2 UCD |
| 16 Oct | Finn Harps 2-0 Bray Wanderers |
| 16 Oct | Kerry 1-1 Cork City |
| 16 Oct | Wexford 2-5 UCD |
| 16 Oct | Longford Town 1-0 Athlone Town |