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Central Espanol vs Club Nacional• Primera División, Uruguay

#100.6:2.00-1FT11/10 · Estadio Centenario, Montevideo2.0:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.75BVCX4.10DAF21.62PINMargin at best3.5%Books9Markets84Rating31 · 70Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 16:21 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet5.404.101.615.0%
Pinnacle5.733.861.625.1%
BetVictor5.753.801.577.4%
William Hill5.003.601.6010.3%
Betano5.203.651.5710.3%
1xBet5.613.651.5310.6%
Bet3655.003.751.5511.2%
Betfair5.003.801.5311.7%
Marathonbet5.503.651.5111.8%
Best of all books5.754.101.623.5%
Average5.353.761.579.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Central EspanolClub Nacional
Last 10#10Table position#51.19Points per game1.720Form pts · last 5150.6Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 51.023Attack rating7733Defence rating6715Form rating8533H2H rating6746Goals model5431Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:21 UTC

Central Espanol

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against

15 OctHDanubio0-6L
11 OctHClub Nacional0-1L
3 OctADeportivo Maldonado0-3L
27 SepHLiverpool Montevideo1-2L
21 SepHAtletico Torque1-4L
17 SepHOriental1-1D
12 SepACerro Largo0-0D
9 SepARacing Montevideo4-2W
6 SepHDefensor Sporting1-1D
2 SepHJuventud3-0W

Club Nacional

7W 3D 0L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

11 OctACentral Espanol1-0W
5 OctHAtletico Torque2-0W
26 SepACerro Largo2-0W
20 SepHDefensor Sporting3-2W
16 SepAProgreso1-0W
12 SepAWanderers1-1D
6 SepHJuventud2-2D
3 SepACA River Plate3-2W
30 AugAPenarol1-0W
27 AugHAlbion FC0-0D

Head to head

1Central Espanol wins
0draws
2Club Nacional wins

3 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Central Espanol

3 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónClub Nacional0-1Central Espanol
10 Mar 2013Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraClub Nacional2-1Central Espanol
14 Sep 2012Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaCentral Espanol0-2Club Nacional

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 18 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, Central Espanol sit 10th with 38 points from 32 games, while Club Nacional are 5th with 55 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Penarol32197651:26+2563
2Deportivo Maldonado32178750:28+2259
3Atletico Torque331761054:39+1557
4Racing Montevideo331511739:27+1256
5Club Nacional321741148:38+1055
6Liverpool Montevideo321311843:31+1250
7Wanderers331481141:42-150
8Albion FC331271444:43+143
9Juventud3310101337:41-440
10Central Espanol321081432:43-1138
11Boston River331071633:43-1037
12Cerro331071627:48-2137
13Defensor Sporting338111430:40-1035
14Cerro Largo338101530:38-834
15Progreso33951930:47-1732
16Danubio325141326:41-1529

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.31X24%3.75258%1.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Oct 11:1011 Oct 17:101 5.35X 3.762 1.57
15.27 → 5.35 +1.5%X3.84 → 3.76 -2.1%21.55 → 1.57 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.971.874.2%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betano1.911.875.8%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
1xBet1.851.829.0%
Marathonbet1.851.829.0%
BetVictor1.871.809.0%
Best of all books2.001.873.5%
Average1.911.837.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.911.837.0%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
BetVictor1.931.788.0%
Betano1.901.808.2%
1xBet1.881.818.4%
William Hill1.851.838.7%
Marathonbet1.881.789.4%
Best of all books2.001.834.6%
Average1.911.798.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Central Espanol 10%Draw 45%Club Nacional 45%

The statistical model rated Central Espanol at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Club Nacional at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.31 | 3.75 | 1.57, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Central Espanol are 10th (38 pts, 32-43 goals), Club Nacional 5th (55 pts, 48-38).

Over their last five matches, Central Espanol averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Club Nacional averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Club Nacional.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Central Espanol

4-2-3-1

Coach: A. Pacheco

Goalkeeper

  • 1E. Márquez

Defence

  • 17L. Fernández
  • 14A. Villoldo
  • 26Nunes Cesar

Midfield

  • 24G. Gandolfo
  • 4M. Montiel
  • 21L. Pino

Attack

  • 8F. Camarda
  • 10M. Aguilera
  • 9R. Tarragona

Squad

  • 2I. Rodriguez
Substitutes (10)
  • 22E. Aramburu
  • 20J. Dellarossa
  • 3J. Dupont
  • 25A. Madruga
  • 16I. Méndez
  • 32Francisco Montoro
  • 7F. Munoz
  • 12F. Pintado
  • 15J. Pou
  • 27F. Sosa

Club Nacional

3-4-1-2

Coach: D. Carreño

Goalkeeper

  • 22A. Martín Arias

Defence

  • 37Luciano Rodriguez
  • 4S. Coates
  • 5F. Calvo
  • 15G. Martirena
  • 21C. Cándido

Midfield

  • 6L. Boggio
  • 23L. Rodríguez
  • 39L. Gonzalez

Attack

  • 9M. Gómez
  • 29T. Correa
Substitutes (10)
  • 27T. Verón
  • 11M. Silvera
  • 8S. Silva
  • 2A. Rogel
  • 7N. Rodríguez
  • 31R. Martinez
  • 14A. Martínez
  • 20R. Botta
  • 40J. Bianchi
  • 13E. Ancheta

Match Statistics

Central EspanolClub Nacional
4Shots on Goal3
0Red Cards0
3Shots off Goal8
0Free Kicks0
49%Ball Possession51%
3Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
0Blocked Shots0
7Total Shots11

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.353.761.57

Double chance

1XX212
2.271.121.21

Draw no bet

12
3.991.21

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.911.79

1st half

1X2
5.722.212.12

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.9910.51.47

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.72
1.51.283.39
2.51.911.83
3.53.271.30
4.56.371.09
5.512.51.03
6.523.31.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.80
11.018.30
1.251.124.65
1.751.312.98
21.442.59
2.251.662.08
2.752.131.64
32.551.46
3.252.681.40
3.753.891.18
45.351.09
4.255.751.07
4.757.201.03
59.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.801.38
+0.52.341.58
+0.752.021.71
+11.752.00
+1.251.552.31
+1.51.442.63
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.801.01
-110.51.01
-0.757.271.05
-0.55.251.16
-0.254.681.16
04.171.19
+1.751.313.20
+21.184.36
+2.251.144.73
+2.51.125.23
+2.751.076.77
+31.028.75
+3.51.028.85

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.40
7.51.263.35
8.51.502.40
9.51.871.85
10.52.381.51
11.53.241.28
12.54.501.14
13.54.871.07
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.35
6.251.065.49
6.751.144.26
71.143.80
7.251.243.36
7.751.362.77
81.332.78
8.251.392.59
8.751.522.27
91.642.12
9.251.711.97
9.751.941.77
102.091.65
10.252.211.55
10.752.521.41
112.771.33
11.253.461.22
11.754.171.14
123.571.17
12.255.211.08
134.701.08

Next Primera División matches

18 OctLiverpool Montevideo – Penarol

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

18 OctDanubio 1-0 Central Espanol
18 OctAlbion FC 2-1 Atletico Torque
17 OctBoston River 1-0 Defensor Sporting
17 OctRacing Montevideo 3-0 Wanderers
17 OctProgreso 2-0 Juventud
16 OctCerro 1-1 Cerro Largo