Boston River vs Defensor Sporting• Primera División, Uruguay

#141.4:1.61-0FTToday · Estadio Campeones Olimpicos, Florida1.6:1.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.62PINX3.20BVC22.89PINMargin at best4.0%Books6Markets72Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.62	3.13	2.89	4.7%
BetVictor	2.50	3.20	2.70	8.3%
William Hill	2.45	2.90	2.88	10.0%
1xBet	2.46	2.99	2.65	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.46	2.99	2.65	11.8%
Bet365	2.35	3.10	2.70	11.8%
Best of all books	2.62	3.20	2.89	4.0%
Average	2.47	3.05	2.74	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Boston RiverDefensor Sporting

Last 10#14Table position#121.06Points per game1.098Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 51.847Attack rating5353Defence rating4740Form rating6029H2H rating7155Goals model4545Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Boston River

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

14 Oct	H	CA River Plate	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Wanderers	3-1	W
4 Oct	H	Juventud	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Penarol	1-2	L
23 Sep	H	Fenix	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Progreso	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Racing Montevideo	2-3	L
9 Sep	H	Colón	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Liverpool Montevideo	0-1	L
2 Sep	A	Liverpool Montevideo	1-0	W

Defensor Sporting

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

10 Oct	H	Cerro	2-3	L
3 Oct	A	Albion FC	2-3	L
30 Sep	H	Plaza Colonia	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Danubio	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Club Nacional	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Deportivo Maldonado	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Cerro Largo	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Central Espanol	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Atletico Torque	1-3	L
25 Aug	H	Rentistas	0-0	D

Head to head

7Boston River wins

7draws

10Defensor Sporting wins

24 meetings · goals 29:32 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Boston River

7 Jun 2026Primera División	Primera División	Defensor Sporting1-1Boston River
11 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Defensor Sporting2-0Boston River
2 Aug 2025Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Boston River4-0Defensor Sporting
1 Feb 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Defensor Sporting2-0Boston River
22 Nov 2024Copa Uruguay	Copa Uruguay	Boston River0-1Defensor Sporting
12 Oct 2024Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Defensor Sporting1-2Boston River
6 Apr 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Boston River2-2Defensor Sporting
20 Nov 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Defensor Sporting2-0Boston River
9 Jul 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Boston River0-1Defensor Sporting
16 Apr 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Boston River1-0Defensor Sporting

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Primera División table, Boston River sit 14th with 34 points from 32 games, while Defensor Sporting are 12th with 35 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	32	19	7	6	51:26	+25	63
2	Deportivo Maldonado	32	17	8	7	50:28	+22	59
3	Atletico Torque	32	17	6	9	53:37	+16	57
4	Racing Montevideo	33	15	11	7	39:27	+12	56
5	Club Nacional	32	17	4	11	48:38	+10	55
6	Liverpool Montevideo	32	13	11	8	43:31	+12	50
7	Wanderers	33	14	8	11	41:42	-1	50
8	Albion FC	32	11	7	14	42:42	0	40
9	Juventud	33	10	10	13	37:41	-4	40
10	Central Espanol	32	10	8	14	32:43	-11	38
11	Cerro	33	10	7	16	27:48	-21	37
12	Defensor Sporting	32	8	11	13	30:39	-9	35
13	Cerro Largo	33	8	10	15	30:38	-8	34
14	Boston River	32	9	7	16	32:43	-11	34
15	Progreso	33	9	5	19	30:47	-17	32
16	Danubio	32	5	14	13	26:41	-15	29

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.47X30%3.05233%2.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.55 → 2.47 -3.1%X3.08 → 3.05 -1.0%22.60 → 2.74 +5.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.19	1.70	4.5%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
BetVictor	2.04	1.67	8.9%
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Best of all books	2.19	1.70	4.5%
Average	2.10	1.67	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.95	6.8%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.81	1.88	8.4%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.85	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.81	1.88	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Boston River 10%Draw 45%Defensor Sporting 45%

The statistical model rated Boston River at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Defensor Sporting at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.47 | 3.05 | 2.74, which imply roughly 32.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Boston River are 14th (34 pts, 32-43 goals), Defensor Sporting 12th (35 pts, 30-39).

Over their last five matches, Boston River averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Defensor Sporting averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Defensor Sporting.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Match Statistics

Boston RiverDefensor Sporting

4Shots off Goal2

1Corner Kicks2

0Free Kicks0

7Yellow Cards1

4Shots on Goal2

0Red Cards0

46%Ball Possession54%

0Blocked Shots0

8Total Shots4

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.47	3.05	2.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.43	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.79	1.91

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
3.25	2.03	3.39

2nd half

1	X	2
2.89	2.30	3.00

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.14	14.8	33.7
HT X	5.80	4.53	6.03
HT 2	32.3	14.8	4.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.99	8.65	2.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.78
1.5	1.33	3.06
2.5	2.10	1.67
3.5	3.81	1.22
4.5	7.85	1.04
5.5	19.0	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.18	3.91
1.75	1.43	2.61
2	1.57	2.24
2.25	1.83	1.86
2.75	2.42	1.49
3	2.97	1.30
3.25	3.35	1.25
3.75	4.76	1.12
4	6.85	1.04
4.25	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.07	1.33
-0.5	2.55	1.49
-0.25	2.15	1.63
0	1.78	1.95
+0.25	1.55	2.30
+0.5	1.44	2.71

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.20	1.03
-1.5	5.48	1.11
-1.25	4.90	1.13
-1	4.42	1.17
+0.75	1.29	3.33
+1	1.15	4.90
+1.25	1.12	5.27
+1.5	1.09	5.85
+1.75	1.02	8.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.81
6.5	1.12	4.72
7.5	1.29	3.09
8.5	1.59	2.21
9.5	1.96	1.75
10.5	2.55	1.43
11.5	3.50	1.23
12.5	5.10	1.10

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.52
6	1.04	6.22
6.25	1.10	4.78
6.75	1.18	3.76
7	1.21	3.54
7.25	1.30	3.00
7.75	1.32	2.92
8	1.48	2.47
8.25	1.46	2.45
8.75	1.64	2.12
9	1.88	1.88
9.25	1.82	1.82
9.75	2.06	1.62
10	2.45	1.50
10.25	2.74	1.36
10.75	3.24	1.26
11	3.77	1.18
11.25	3.95	1.16
11.75	4.82	1.10
12	5.91	1.05
12.25	6.13	1.04
13	5.39	1.05